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Jeff Sagarin'stm NHL Hockey Ratings


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my ratings are no longer updated on the USA Today website

Email: Jeff Sagarin

All Contents Copyright © 2026 Jeff Sagarintm. All Rights Reserved.


NHL 2026-2027 ratings through results of 2026 NOVEMBER 2 MONDAY

this output has three parts: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom
                             (2) DIVISION AVERAGES
                                 (listed top-to-bottom & by conference)
                             (3) teams listed by DIVISION
                                 (listed in order within divisions)
The SCHEDULE ratings represent what the rating would have to be for a
hypothetical team to have a mathematical expectation of winning precisely 50%
of their games against the schedule played by the team in question in the games
that it has played so far.  The schedule difficulty of each given game takes
into account the rating of the opponent and the location of the game. This
is the same concept that is used in computing the WIN50% conference ratings.
To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL  .50  goals for the home
team.  Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 4.43 would be
favored by  .82  goals over a VISITING team having a rating of 4.11
Or a VISITING team with a rating of 4.56 would be favored by .17 goals
over a HOME team having a rating of 3.89
NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below.
      In the example just above, a home edge of .50 was shown for
      illustrative purposes. The home edge will vary during the season.
Several different home edges are shown, one for each of the several different type of ratings
directly over their respective columns.
The numbers to the right of a team's schedule strength are its rank of
schedule - (in parentheses) - and its record versus teams in these
rating's CURRENT top 10 and CURRENT top 16 respectively.
Teams that appear to be tied to two decimal places in a given column are actually
different when carried to more decimal places in the computer's internal arithmetic.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The PREDICTOR, is such that the score is the only thing that matters.
PREDICTOR is also known as PURE_POINTS, BALLANTINE, RHEINGOLD, WHITE OWL
and is a very good PREDICTOR of future games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
GOLDEN_MEAN also utilizes the actual SCORES of the games in a different way but is also completely SCORE BASED
and thus should be a good match for the PURE POINTS in terms of predictive accuracy for upcoming games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The RECENT, is score-based and weights RECENT play more heavily than earlier games. Its effect will become
more pronounced the longer a season goes if a given team happens to have an upward or downward trend.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The overall RATING is a synthesis of the three different SCORE-BASED methods, PREDICTOR(PURE_POINTS), GOLDEN_MEAN,
and RECENT and thus should be a good predictor in its own right.

Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines

just click on "Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines" and it will take you to the daily predictions at the bottom of the file where you'll also see the additional set of EXPERIMENTAL predictions which are the basic predictions that are adjusted to take into account each team's tendencies of performance at home and away along with the extra picks column of STRONG RECENT
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 November 2 Monday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG_RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.22]                                               [  0.22]       [  0.22]       [  0.22]       [  0.22]
   1  Carolina Hurricanes     =   4.70   12   4    3.84(  31)    2   2  |    3   3  |    4.72    1 |    4.71    1 |    4.67    2 |    4.66    2  METROPOLITAN
   2  Edmonton Oilers         =   4.56   11   4    3.89(  28)    2   0  |    3   2  |    4.53    3 |    4.56    2 |    4.68    1 |    4.70    1  pacific
   3  Colorado Avalanche      =   4.52    9   6    3.87(  30)    3   2  |    3   3  |    4.56    2 |    4.46    3 |    4.53    5 |    4.50    5  central
   4  Minnesota Wild          =   4.46   10   6    4.04(  12)    3   2  |    5   3  |    4.45    4 |    4.46    4 |    4.54    4 |    4.50    4  central
   5  Tampa Bay Lightning     =   4.30    8   5    3.97(  20)    3   1  |    3   2  |    4.31    6 |    4.36    5 |    4.22    7 |    4.16    9  ATLANTIC
   6  Boston Bruins           =   4.27   11   5    3.94(  23)    1   3  |    2   4  |    4.24   10 |    4.20   12 |    4.54    3 |    4.63    3  ATLANTIC
   7  Vegas Golden Knights    =   4.25    9   7    3.87(  29)    0   4  |    2   4  |    4.29    7 |    4.28    9 |    4.18    9 |    4.14   12  pacific
   8  Washington Capitals     =   4.24    8   5    4.02(  16)    2   3  |    4   3  |    4.24    9 |    4.32    6 |    4.16   11 |    4.11   13  METROPOLITAN
   9  New Jersey Devils       =   4.24    9   5    3.99(  19)    3   2  |    3   4  |    4.22   12 |    4.22   11 |    4.30    6 |    4.32    6  METROPOLITAN
  10  Dallas Stars            =   4.23    8   6    3.90(  26)    2   2  |    3   3  |    4.26    8 |    4.23   10 |    4.22    8 |    4.20    7  central
NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 November 2 Monday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG_RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.22]                                               [  0.22]       [  0.22]       [  0.22]       [  0.22]
  11  Montreal Canadiens      =   4.22    9   5    3.93(  24)    1   2  |    4   2  |    4.23   11 |    4.28    8 |    4.12   13 |    4.14   11  ATLANTIC
  12  Florida Panthers        =   4.21    8   7    3.90(  27)    1   1  |    1   3  |    4.34    5 |    4.30    7 |    3.91   20 |    3.86   21  ATLANTIC
  13  Toronto Maple Leafs     =   4.16    8   8    3.96(  22)    2   1  |    2   5  |    4.18   13 |    4.15   14 |    4.15   12 |    4.09   14  ATLANTIC
  14  Utah Mammoth            =   4.13    9   6    4.09(   6)    3   3  |    5   3  |    4.10   14 |    4.16   13 |    4.18   10 |    4.16   10  central
  15  Ottawa Senators         =   4.04    9   7    3.97(  21)    2   1  |    4   1  |    4.05   15 |    4.07   15 |    3.98   18 |    4.01   17  ATLANTIC
  16  Buffalo Sabres          =   3.94    7   7    4.04(  13)    1   2  |    3   5  |    3.97   16 |    3.99   16 |    3.76   24 |    3.80   22  ATLANTIC
  17  New York Islanders      =   3.93    7   7    4.01(  17)    2   3  |    3   5  |    3.92   17 |    3.92   17 |    3.98   17 |    3.99   18  METROPOLITAN
  18  St. Louis Blues         =   3.91    7   7    4.05(  10)    3   3  |    4   4  |    3.87   22 |    3.87   20 |    4.07   15 |    4.09   15  central
  19  New York Rangers        =   3.91    7   8    4.04(  15)    2   4  |    3   6  |    3.87   21 |    3.88   19 |    4.03   16 |    4.05   16  METROPOLITAN
  20  Anaheim Ducks           =   3.86    6   8    3.92(  25)    1   3  |    3   4  |    3.90   20 |    3.88   18 |    3.76   23 |    3.74   24  pacific
NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 November 2 Monday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG_RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.22]                                               [  0.22]       [  0.22]       [  0.22]       [  0.22]
  21  Pittsburgh Penguins     =   3.85    5   9    4.04(  11)    1   3  |    3   6  |    3.91   18 |    3.79   24 |    3.83   22 |    3.77   23  METROPOLITAN
  22  Los Angeles Kings       =   3.84    4   9    4.14(   3)    1   5  |    2   7  |    3.90   19 |    3.87   21 |    3.70   25 |    3.62   27  pacific
  23  Seattle Kraken          =   3.83    8   6    4.04(  14)    1   4  |    3   5  |    3.72   27 |    3.78   25 |    4.07   14 |    4.17    8  pacific
  24  Detroit Red Wings       =   3.81    7   8    3.80(  32)    1   1  |    3   2  |    3.80   24 |    3.77   26 |    3.86   21 |    3.94   19  ATLANTIC
  25  Columbus Blue Jackets   =   3.78    5   7    4.08(   7)    1   3  |    2   6  |    3.80   23 |    3.82   23 |    3.70   26 |    3.68   26  METROPOLITAN
  26  Nashville Predators     =   3.78    5   9    4.09(   5)    3   4  |    4   6  |    3.75   26 |    3.74   27 |    3.91   19 |    3.92   20  central
  27  San Jose Sharks         =   3.78    7   9    4.01(  18)    0   4  |    3   7  |    3.78   25 |    3.85   22 |    3.65   27 |    3.60   28  pacific
  28  Philadelphia Flyers     =   3.67    4  12    4.12(   4)    1   6  |    4   7  |    3.71   28 |    3.68   28 |    3.57   29 |    3.51   30  METROPOLITAN
  29  Calgary Flames          =   3.50    7   8    4.07(   8)    2   4  |    3   4  |    3.37   30 |    3.51   29 |    3.62   28 |    3.72   25  pacific
  30  Winnipeg Jets           =   3.50    4  11    4.18(   2)    2   5  |    2   8  |    3.50   29 |    3.48   30 |    3.50   30 |    3.53   29  central
NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 November 2 Monday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG_RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.22]                                               [  0.22]       [  0.22]       [  0.22]       [  0.22]
  31  Chicago Blackhawks      =   3.28    4  11    4.05(   9)    0   5  |    0   9  |    3.29   31 |    3.29   31 |    3.22   32 |    3.26   32  central
  32  Vancouver Canucks       =   3.26    3  13    4.21(   1)    1   7  |    1   9  |    3.22   32 |    3.13   32 |    3.40   31 |    3.43   31  pacific
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Divisional Rankings

There are three group ratings, the "central mean", the
"simple average" (also known as the "arithmetic mean",)
and the WIN50%.
The "central mean" gives the most weight to the middle team(s)
in the group and progressively less weight to teams as you go
away from the middle in either direction, up or down.
This tends to smooth out the effect of anomalous teams that are rated
much higher and lower than the middle team(s) in the group.  The
"simple average" ("arithmetic mean") weights each team equally
no matter where they are relative to the middle.
Here are a few examples of how the "central mean" is computed.
  4-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-2-1
  5-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-2-1
  6-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-3-2-1
  7-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-3-2-1
  8-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-4-3-2-1
  9-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-4-3-2-1
 10-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-5-4-3-2-1
 11-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-5-4-3-2-1
 12-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-6-5-4-3-2-1
 13-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-7-6-5-4-3-2-1
This is an expanded version of the "tri-mean".
The WIN50% is the rating required to win 50% of the games if playing an
infinite number of round-robins in the given group at a neutral location.
      DIVISION            CENTRAL MEAN    SIMPLE AVERAGE  TEAMS      WIN50%         RATING          PREDICTOR         GOLDEN_MEAN         RECENT          STRONG_RECENT
   1  ATLANTIC                =   4.14       4.12  (  1)      8       4.12  (  1)   4.1199( 0.1720)   4.1408( 0.1863)   4.1394( 0.1937)   4.0668( 0.2472)   4.0785( 0.2592)
   2  METROPOLITAN            =   4.00       4.04  (  2)      8       4.04  (  2)   4.0399( 0.3355)   4.0482( 0.3301)   4.0424( 0.3473)   4.0305( 0.3520)   4.0128( 0.3671)
   3  central                 =   4.00       3.98  (  3)      8       3.98  (  3)   3.9776( 0.4427)   3.9724( 0.4500)   3.9615( 0.4383)   4.0195( 0.4648)   4.0188( 0.4391)
   4  pacific                 =   3.85       3.86  (  4)      8       3.86  (  4)   3.8625( 0.4045)   3.8385( 0.4333)   3.8567( 0.4361)   3.8832( 0.4082)   3.8900( 0.4167)
       OVERALL                                                                      4.0000( 0.3499)   4.0000( 0.3650)   4.0000( 0.3650)   4.0000( 0.3650)   4.0000( 0.3650)
      DIVISION            CENTRAL MEAN    SIMPLE AVERAGE  TEAMS      WIN50%         RATING          PREDICTOR         GOLDEN_MEAN         RECENT          STRONG_RECENT
   2  METROPOLITAN            =   4.00       4.04  (  2)      8       4.04  (  2)   4.0399( 0.3355)   4.0482( 0.3301)   4.0424( 0.3473)   4.0305( 0.3520)   4.0128( 0.3671)
   1  ATLANTIC                =   4.14       4.12  (  1)      8       4.12  (  1)   4.1199( 0.1720)   4.1408( 0.1863)   4.1394( 0.1937)   4.0668( 0.2472)   4.0785( 0.2592)
   3  central                 =   4.00       3.98  (  3)      8       3.98  (  3)   3.9776( 0.4427)   3.9724( 0.4500)   3.9615( 0.4383)   4.0195( 0.4648)   4.0188( 0.4391)
   4  pacific                 =   3.85       3.86  (  4)      8       3.86  (  4)   3.8625( 0.4045)   3.8385( 0.4333)   3.8567( 0.4361)   3.8832( 0.4082)   3.8900( 0.4167)
       OVERALL                                                                      4.0000( 0.3499)   4.0000( 0.3650)   4.0000( 0.3650)   4.0000( 0.3650)   4.0000( 0.3650)
__________________________________________________________________________________________________

By Division

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 2 METROPOLITAN = 4.00 NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 November 2 Monday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.22] [ 0.22] [ 0.22] [ 0.22] [ 0.22] 1 Carolina Hurricanes = 4.70 12 4 3.84( 31) 2 2 | 3 3 | 4.72 1 | 4.71 1 | 4.67 2 | 4.66 2 METROPOLITAN 8 Washington Capitals = 4.24 8 5 4.02( 16) 2 3 | 4 3 | 4.24 9 | 4.32 6 | 4.16 11 | 4.11 13 METROPOLITAN 9 New Jersey Devils = 4.24 9 5 3.99( 19) 3 2 | 3 4 | 4.22 12 | 4.22 11 | 4.30 6 | 4.32 6 METROPOLITAN 17 New York Islanders = 3.93 7 7 4.01( 17) 2 3 | 3 5 | 3.92 17 | 3.92 17 | 3.98 17 | 3.99 18 METROPOLITAN 19 New York Rangers = 3.91 7 8 4.04( 15) 2 4 | 3 6 | 3.87 21 | 3.88 19 | 4.03 16 | 4.05 16 METROPOLITAN 21 Pittsburgh Penguins = 3.85 5 9 4.04( 11) 1 3 | 3 6 | 3.91 18 | 3.79 24 | 3.83 22 | 3.77 23 METROPOLITAN 25 Columbus Blue Jackets = 3.78 5 7 4.08( 7) 1 3 | 2 6 | 3.80 23 | 3.82 23 | 3.70 26 | 3.68 26 METROPOLITAN 28 Philadelphia Flyers = 3.67 4 12 4.12( 4) 1 6 | 4 7 | 3.71 28 | 3.68 28 | 3.57 29 | 3.51 30 METROPOLITAN _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 ATLANTIC = 4.14 NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 November 2 Monday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.22] [ 0.22] [ 0.22] [ 0.22] [ 0.22] 5 Tampa Bay Lightning = 4.30 8 5 3.97( 20) 3 1 | 3 2 | 4.31 6 | 4.36 5 | 4.22 7 | 4.16 9 ATLANTIC 6 Boston Bruins = 4.27 11 5 3.94( 23) 1 3 | 2 4 | 4.24 10 | 4.20 12 | 4.54 3 | 4.63 3 ATLANTIC 11 Montreal Canadiens = 4.22 9 5 3.93( 24) 1 2 | 4 2 | 4.23 11 | 4.28 8 | 4.12 13 | 4.14 11 ATLANTIC 12 Florida Panthers = 4.21 8 7 3.90( 27) 1 1 | 1 3 | 4.34 5 | 4.30 7 | 3.91 20 | 3.86 21 ATLANTIC 13 Toronto Maple Leafs = 4.16 8 8 3.96( 22) 2 1 | 2 5 | 4.18 13 | 4.15 14 | 4.15 12 | 4.09 14 ATLANTIC 15 Ottawa Senators = 4.04 9 7 3.97( 21) 2 1 | 4 1 | 4.05 15 | 4.07 15 | 3.98 18 | 4.01 17 ATLANTIC 16 Buffalo Sabres = 3.94 7 7 4.04( 13) 1 2 | 3 5 | 3.97 16 | 3.99 16 | 3.76 24 | 3.80 22 ATLANTIC 24 Detroit Red Wings = 3.81 7 8 3.80( 32) 1 1 | 3 2 | 3.80 24 | 3.77 26 | 3.86 21 | 3.94 19 ATLANTIC _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 3 central = 4.00 NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 November 2 Monday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.22] [ 0.22] [ 0.22] [ 0.22] [ 0.22] 3 Colorado Avalanche = 4.52 9 6 3.87( 30) 3 2 | 3 3 | 4.56 2 | 4.46 3 | 4.53 5 | 4.50 5 central 4 Minnesota Wild = 4.46 10 6 4.04( 12) 3 2 | 5 3 | 4.45 4 | 4.46 4 | 4.54 4 | 4.50 4 central 10 Dallas Stars = 4.23 8 6 3.90( 26) 2 2 | 3 3 | 4.26 8 | 4.23 10 | 4.22 8 | 4.20 7 central 14 Utah Mammoth = 4.13 9 6 4.09( 6) 3 3 | 5 3 | 4.10 14 | 4.16 13 | 4.18 10 | 4.16 10 central 18 St. Louis Blues = 3.91 7 7 4.05( 10) 3 3 | 4 4 | 3.87 22 | 3.87 20 | 4.07 15 | 4.09 15 central 26 Nashville Predators = 3.78 5 9 4.09( 5) 3 4 | 4 6 | 3.75 26 | 3.74 27 | 3.91 19 | 3.92 20 central 30 Winnipeg Jets = 3.50 4 11 4.18( 2) 2 5 | 2 8 | 3.50 29 | 3.48 30 | 3.50 30 | 3.53 29 central 31 Chicago Blackhawks = 3.28 4 11 4.05( 9) 0 5 | 0 9 | 3.29 31 | 3.29 31 | 3.22 32 | 3.26 32 central _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 4 pacific = 3.85 NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 November 2 Monday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.22] [ 0.22] [ 0.22] [ 0.22] [ 0.22] 2 Edmonton Oilers = 4.56 11 4 3.89( 28) 2 0 | 3 2 | 4.53 3 | 4.56 2 | 4.68 1 | 4.70 1 pacific 7 Vegas Golden Knights = 4.25 9 7 3.87( 29) 0 4 | 2 4 | 4.29 7 | 4.28 9 | 4.18 9 | 4.14 12 pacific 20 Anaheim Ducks = 3.86 6 8 3.92( 25) 1 3 | 3 4 | 3.90 20 | 3.88 18 | 3.76 23 | 3.74 24 pacific 22 Los Angeles Kings = 3.84 4 9 4.14( 3) 1 5 | 2 7 | 3.90 19 | 3.87 21 | 3.70 25 | 3.62 27 pacific 23 Seattle Kraken = 3.83 8 6 4.04( 14) 1 4 | 3 5 | 3.72 27 | 3.78 25 | 4.07 14 | 4.17 8 pacific 27 San Jose Sharks = 3.78 7 9 4.01( 18) 0 4 | 3 7 | 3.78 25 | 3.85 22 | 3.65 27 | 3.60 28 pacific 29 Calgary Flames = 3.50 7 8 4.07( 8) 2 4 | 3 4 | 3.37 30 | 3.51 29 | 3.62 28 | 3.72 25 pacific 32 Vancouver Canucks = 3.26 3 13 4.21( 1) 1 7 | 1 9 | 3.22 32 | 3.13 32 | 3.40 31 | 3.43 31 pacific _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ These are the "regular method". _ HOME or CLOSEBY (c) is denoted _ by an "@" next to the HOME or CLOSER team _ An "n" for NEUTRAL location will appear if a neutral game Rating Favorite _ Strong MONEYLINE=odds to 100 _ FAVORITE Rating Predict Golden Recent Recent UNDERDOG ODDS PCT% TOTAL _ ====================================================================================================================================

Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines

NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 November 2 Monday HOME ADVANTAGE= 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 1 @ Montreal Canadiens 0.94 0.94 1.01 0.83 0.83 Winnipeg Jets 187 65% 3.65 2.30 5.95 1.34 71% 242 2 @ New York Rangers 0.21 0.22 0.22 0.17 0.18 St. Louis Blues 116 54% 3.05 2.68 5.72 0.37 56% 129 3 Edmonton Oilers 0.11 0.10 0.12 0.16 0.16 @ New Jersey Devils 108 52% 2.94 3.52 6.46 -0.58 40% -148 4 Minnesota Wild 0.58 0.52 0.56 0.75 0.78 @ Philadelphia Flyers 148 60% 1.44 2.99 4.43 -1.55 27% -273 5 @ Washington Capitals 0.22 0.20 0.31 0.15 0.13 Dallas Stars 116 54% 2.74 2.48 5.23 0.26 54% 119 6 @ Toronto Maple Leafs 0.24 0.29 0.20 0.19 0.15 Utah Mammoth 118 54% 3.86 3.66 7.52 0.20 53% 115 7 Vegas Golden Knights 0.19 0.17 0.28 0.13 0.15 @ Pittsburgh Penguins 114 53% 3.05 3.62 6.67 -0.57 40% -147 8 @ Tampa Bay Lightning 0.70 0.73 0.81 0.57 0.44 Detroit Red Wings 160 62% 3.85 3.05 6.90 0.81 63% 172 9 Colorado Avalanche 0.52 0.54 0.43 0.61 0.60 @ Columbus Blue Jacket 142 59% 2.90 4.06 6.96 -1.16 32% -215 10 Carolina Hurricanes 0.70 0.76 0.75 0.55 0.52 @ Nashville Predators 161 62% 2.62 3.78 6.39 -1.16 32% -215 NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 November 2 Monday HOME ADVANTAGE= 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 11 Anaheim Ducks 0.39 0.47 0.54 0.15 0.10 @ Vancouver Canucks 130 57% 3.79 4.34 8.12 -0.55 41% -145 EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS INVOLVING HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENTS FOR EACH TEAM NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 November 2 Monday HOME ADVANTAGE= 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 1 @ Montreal Canadiens 1.51 1.51 1.58 1.40 1.40 Winnipeg Jets 267 73% 3.93 2.02 5.95 1.91 77% 340 2 @ New York Rangers 1.35 1.36 1.36 1.31 1.32 St. Louis Blues 242 71% 3.62 2.11 5.72 1.51 73% 267 3 Edmonton Oilers 1.83 1.81 1.84 1.88 1.87 @ New Jersey Devils 324 76% 2.08 4.38 6.46 -2.29 19% -425 4 Minnesota Wild 2.20 2.14 2.18 2.37 2.40 @ Philadelphia Flyers 403 80% 0.63 3.80 4.43 -3.17 13% -693 5 Dallas Stars 0.58 0.60 0.49 0.65 0.67 @ Washington Capitals 148 60% 2.34 2.89 5.23 -0.54 41% -144 6 Utah Mammoth 0.38 0.33 0.41 0.43 0.47 @ Toronto Maple Leafs 130 56% 3.55 3.97 7.52 -0.42 43% -133 7 @ Pittsburgh Penguins 0.13 0.16 0.05 0.20 0.18 Vegas Golden Knights 110 52% 3.21 3.46 6.67 -0.24 46% -118 8 @ Tampa Bay Lightning 1.39 1.42 1.50 1.27 1.14 Detroit Red Wings 249 71% 4.20 2.70 6.90 1.50 73% 266 9 Colorado Avalanche 1.25 1.28 1.16 1.34 1.33 @ Columbus Blue Jacket 228 69% 2.53 4.43 6.96 -1.89 23% -336 10 Carolina Hurricanes 1.94 1.99 1.99 1.78 1.75 @ Nashville Predators 346 78% 2.00 4.39 6.39 -2.39 18% -450 NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 November 2 Monday HOME ADVANTAGE= 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 11 Anaheim Ducks 1.49 1.57 1.64 1.25 1.20 @ Vancouver Canucks 264 73% 3.23 4.89 8.12 -1.65 26% -292
EIGENVECTOR Analysis            eigen MONEY=odds to 100  EPCT%=confidence
          EFAVORITE           ESPREAD EODDS EPCT%    EUNDERDOG
    1  @ Montreal Canadiens     1.82   322   76%    Winnipeg Jets
    2  @ New York Rangers       0.34   126   56%    St. Louis Blues
    3    Edmonton Oilers        0.73   163   62%  @ New Jersey Devils
    4    Minnesota Wild         1.38   247   71%  @ Philadelphia Flyers
    5  @ Washington Capitals    0.23   117   54%    Dallas Stars
    6    Utah Mammoth           0.14   110   52%  @ Toronto Maple Leafs
    7    Vegas Golden Knights   0.02   102   50%  @ Pittsburgh Penguins
    8  @ Tampa Bay Lightning    0.78   169   63%    Detroit Red Wings
    9    Colorado Avalanche     1.84   326   77%  @ Columbus Blue Jacket
   10    Carolina Hurricanes    2.41   454   82%  @ Nashville Predators
   11    Anaheim Ducks          0.74   165   62%  @ Vancouver Canucks
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