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Jeff Sagarin'stm NHL Hockey Ratings


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[ Jeff's Sports Ratings - the only place to find my updated ratings]

my ratings are no longer updated on the USA Today website

Email: Jeff Sagarin

All Contents Copyright © 2026 Jeff Sagarintm. All Rights Reserved.


NHL 2026-2027 ratings through results of 2026 OCTOBER 14 WEDNESDAY

this output has three parts: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom
                             (2) DIVISION AVERAGES
                                 (listed top-to-bottom & by conference)
                             (3) teams listed by DIVISION
                                 (listed in order within divisions)
The SCHEDULE ratings represent what the rating would have to be for a
hypothetical team to have a mathematical expectation of winning precisely 50%
of their games against the schedule played by the team in question in the games
that it has played so far.  The schedule difficulty of each given game takes
into account the rating of the opponent and the location of the game. This
is the same concept that is used in computing the WIN50% conference ratings.
To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL  .50  goals for the home
team.  Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 4.43 would be
favored by  .82  goals over a VISITING team having a rating of 4.11
Or a VISITING team with a rating of 4.56 would be favored by .17 goals
over a HOME team having a rating of 3.89
NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below.
      In the example just above, a home edge of .50 was shown for
      illustrative purposes. The home edge will vary during the season.
Several different home edges are shown, one for each of the several different type of ratings
directly over their respective columns.
The numbers to the right of a team's schedule strength are its rank of
schedule - (in parentheses) - and its record versus teams in these
rating's CURRENT top 10 and CURRENT top 16 respectively.
Teams that appear to be tied to two decimal places in a given column are actually
different when carried to more decimal places in the computer's internal arithmetic.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The PREDICTOR, is such that the score is the only thing that matters.
PREDICTOR is also known as PURE_POINTS, BALLANTINE, RHEINGOLD, WHITE OWL
and is a very good PREDICTOR of future games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
GOLDEN_MEAN also utilizes the actual SCORES of the games in a different way but is also completely SCORE BASED
and thus should be a good match for the PURE POINTS in terms of predictive accuracy for upcoming games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The RECENT, is score-based and weights RECENT play more heavily than earlier games. Its effect will become
more pronounced the longer a season goes if a given team happens to have an upward or downward trend.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The overall RATING is a synthesis of the three different SCORE-BASED methods, PREDICTOR(PURE_POINTS), GOLDEN_MEAN,
and RECENT and thus should be a good predictor in its own right.

Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines

just click on "Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines" and it will take you to the daily predictions at the bottom of the file where you'll also see the additional set of EXPERIMENTAL predictions which are the basic predictions that are adjusted to take into account each team's tendencies of performance at home and away along with the extra picks column of STRONG RECENT
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 14 Wednesday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG_RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.39]                                               [  0.28]       [  0.53]       [  0.16]       [  0.16]
   1  Carolina Hurricanes     =   4.53    6   2    3.89(  25)    1   2  |    2   2  |    4.60    1 |    4.54    1 |    4.32    4 |    4.41    5  METROPOLITAN
   2  Edmonton Oilers         =   4.50    5   1    3.83(  29)    0   0  |    1   0  |    4.49    2 |    4.52    2 |    4.43    3 |    4.50    2  pacific
   3  Vegas Golden Knights    =   4.38    6   2    3.85(  27)    0   1  |    1   2  |    4.32    8 |    4.47    3 |    4.29    7 |    4.29    7  pacific
   4  Tampa Bay Lightning     =   4.38    4   2    4.11(   9)    2   2  |    2   2  |    4.41    4 |    4.40    4 |    4.31    6 |    4.15   11  ATLANTIC
   5  Colorado Avalanche      =   4.37    4   3    3.85(  28)    0   0  |    1   2  |    4.45    3 |    4.37    5 |    4.23   12 |    4.17   10  central
   6  Minnesota Wild          =   4.36    4   3    4.21(   4)    2   1  |    3   1  |    4.40    5 |    4.36    6 |    4.31    5 |    4.21    9  central
   7  Washington Capitals     =   4.32    4   3    4.16(   7)    2   2  |    3   2  |    4.34    7 |    4.35    7 |    4.23   11 |    4.09   15  METROPOLITAN
   8  Florida Panthers        =   4.26    3   4    4.23(   2)    1   1  |    1   2  |    4.37    6 |    4.33    8 |    3.84   21 |    3.86   21  ATLANTIC
   9  Utah Mammoth            =   4.25    5   2    4.05(  12)    0   1  |    1   2  |    4.23    9 |    4.24    9 |    4.28    8 |    4.31    6  central
  10  New York Rangers        =   4.20    6   2    3.99(  16)    3   1  |    3   2  |    4.18   11 |    4.16   10 |    4.67    1 |    4.62    1  METROPOLITAN
NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 14 Wednesday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG_RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.39]                                               [  0.28]       [  0.53]       [  0.16]       [  0.16]
  11  Boston Bruins           =   4.17    5   2    4.01(  15)    2   1  |    2   2  |    4.16   12 |    4.11   13 |    4.54    2 |    4.49    3  ATLANTIC
  12  Dallas Stars            =   4.16    3   4    4.03(  14)    1   1  |    1   1  |    4.20   10 |    4.15   11 |    4.14   14 |    4.10   13  central
  13  Toronto Maple Leafs     =   4.08    3   4    4.07(  10)    1   2  |    1   4  |    4.05   14 |    4.09   15 |    4.16   13 |    4.08   16  ATLANTIC
  14  Ottawa Senators         =   4.08    5   2    3.90(  24)    0   0  |    2   0  |    4.03   15 |    4.14   12 |    3.98   17 |    4.07   18  ATLANTIC
  15  Anaheim Ducks           =   4.05    4   2    3.94(  23)    2   1  |    2   1  |    4.01   16 |    4.10   14 |    3.96   18 |    4.08   17  pacific
  16  Montreal Canadiens      =   4.01    3   4    3.97(  19)    0   2  |    1   2  |    4.06   13 |    4.02   16 |    3.83   22 |    3.80   22  ATLANTIC
  17  Seattle Kraken          =   3.92    5   2    3.98(  18)    1   2  |    1   2  |    3.85   22 |    3.85   21 |    4.27    9 |    4.43    4  pacific
  18  Winnipeg Jets           =   3.90    4   2    3.99(  17)    2   0  |    2   2  |    3.85   21 |    3.85   22 |    4.26   10 |    4.23    8  central
  19  New Jersey Devils       =   3.90    3   3    3.74(  32)    0   1  |    0   2  |    3.90   19 |    3.95   17 |    3.64   26 |    3.73   23  METROPOLITAN
  20  New York Islanders      =   3.90    3   3    3.82(  31)    0   2  |    0   3  |    3.85   23 |    3.88   20 |    4.10   15 |    4.09   14  METROPOLITAN
NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 14 Wednesday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG_RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.39]                                               [  0.28]       [  0.53]       [  0.16]       [  0.16]
  21  San Jose Sharks         =   3.90    3   3    4.03(  13)    1   1  |    1   3  |    3.90   18 |    3.93   18 |    3.74   24 |    3.71   25  pacific
  22  Buffalo Sabres          =   3.89    3   4    3.94(  22)    2   1  |    2   3  |    3.91   17 |    3.93   19 |    3.64   27 |    3.71   24  ATLANTIC
  23  St. Louis Blues         =   3.85    3   3    4.05(  11)    0   1  |    2   1  |    3.77   27 |    3.85   23 |    4.04   16 |    4.14   12  central
  24  Pittsburgh Penguins     =   3.84    3   4    3.94(  21)    0   1  |    2   1  |    3.82   25 |    3.84   24 |    3.91   20 |    3.94   19  METROPOLITAN
  25  Columbus Blue Jackets   =   3.80    2   3    3.86(  26)    0   2  |    0   2  |    3.82   24 |    3.84   25 |    3.57   29 |    3.63   29  METROPOLITAN
  26  Los Angeles Kings       =   3.78    0   5    4.33(   1)    0   4  |    0   4  |    3.89   20 |    3.75   26 |    3.57   30 |    3.47   30  pacific
  27  Nashville Predators     =   3.75    2   4    4.18(   5)    0   2  |    2   4  |    3.72   28 |    3.72   27 |    3.92   19 |    3.92   20  central
  28  Detroit Red Wings       =   3.65    1   5    3.83(  30)    0   1  |    1   2  |    3.68   29 |    3.61   28 |    3.74   23 |    3.70   26  ATLANTIC
  29  Philadelphia Flyers     =   3.65    0   8    4.17(   6)    0   3  |    0   5  |    3.79   26 |    3.53   29 |    3.50   31 |    3.34   32  METROPOLITAN
  30  Chicago Blackhawks      =   3.50    2   5    4.13(   8)    0   3  |    0   3  |    3.43   30 |    3.49   30 |    3.62   28 |    3.69   27  central
NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 14 Wednesday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG_RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.39]                                               [  0.28]       [  0.53]       [  0.16]       [  0.16]
  31  Vancouver Canucks       =   3.41    2   6    4.22(   3)    1   4  |    1   4  |    3.31   31 |    3.33   31 |    3.65   25 |    3.68   28  pacific
  32  Calgary Flames          =   3.28    1   5    3.95(  20)    0   1  |    1   2  |    3.23   32 |    3.29   32 |    3.32   32 |    3.36   31  pacific
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Divisional Rankings

There are three group ratings, the "central mean", the
"simple average" (also known as the "arithmetic mean",)
and the WIN50%.
The "central mean" gives the most weight to the middle team(s)
in the group and progressively less weight to teams as you go
away from the middle in either direction, up or down.
This tends to smooth out the effect of anomalous teams that are rated
much higher and lower than the middle team(s) in the group.  The
"simple average" ("arithmetic mean") weights each team equally
no matter where they are relative to the middle.
Here are a few examples of how the "central mean" is computed.
  4-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-2-1
  5-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-2-1
  6-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-3-2-1
  7-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-3-2-1
  8-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-4-3-2-1
  9-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-4-3-2-1
 10-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-5-4-3-2-1
 11-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-5-4-3-2-1
 12-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-6-5-4-3-2-1
 13-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-7-6-5-4-3-2-1
This is an expanded version of the "tri-mean".
The WIN50% is the rating required to win 50% of the games if playing an
infinite number of round-robins in the given group at a neutral location.
      DIVISION            CENTRAL MEAN    SIMPLE AVERAGE  TEAMS      WIN50%         RATING          PREDICTOR         GOLDEN_MEAN         RECENT          STRONG_RECENT
   1  ATLANTIC                =   4.07       4.06  (  1)      8       4.06  (  1)   4.0643( 0.2230)   4.0844( 0.2378)   4.0796( 0.2451)   4.0025( 0.3081)   3.9828( 0.2707)
   2  central                 =   4.03       4.02  (  2)      8       4.02  (  2)   4.0175( 0.3138)   4.0058( 0.3650)   4.0034( 0.3235)   4.1000( 0.2362)   4.0976( 0.1986)
   3  METROPOLITAN            =   3.99       4.02  (  3)      8       4.02  (  3)   4.0168( 0.2990)   4.0362( 0.3024)   4.0112( 0.3236)   3.9931( 0.4099)   3.9799( 0.4167)
   4  pacific                 =   3.91       3.90  (  4)      8       3.90  (  4)   3.9014( 0.4226)   3.8736( 0.4347)   3.9058( 0.4596)   3.9044( 0.3968)   3.9397( 0.4427)
       OVERALL                                                                      4.0000( 0.3126)   4.0000( 0.3354)   4.0000( 0.3354)   4.0000( 0.3354)   4.0000( 0.3354)
      DIVISION            CENTRAL MEAN    SIMPLE AVERAGE  TEAMS      WIN50%         RATING          PREDICTOR         GOLDEN_MEAN         RECENT          STRONG_RECENT
   3  METROPOLITAN            =   3.99       4.02  (  3)      8       4.02  (  3)   4.0168( 0.2990)   4.0362( 0.3024)   4.0112( 0.3236)   3.9931( 0.4099)   3.9799( 0.4167)
   1  ATLANTIC                =   4.07       4.06  (  1)      8       4.06  (  1)   4.0643( 0.2230)   4.0844( 0.2378)   4.0796( 0.2451)   4.0025( 0.3081)   3.9828( 0.2707)
   2  central                 =   4.03       4.02  (  2)      8       4.02  (  2)   4.0175( 0.3138)   4.0058( 0.3650)   4.0034( 0.3235)   4.1000( 0.2362)   4.0976( 0.1986)
   4  pacific                 =   3.91       3.90  (  4)      8       3.90  (  4)   3.9014( 0.4226)   3.8736( 0.4347)   3.9058( 0.4596)   3.9044( 0.3968)   3.9397( 0.4427)
       OVERALL                                                                      4.0000( 0.3126)   4.0000( 0.3354)   4.0000( 0.3354)   4.0000( 0.3354)   4.0000( 0.3354)
__________________________________________________________________________________________________

By Division

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 3 METROPOLITAN = 3.99 NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 14 Wednesday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.39] [ 0.28] [ 0.53] [ 0.16] [ 0.16] 1 Carolina Hurricanes = 4.53 6 2 3.89( 25) 1 2 | 2 2 | 4.60 1 | 4.54 1 | 4.32 4 | 4.41 5 METROPOLITAN 7 Washington Capitals = 4.32 4 3 4.16( 7) 2 2 | 3 2 | 4.34 7 | 4.35 7 | 4.23 11 | 4.09 15 METROPOLITAN 10 New York Rangers = 4.20 6 2 3.99( 16) 3 1 | 3 2 | 4.18 11 | 4.16 10 | 4.67 1 | 4.62 1 METROPOLITAN 19 New Jersey Devils = 3.90 3 3 3.74( 32) 0 1 | 0 2 | 3.90 19 | 3.95 17 | 3.64 26 | 3.73 23 METROPOLITAN 20 New York Islanders = 3.90 3 3 3.82( 31) 0 2 | 0 3 | 3.85 23 | 3.88 20 | 4.10 15 | 4.09 14 METROPOLITAN 24 Pittsburgh Penguins = 3.84 3 4 3.94( 21) 0 1 | 2 1 | 3.82 25 | 3.84 24 | 3.91 20 | 3.94 19 METROPOLITAN 25 Columbus Blue Jackets = 3.80 2 3 3.86( 26) 0 2 | 0 2 | 3.82 24 | 3.84 25 | 3.57 29 | 3.63 29 METROPOLITAN 29 Philadelphia Flyers = 3.65 0 8 4.17( 6) 0 3 | 0 5 | 3.79 26 | 3.53 29 | 3.50 31 | 3.34 32 METROPOLITAN _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 ATLANTIC = 4.07 NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 14 Wednesday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.39] [ 0.28] [ 0.53] [ 0.16] [ 0.16] 4 Tampa Bay Lightning = 4.38 4 2 4.11( 9) 2 2 | 2 2 | 4.41 4 | 4.40 4 | 4.31 6 | 4.15 11 ATLANTIC 8 Florida Panthers = 4.26 3 4 4.23( 2) 1 1 | 1 2 | 4.37 6 | 4.33 8 | 3.84 21 | 3.86 21 ATLANTIC 11 Boston Bruins = 4.17 5 2 4.01( 15) 2 1 | 2 2 | 4.16 12 | 4.11 13 | 4.54 2 | 4.49 3 ATLANTIC 13 Toronto Maple Leafs = 4.08 3 4 4.07( 10) 1 2 | 1 4 | 4.05 14 | 4.09 15 | 4.16 13 | 4.08 16 ATLANTIC 14 Ottawa Senators = 4.08 5 2 3.90( 24) 0 0 | 2 0 | 4.03 15 | 4.14 12 | 3.98 17 | 4.07 18 ATLANTIC 16 Montreal Canadiens = 4.01 3 4 3.97( 19) 0 2 | 1 2 | 4.06 13 | 4.02 16 | 3.83 22 | 3.80 22 ATLANTIC 22 Buffalo Sabres = 3.89 3 4 3.94( 22) 2 1 | 2 3 | 3.91 17 | 3.93 19 | 3.64 27 | 3.71 24 ATLANTIC 28 Detroit Red Wings = 3.65 1 5 3.83( 30) 0 1 | 1 2 | 3.68 29 | 3.61 28 | 3.74 23 | 3.70 26 ATLANTIC _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 2 central = 4.03 NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 14 Wednesday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.39] [ 0.28] [ 0.53] [ 0.16] [ 0.16] 5 Colorado Avalanche = 4.37 4 3 3.85( 28) 0 0 | 1 2 | 4.45 3 | 4.37 5 | 4.23 12 | 4.17 10 central 6 Minnesota Wild = 4.36 4 3 4.21( 4) 2 1 | 3 1 | 4.40 5 | 4.36 6 | 4.31 5 | 4.21 9 central 9 Utah Mammoth = 4.25 5 2 4.05( 12) 0 1 | 1 2 | 4.23 9 | 4.24 9 | 4.28 8 | 4.31 6 central 12 Dallas Stars = 4.16 3 4 4.03( 14) 1 1 | 1 1 | 4.20 10 | 4.15 11 | 4.14 14 | 4.10 13 central 18 Winnipeg Jets = 3.90 4 2 3.99( 17) 2 0 | 2 2 | 3.85 21 | 3.85 22 | 4.26 10 | 4.23 8 central 23 St. Louis Blues = 3.85 3 3 4.05( 11) 0 1 | 2 1 | 3.77 27 | 3.85 23 | 4.04 16 | 4.14 12 central 27 Nashville Predators = 3.75 2 4 4.18( 5) 0 2 | 2 4 | 3.72 28 | 3.72 27 | 3.92 19 | 3.92 20 central 30 Chicago Blackhawks = 3.50 2 5 4.13( 8) 0 3 | 0 3 | 3.43 30 | 3.49 30 | 3.62 28 | 3.69 27 central _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 4 pacific = 3.91 NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 14 Wednesday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.39] [ 0.28] [ 0.53] [ 0.16] [ 0.16] 2 Edmonton Oilers = 4.50 5 1 3.83( 29) 0 0 | 1 0 | 4.49 2 | 4.52 2 | 4.43 3 | 4.50 2 pacific 3 Vegas Golden Knights = 4.38 6 2 3.85( 27) 0 1 | 1 2 | 4.32 8 | 4.47 3 | 4.29 7 | 4.29 7 pacific 15 Anaheim Ducks = 4.05 4 2 3.94( 23) 2 1 | 2 1 | 4.01 16 | 4.10 14 | 3.96 18 | 4.08 17 pacific 17 Seattle Kraken = 3.92 5 2 3.98( 18) 1 2 | 1 2 | 3.85 22 | 3.85 21 | 4.27 9 | 4.43 4 pacific 21 San Jose Sharks = 3.90 3 3 4.03( 13) 1 1 | 1 3 | 3.90 18 | 3.93 18 | 3.74 24 | 3.71 25 pacific 26 Los Angeles Kings = 3.78 0 5 4.33( 1) 0 4 | 0 4 | 3.89 20 | 3.75 26 | 3.57 30 | 3.47 30 pacific 31 Vancouver Canucks = 3.41 2 6 4.22( 3) 1 4 | 1 4 | 3.31 31 | 3.33 31 | 3.65 25 | 3.68 28 pacific 32 Calgary Flames = 3.28 1 5 3.95( 20) 0 1 | 1 2 | 3.23 32 | 3.29 32 | 3.32 32 | 3.36 31 pacific _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ These are the "regular method". _ HOME or CLOSEBY (c) is denoted _ by an "@" next to the HOME or CLOSER team _ An "n" for NEUTRAL location will appear if a neutral game Rating Favorite _ Strong MONEYLINE=odds to 100 _ FAVORITE Rating Predict Golden Recent Recent UNDERDOG ODDS PCT% TOTAL _ ====================================================================================================================================

Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines

NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 14 Wednesday HOME ADVANTAGE= 0.39 0.28 0.53 0.16 0.16 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 1 @ New Jersey Devils 0.08 0.01 0.32 -0.87 -0.73 New York Rangers 105 51% 1.59 4.22 5.81 -2.62 17% -487 2 @ Ottawa Senators 0.57 0.46 0.79 0.03 0.14 New York Islanders 145 59% 2.41 2.37 4.78 0.05 51% 103 3 @ Toronto Maple Leafs 0.57 0.42 0.70 0.68 0.53 Buffalo Sabres 145 59% 4.50 2.49 6.99 2.02 78% 347 4 @ Florida Panthers 1.24 1.35 1.54 0.35 0.34 Vancouver Canucks 220 69% 3.66 3.12 6.78 0.54 59% 143 5 @ Tampa Bay Lightning 0.85 0.84 1.08 0.19 -0.12 Seattle Kraken 173 63% 3.89 3.41 7.30 0.48 58% 137 6 @ Detroit Red Wings 0.39 0.17 0.61 0.40 0.52 Philadelphia Flyers 129 56% 2.99 1.78 4.77 1.20 68% 216 7 @ Nashville Predators 0.24 0.10 0.32 0.34 0.37 San Jose Sharks 117 54% 4.26 3.02 7.28 1.24 69% 220 8 Winnipeg Jets 0.02 0.14 -0.17 0.48 0.38 @ Chicago Blackhawks 101 50% 2.13 3.40 5.53 -1.27 31% -225 9 @ Minnesota Wild 0.89 0.91 1.05 0.43 0.23 St. Louis Blues 178 64% 3.45 2.05 5.50 1.40 71% 242 10 @ Edmonton Oilers 0.64 0.53 0.81 0.31 0.35 Utah Mammoth 151 60% 3.50 2.97 6.47 0.53 59% 141 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 11 @ Vegas Golden Knights 1.48 1.36 1.71 1.12 1.08 Calgary Flames 255 72% 4.46 1.16 5.62 3.30 87% 700 EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS INVOLVING HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENTS FOR EACH TEAM NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 14 Wednesday HOME ADVANTAGE= 0.39 0.28 0.53 0.16 0.16 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 1 New York Rangers 1.29 1.37 1.05 2.24 2.10 @ New Jersey Devils 227 69% 0.91 4.91 5.81 -4.00 9% -997 2 @ Ottawa Senators 1.00 0.89 1.22 0.46 0.57 New York Islanders 190 65% 2.63 2.15 4.78 0.48 58% 137 3 @ Toronto Maple Leafs 1.90 1.75 2.03 2.01 1.86 Buffalo Sabres 325 76% 5.17 1.82 6.99 3.35 88% 716 4 @ Florida Panthers 1.19 1.30 1.49 0.30 0.29 Vancouver Canucks 214 68% 3.64 3.14 6.78 0.50 58% 138 5 Seattle Kraken 0.19 0.20 -0.04 0.84 1.16 @ Tampa Bay Lightning 113 53% 3.37 3.93 7.30 -0.56 41% -144 6 @ Detroit Red Wings 1.86 1.64 2.08 1.87 1.99 Philadelphia Flyers 317 76% 3.72 1.05 4.77 2.67 83% 500 7 @ Nashville Predators 0.63 0.49 0.71 0.73 0.76 San Jose Sharks 151 60% 4.45 2.82 7.28 1.63 74% 278 8 Winnipeg Jets 1.11 1.23 0.92 1.57 1.47 @ Chicago Blackhawks 204 67% 1.58 3.95 5.53 -2.36 19% -421 9 @ Minnesota Wild 1.71 1.73 1.86 1.24 1.04 St. Louis Blues 290 74% 3.86 1.64 5.50 2.22 80% 388 10 @ Edmonton Oilers 0.59 0.48 0.76 0.26 0.30 Utah Mammoth 147 59% 3.47 2.99 6.47 0.48 58% 137 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 11 @ Vegas Golden Knights 4.26 4.14 4.49 3.90 3.86 Calgary Flames 1132 92% 5.85 -0.23 5.62 6.08 96% 2396
EIGENVECTOR Analysis            eigen MONEY=odds to 100  EPCT%=confidence
          EFAVORITE           ESPREAD EODDS EPCT%    EUNDERDOG
    1    New York Rangers       2.03   350   78%  @ New Jersey Devils
    2  @ Ottawa Senators        0.75   162   62%    New York Islanders
    3  @ Toronto Maple Leafs    0.63   151   60%    Buffalo Sabres
    4  @ Florida Panthers       0.80   168   63%    Vancouver Canucks
    5    Seattle Kraken         0.35   126   56%  @ Tampa Bay Lightning
    6  @ Detroit Red Wings      0.98   188   65%    Philadelphia Flyers
    7  @ Nashville Predators    0.12   108   52%    San Jose Sharks
    8    Winnipeg Jets          1.35   234   70%  @ Chicago Blackhawks
    9  @ Minnesota Wild         0.49   138   58%    St. Louis Blues
   10  @ Edmonton Oilers        1.08   200   67%    Utah Mammoth
   11  @ Vegas Golden Knights   1.81   307   75%    Calgary Flames
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