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Jeff Sagarin'stm NFL Ratings


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All Contents Copyright © 2018 Jeff Sagarintm. All Rights Reserved.

"I particularly condemn the way our political leaders supplied the manpower for that war. The policies - determining who would be drafted and who would be deferred, who would serve and who would escape, who would die and who would live - were an antidemocratic disgrace. I can never forgive a leadership that said, in effect: These young men - poorer, less educated, less privileged - are expendable (someone described them as 'economic cannon fodder'), but the rest are too good to risk. I am angry that so many of the sons of the powerful and well placed and so many professional athletes (who were probably healthier than any of us) managed to wangle slots in Reserve and National Guard units. Of the many tragedies of Vietnam, this raw class discrimination strikes me as the most damaging to the ideal that all Americans are created equal and owe equal allegiance to their country."

page 148 "MY AMERICAN JOURNEY" by Colin Powell
Copyright 1995 by Colin L. Powell
published by Random House
ISBN 0-679-43296-5


NFL 2018 Ratings through results of 2018 DECEMBER 3 MONDAY - Week No. 13


this output has three parts: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom
                             (2) DIVISION AVERAGES
                                 (listed top-to-bottom & by conference)
                             (3) teams listed by DIVISION
                                 (listed in order within divisions)

The SCHEDULE ratings represent what the rating would have to be for a
hypothetical team to have a mathematical expectation of winning precisely 50%
of their games against the schedule played by the team in question in the games
that it has played so far.  The schedule difficulty of each given game takes
into account the rating of the opponent and the location of the game. This
is the same concept that is used in computing the WIN50% conference ratings.


To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL  3  points for the home
team.  Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 27 would be
favored by  5  points over a VISITING team having a rating of 25.
Or a VISITING team with a rating of 24 would be favored by  7  points
over a HOME team having a rating of 14.

NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below.
      In the example just above, a home edge of 3 was shown for
      illustrative purposes. The home edge will vary during the season.
Several different home edges are shown, one for each of the several different type of ratings
directly over their respective columns.

The numbers to the right of a team's schedule strength are its rank of
schedule - (in parentheses) - and its record versus teams in these
rating's CURRENT top 10 and CURRENT top 16 respectively.

Teams that appear to be tied to two decimal places in a given column are actually
different when carried to more decimal places in the computer's internal arithmetic.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The PREDICTOR, is such that the score is the only thing that matters.
PREDICTOR is also known as PURE_POINTS, BALLANTINE, RHEINGOLD, WHITE OWL
and is a very good PREDICTOR of future games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
GOLDEN_MEAN also utilizes the actual SCORES of the games in a different way but is also completely SCORE BASED
and thus should be a good match for the PURE POINTS in terms of predictive accuracy for upcoming games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The RECENT, is score-based and weights RECENT play more heavily than earlier games. Its effect will become
more pronounced the longer a season goes if a given team happens to have an upward or downward trend.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The overall RATING is a synthesis of the three different SCORE-BASED methods, PREDICTOR(PURE_POINTS), GOLDEN_MEAN,
and RECENT and thus should be a good predictor in its own right.


Predictions_with_Totals

just click on "Predictions_with_Totals" and it will take you to the daily predictions at bottom of file
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
NFL 2018 through games of 2018 December 3 Monday - Week No. 13                                                                                  
                                RATING    W   L   T  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT    
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.68]                                                   [  2.68]       [  2.68]       [  2.68]
   1  New Orleans Saints      =  28.01   10   2   0   20.07(  19)   2  0  0 |   4  1  0 |   28.36    1 |   28.09    2 |   27.43    2  (NFC SOUTH)
   2  Los Angeles Rams        =  27.50   11   1   0   20.56(  11)   4  1  0 |   6  1  0 |   27.52    2 |   28.60    1 |   27.56    1  (NFC WEST)
   3  Kansas City Chiefs      =  26.30   10   2   0   20.13(  17)   2  2  0 |   4  2  0 |   26.18    3 |   27.42    3 |   26.66    3  (afc west)
   4  New England Patriots    =  25.17    9   3   0   19.29(  25)   3  0  0 |   5  0  0 |   25.97    4 |   25.95    4 |   23.89    6  (afc east)
   5  Los Angeles Chargers    =  24.94    9   3   0   19.11(  27)   2  2  0 |   2  3  0 |   24.68    6 |   25.32    5 |   25.68    4  (afc west)
   6  Pittsburgh Steelers     =  24.52    7   4   1   20.51(  12)   1  3  0 |   2  4  0 |   25.05    5 |   24.96    6 |   23.60    8  (afc north)
   7  Baltimore Ravens        =  23.80    7   5   0   19.52(  24)   1  2  0 |   2  3  0 |   24.31    7 |   23.07    7 |   22.89   11  (afc north)
   8  Seattle Seahawks        =  23.66    7   5   0   20.58(  10)   0  4  0 |   2  5  0 |   23.81    8 |   22.85    9 |   23.42    9  (NFC WEST)
   9  Houston Texans          =  23.06    9   3   0   19.09(  29)   0  1  0 |   3  1  0 |   22.24   10 |   22.94    8 |   25.58    5  (afc south)
  10  Chicago Bears           =  22.73    8   4   0   18.04(  30)   1  1  0 |   2  1  0 |   22.79    9 |   21.75   13 |   22.69   12  (NFC NORTH)
NFL 2018 through games of 2018 December 3 Monday - Week No. 13                                                                                  
                                RATING    W   L   T  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT    
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.68]                                                   [  2.68]       [  2.68]       [  2.68]
  11  Dallas Cowboys          =  22.49    7   5   0   20.33(  15)   1  2  0 |   2  3  0 |   22.03   12 |   21.88   11 |   23.73    7  (NFC EAST)
  12  Minnesota Vikings       =  21.61    6   5   1   19.73(  22)   0  4  0 |   1  4  0 |   22.13   11 |   21.77   12 |   20.62   14  (NFC NORTH)
  13  Denver Broncos          =  21.44    6   6   0   21.30(   2)   3  5  0 |   3  5  0 |   20.76   15 |   20.11   15 |   23.18   10  (afc west)
  14  Philadelphia Eagles     =  21.08    6   6   0   19.09(  28)   0  1  0 |   1  4  0 |   21.47   13 |   22.27   10 |   20.36   15  (NFC EAST)
  15  Indianapolis Colts      =  20.18    6   6   0   17.76(  32)   0  2  0 |   0  3  0 |   19.91   17 |   18.64   20 |   20.86   13  (afc south)
  16  Carolina Panthers       =  20.08    6   6   0   19.90(  20)   1  2  0 |   3  2  0 |   20.69   16 |   21.08   14 |   18.83   18  (NFC SOUTH)
  17  Green Bay Packers       =  19.71    4   7   1   19.68(  23)   1  3  0 |   1  4  1 |   20.95   14 |   19.47   18 |   16.86   26  (NFC NORTH)
  18  Atlanta Falcons         =  19.15    4   8   0   20.69(   8)   0  4  0 |   1  6  0 |   19.89   18 |   19.85   16 |   17.50   23  (NFC SOUTH)
  19  Tennessee Titans        =  18.97    6   6   0   20.81(   6)   2  3  0 |   4  4  0 |   18.35   21 |   19.57   17 |   20.34   16  (afc south)
  20  Washington Redskins     =  18.43    6   6   0   20.18(  16)   0  2  0 |   2  5  0 |   18.87   19 |   18.92   19 |   17.51   22  (NFC EAST)
NFL 2018 through games of 2018 December 3 Monday - Week No. 13                                                                                  
                                RATING    W   L   T  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT    
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.68]                                                   [  2.68]       [  2.68]       [  2.68]
  21  Jacksonville Jaguars    =  18.36    4   8   0   20.41(  14)   1  3  0 |   2  6  0 |   18.57   20 |   18.52   21 |   17.99   20  (afc south)
  22  Tampa Bay Buccaneers    =  17.59    5   7   0   19.84(  21)   1  2  0 |   3  3  0 |   17.38   22 |   17.51   22 |   18.11   19  (NFC SOUTH)
  23  Cleveland Browns        =  17.55    4   7   1   21.11(   3)   1  5  1 |   1  5  1 |   16.02   25 |   15.76   27 |   20.34   17  (afc north)
  24  New York Giants         =  17.27    4   8   0   20.59(   9)   2  1  0 |   2  5  0 |   17.18   23 |   16.22   25 |   17.55   21  (NFC EAST)
  25  Detroit Lions           =  17.18    4   8   0   20.42(  13)   1  4  0 |   2  6  0 |   17.14   24 |   16.73   23 |   17.35   24  (NFC NORTH)
  26  Cincinnati Bengals      =  15.57    5   7   0   21.11(   4)   1  4  0 |   2  6  0 |   15.44   27 |   16.73   24 |   15.91   28  (afc north)
  27  Miami Dolphins          =  15.52    6   6   0   17.93(  31)   1  2  0 |   1  3  0 |   14.54   28 |   15.80   26 |   17.20   25  (afc east)
  28  San Francisco 49ers     =  14.89    2  10   0   20.08(  18)   0  4  0 |   0  5  0 |   15.68   26 |   13.79   29 |   12.25   30  (NFC WEST)
  29  Buffalo Bills           =  14.77    4   8   0   21.07(   5)   0  5  0 |   1  6  0 |   13.36   30 |   15.59   28 |   16.83   27  (afc east)
  30  New York Jets           =  13.13    3   9   0   19.14(  26)   0  2  0 |   2  3  0 |   13.72   29 |   13.43   30 |   11.28   32  (afc east)
NFL 2018 through games of 2018 December 3 Monday - Week No. 13                                                                                  
                                RATING    W   L   T  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT    
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.68]                                                   [  2.68]       [  2.68]       [  2.68]
  31  Arizona Cardinals       =  13.07    3   9   0   20.73(   7)   0  5  0 |   0  7  0 |   12.55   31 |   13.19   31 |   14.03   29  (NFC WEST)
  32  Oakland Raiders         =  12.28    2  10   0   21.40(   1)   0  6  0 |   0  8  0 |   12.45   32 |   12.20   32 |   11.95   31  (afc west)
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Divisional Rankings


There are three group ratings, the "central mean", the
"simple average" (also known as the "arithmetic mean",)
and the WIN50%.
The "central mean" gives the most weight to the middle team(s)
in the group and progressively less weight to teams as you go
away from the middle in either direction, up or down.
This tends to smooth out the effect of anomalous teams that are rated
much higher and lower than the middle team(s) in the group.  The
"simple average" ("arithmetic mean") weights each team equally
no matter where they are relative to the middle.
Here are a few examples of how the "central mean" is computed.
  4-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-2-1
  5-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-2-1
  6-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-3-2-1
  7-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-3-2-1
  8-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-4-3-2-1
  9-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-4-3-2-1
 10-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-5-4-3-2-1
 11-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-5-4-3-2-1
 12-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-6-5-4-3-2-1
 13-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-7-6-5-4-3-2-1
This is an expanded version of the "tri-mean".

The WIN50% is the rating required to win 50% of the games if playing an
infinite number of round-robins in the given group at a neutral location.
      DIVISION            CENTRAL MEAN    SIMPLE AVERAGE  TEAMS      WIN50%

   1  (afc west)              =  21.89      21.24  (  1)      4      21.49  (  1)
   2  (NFC SOUTH)             =  20.68      21.21  (  2)      4      21.07  (  2)
   3  (afc north)             =  20.46      20.36  (  3)      4      20.37  (  3)
   4  (NFC NORTH)             =  20.43      20.31  (  4)      4      20.32  (  4)
   5  (afc south)             =  19.95      20.14  (  5)      4      20.13  (  5)
   6  (NFC EAST)              =  19.80      19.82  (  6)      4      19.82  (  6)
   7  (NFC WEST)              =  19.61      19.78  (  7)      4      19.74  (  7)
   8  (afc east)              =  16.48      17.15  (  8)      4      16.93  (  8)


      DIVISION            CENTRAL MEAN    SIMPLE AVERAGE  TEAMS      WIN50%

   6  (NFC EAST)              =  19.80      19.82  (  6)      4      19.82  (  6)
   4  (NFC NORTH)             =  20.43      20.31  (  4)      4      20.32  (  4)
   2  (NFC SOUTH)             =  20.68      21.21  (  2)      4      21.07  (  2)
   7  (NFC WEST)              =  19.61      19.78  (  7)      4      19.74  (  7)
   8  (afc east)              =  16.48      17.15  (  8)      4      16.93  (  8)
   3  (afc north)             =  20.46      20.36  (  3)      4      20.37  (  3)
   5  (afc south)             =  19.95      20.14  (  5)      4      20.13  (  5)
   1  (afc west)              =  21.89      21.24  (  1)      4      21.49  (  1)
______________________________________________________________________________________________________

By Division

_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

   6  (NFC EAST)              =  19.80      19.82  (  6)   TEAMS=  4      19.82  (  6)
NFL 2018 through games of 2018 December 3 Monday - Week No. 13                                                                                  
                                RATING    W   L   T  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT    
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.68]                                                   [  2.68]       [  2.68]       [  2.68]
  11  Dallas Cowboys          =  22.49    7   5   0   20.33(  15)   1  2  0 |   2  3  0 |   22.03   12 |   21.88   11 |   23.73    7  (NFC EAST)
  14  Philadelphia Eagles     =  21.08    6   6   0   19.09(  28)   0  1  0 |   1  4  0 |   21.47   13 |   22.27   10 |   20.36   15  (NFC EAST)
  20  Washington Redskins     =  18.43    6   6   0   20.18(  16)   0  2  0 |   2  5  0 |   18.87   19 |   18.92   19 |   17.51   22  (NFC EAST)
  24  New York Giants         =  17.27    4   8   0   20.59(   9)   2  1  0 |   2  5  0 |   17.18   23 |   16.22   25 |   17.55   21  (NFC EAST)
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

   4  (NFC NORTH)             =  20.43      20.31  (  4)   TEAMS=  4      20.32  (  4)
NFL 2018 through games of 2018 December 3 Monday - Week No. 13                                                                                  
                                RATING    W   L   T  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT    
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.68]                                                   [  2.68]       [  2.68]       [  2.68]
  10  Chicago Bears           =  22.73    8   4   0   18.04(  30)   1  1  0 |   2  1  0 |   22.79    9 |   21.75   13 |   22.69   12  (NFC NORTH)
  12  Minnesota Vikings       =  21.61    6   5   1   19.73(  22)   0  4  0 |   1  4  0 |   22.13   11 |   21.77   12 |   20.62   14  (NFC NORTH)
  17  Green Bay Packers       =  19.71    4   7   1   19.68(  23)   1  3  0 |   1  4  1 |   20.95   14 |   19.47   18 |   16.86   26  (NFC NORTH)
  25  Detroit Lions           =  17.18    4   8   0   20.42(  13)   1  4  0 |   2  6  0 |   17.14   24 |   16.73   23 |   17.35   24  (NFC NORTH)
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

   2  (NFC SOUTH)             =  20.68      21.21  (  2)   TEAMS=  4      21.07  (  2)
NFL 2018 through games of 2018 December 3 Monday - Week No. 13                                                                                  
                                RATING    W   L   T  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT    
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.68]                                                   [  2.68]       [  2.68]       [  2.68]
   1  New Orleans Saints      =  28.01   10   2   0   20.07(  19)   2  0  0 |   4  1  0 |   28.36    1 |   28.09    2 |   27.43    2  (NFC SOUTH)
  16  Carolina Panthers       =  20.08    6   6   0   19.90(  20)   1  2  0 |   3  2  0 |   20.69   16 |   21.08   14 |   18.83   18  (NFC SOUTH)
  18  Atlanta Falcons         =  19.15    4   8   0   20.69(   8)   0  4  0 |   1  6  0 |   19.89   18 |   19.85   16 |   17.50   23  (NFC SOUTH)
  22  Tampa Bay Buccaneers    =  17.59    5   7   0   19.84(  21)   1  2  0 |   3  3  0 |   17.38   22 |   17.51   22 |   18.11   19  (NFC SOUTH)
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

   7  (NFC WEST)              =  19.61      19.78  (  7)   TEAMS=  4      19.74  (  7)
NFL 2018 through games of 2018 December 3 Monday - Week No. 13                                                                                  
                                RATING    W   L   T  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT    
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.68]                                                   [  2.68]       [  2.68]       [  2.68]
   2  Los Angeles Rams        =  27.50   11   1   0   20.56(  11)   4  1  0 |   6  1  0 |   27.52    2 |   28.60    1 |   27.56    1  (NFC WEST)
   8  Seattle Seahawks        =  23.66    7   5   0   20.58(  10)   0  4  0 |   2  5  0 |   23.81    8 |   22.85    9 |   23.42    9  (NFC WEST)
  28  San Francisco 49ers     =  14.89    2  10   0   20.08(  18)   0  4  0 |   0  5  0 |   15.68   26 |   13.79   29 |   12.25   30  (NFC WEST)
  31  Arizona Cardinals       =  13.07    3   9   0   20.73(   7)   0  5  0 |   0  7  0 |   12.55   31 |   13.19   31 |   14.03   29  (NFC WEST)
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

   8  (afc east)              =  16.48      17.15  (  8)   TEAMS=  4      16.93  (  8)
NFL 2018 through games of 2018 December 3 Monday - Week No. 13                                                                                  
                                RATING    W   L   T  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT    
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.68]                                                   [  2.68]       [  2.68]       [  2.68]
   4  New England Patriots    =  25.17    9   3   0   19.29(  25)   3  0  0 |   5  0  0 |   25.97    4 |   25.95    4 |   23.89    6  (afc east)
  27  Miami Dolphins          =  15.52    6   6   0   17.93(  31)   1  2  0 |   1  3  0 |   14.54   28 |   15.80   26 |   17.20   25  (afc east)
  29  Buffalo Bills           =  14.77    4   8   0   21.07(   5)   0  5  0 |   1  6  0 |   13.36   30 |   15.59   28 |   16.83   27  (afc east)
  30  New York Jets           =  13.13    3   9   0   19.14(  26)   0  2  0 |   2  3  0 |   13.72   29 |   13.43   30 |   11.28   32  (afc east)
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

   3  (afc north)             =  20.46      20.36  (  3)   TEAMS=  4      20.37  (  3)
NFL 2018 through games of 2018 December 3 Monday - Week No. 13                                                                                  
                                RATING    W   L   T  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT    
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.68]                                                   [  2.68]       [  2.68]       [  2.68]
   6  Pittsburgh Steelers     =  24.52    7   4   1   20.51(  12)   1  3  0 |   2  4  0 |   25.05    5 |   24.96    6 |   23.60    8  (afc north)
   7  Baltimore Ravens        =  23.80    7   5   0   19.52(  24)   1  2  0 |   2  3  0 |   24.31    7 |   23.07    7 |   22.89   11  (afc north)
  23  Cleveland Browns        =  17.55    4   7   1   21.11(   3)   1  5  1 |   1  5  1 |   16.02   25 |   15.76   27 |   20.34   17  (afc north)
  26  Cincinnati Bengals      =  15.57    5   7   0   21.11(   4)   1  4  0 |   2  6  0 |   15.44   27 |   16.73   24 |   15.91   28  (afc north)
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

   5  (afc south)             =  19.95      20.14  (  5)   TEAMS=  4      20.13  (  5)
NFL 2018 through games of 2018 December 3 Monday - Week No. 13                                                                                  
                                RATING    W   L   T  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT    
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.68]                                                   [  2.68]       [  2.68]       [  2.68]
   9  Houston Texans          =  23.06    9   3   0   19.09(  29)   0  1  0 |   3  1  0 |   22.24   10 |   22.94    8 |   25.58    5  (afc south)
  15  Indianapolis Colts      =  20.18    6   6   0   17.76(  32)   0  2  0 |   0  3  0 |   19.91   17 |   18.64   20 |   20.86   13  (afc south)
  19  Tennessee Titans        =  18.97    6   6   0   20.81(   6)   2  3  0 |   4  4  0 |   18.35   21 |   19.57   17 |   20.34   16  (afc south)
  21  Jacksonville Jaguars    =  18.36    4   8   0   20.41(  14)   1  3  0 |   2  6  0 |   18.57   20 |   18.52   21 |   17.99   20  (afc south)
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

   1  (afc west)              =  21.89      21.24  (  1)   TEAMS=  4      21.49  (  1)
NFL 2018 through games of 2018 December 3 Monday - Week No. 13                                                                                  
                                RATING    W   L   T  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT    
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.68]                                                   [  2.68]       [  2.68]       [  2.68]
   3  Kansas City Chiefs      =  26.30   10   2   0   20.13(  17)   2  2  0 |   4  2  0 |   26.18    3 |   27.42    3 |   26.66    3  (afc west)
   5  Los Angeles Chargers    =  24.94    9   3   0   19.11(  27)   2  2  0 |   2  3  0 |   24.68    6 |   25.32    5 |   25.68    4  (afc west)
  13  Denver Broncos          =  21.44    6   6   0   21.30(   2)   3  5  0 |   3  5  0 |   20.76   15 |   20.11   15 |   23.18   10  (afc west)
  32  Oakland Raiders         =  12.28    2  10   0   21.40(   1)   0  6  0 |   0  8  0 |   12.45   32 |   12.20   32 |   11.95   31  (afc west)
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
endfile

Predictions_with_Totals

These are the "regular method". & HOME or CLOSEBY (c) team in CAPS & both teams in lower case & means "n" for NEUTRAL location & FAVORITE Rating Points Golden Recent UNDERDOG TOTAL & ================================================================================================ BUFFALO BILLS 4.32 2.33 4.84 8.23 new york jets 43.79 CLEVELAND BROWNS 0.15 -1.99 -2.64 4.19 carolina panthers 46.95 DALLAS COWBOYS 4.09 3.24 2.29 6.05 philadelphia eagles 41.00 denver broncos 3.87 2.40 3.64 8.25 SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS 43.42 detroit lions 1.43 1.91 0.86 0.64 ARIZONA CARDINALS 41.61 GREEN BAY PACKERS 3.24 3.73 2.30 2.04 atlanta falcons 50.43 HOUSTON TEXANS 5.56 5.01 6.98 7.40 indianapolis colts 51.99 KANSAS CITY CHIEFS 5.18 4.55 7.02 6.45 baltimore ravens 54.54 LOS ANGELES CHARGERS 12.06 11.92 11.27 12.45 cincinnati bengals 51.21 los angeles rams 2.09 2.05 4.17 2.19 CHICAGO BEARS 55.48 new england patriots 6.97 8.75 7.47 4.01 MIAMI DOLPHINS 46.83 new orleans saints 7.74 8.31 7.90 6.64 TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS 57.53 pittsburgh steelers 9.56 9.92 10.08 8.97 OAKLAND RAIDERS 50.59 SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 4.72 4.36 3.76 5.48 minnesota vikings 45.66 TENNESSEE TITANS 3.28 2.46 3.73 5.03 jacksonville jaguars 36.17 WASHINGTON REDSKINS 3.84 4.37 5.39 2.64 new york giants 43.80 EIGENVECTOR Analysis eigen MONEY=odds to 100 PCT%=confidence FAVORITE SPREAD ODDS PCT% UNDERDOG 1 @ Buffalo Bills 1.36 120 54% New York Jets 2 Carolina Panthers 1.05 115 53% @ Cleveland Browns 3 @ Dallas Cowboys 5.27 196 66% Philadelphia Eagles 4 Denver Broncos 4.83 186 65% @ San Francisco 49ers 5 Detroit Lions 1.94 129 56% @ Arizona Cardinals 6 @ Green Bay Packers 4.62 181 64% Atlanta Falcons 7 @ Houston Texans 8.36 284 74% Indianapolis Colts 8 @ Kansas City Chiefs 7.12 245 71% Baltimore Ravens 9 @ Los Angeles Chargers 10.53 364 78% Cincinnati Bengals 10 Los Angeles Rams 1.32 119 54% @ Chicago Bears 11 New England Patriots 5.69 207 67% @ Miami Dolphins 12 New Orleans Saints 7.99 272 73% @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers 13 Pittsburgh Steelers 11.70 415 81% @ Oakland Raiders 14 @ Seattle Seahawks 5.35 198 66% Minnesota Vikings 15 @ Tennessee Titans 5.79 209 68% Jacksonville Jaguars 16 @ Washington Redskins 5.18 194 66% New York Giants endfile

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