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Jeff Sagarin'stm NHL Hockey Ratings


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All Contents Copyright © 2026 Jeff Sagarintm. All Rights Reserved.


NHL 2026-2027 ratings through results of 2026 NOVEMBER 4 WEDNESDAY

this output has three parts: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom
                             (2) DIVISION AVERAGES
                                 (listed top-to-bottom & by conference)
                             (3) teams listed by DIVISION
                                 (listed in order within divisions)
The SCHEDULE ratings represent what the rating would have to be for a
hypothetical team to have a mathematical expectation of winning precisely 50%
of their games against the schedule played by the team in question in the games
that it has played so far.  The schedule difficulty of each given game takes
into account the rating of the opponent and the location of the game. This
is the same concept that is used in computing the WIN50% conference ratings.
To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL  .50  goals for the home
team.  Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 4.43 would be
favored by  .82  goals over a VISITING team having a rating of 4.11
Or a VISITING team with a rating of 4.56 would be favored by .17 goals
over a HOME team having a rating of 3.89
NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below.
      In the example just above, a home edge of .50 was shown for
      illustrative purposes. The home edge will vary during the season.
Several different home edges are shown, one for each of the several different type of ratings
directly over their respective columns.
The numbers to the right of a team's schedule strength are its rank of
schedule - (in parentheses) - and its record versus teams in these
rating's CURRENT top 10 and CURRENT top 16 respectively.
Teams that appear to be tied to two decimal places in a given column are actually
different when carried to more decimal places in the computer's internal arithmetic.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The PREDICTOR, is such that the score is the only thing that matters.
PREDICTOR is also known as PURE_POINTS, BALLANTINE, RHEINGOLD, WHITE OWL
and is a very good PREDICTOR of future games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
GOLDEN_MEAN also utilizes the actual SCORES of the games in a different way but is also completely SCORE BASED
and thus should be a good match for the PURE POINTS in terms of predictive accuracy for upcoming games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The RECENT, is score-based and weights RECENT play more heavily than earlier games. Its effect will become
more pronounced the longer a season goes if a given team happens to have an upward or downward trend.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The overall RATING is a synthesis of the three different SCORE-BASED methods, PREDICTOR(PURE_POINTS), GOLDEN_MEAN,
and RECENT and thus should be a good predictor in its own right.

Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines

just click on "Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines" and it will take you to the daily predictions at the bottom of the file where you'll also see the additional set of EXPERIMENTAL predictions which are the basic predictions that are adjusted to take into account each team's tendencies of performance at home and away along with the extra picks column of STRONG RECENT
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 November 4 Wednesday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG_RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.22]                                               [  0.22]       [  0.22]       [  0.22]       [  0.22]
   1  Carolina Hurricanes     =   4.62   12   5    3.85(  31)    1   2  |    3   3  |    4.67    1 |    4.61    1 |    4.55    3 |    4.53    4  METROPOLITAN
   2  Edmonton Oilers         =   4.54   11   5    3.93(  24)    2   1  |    4   3  |    4.51    2 |    4.52    2 |    4.63    1 |    4.63    2  pacific
   3  Minnesota Wild          =   4.50   11   6    4.05(  11)    3   2  |    5   2  |    4.48    3 |    4.49    3 |    4.57    2 |    4.56    3  central
   4  Colorado Avalanche      =   4.42    9   7    3.89(  27)    3   2  |    3   3  |    4.47    4 |    4.39    5 |    4.37    5 |    4.34    6  central
   5  Tampa Bay Lightning     =   4.33    9   5    3.96(  22)    2   1  |    3   4  |    4.34    6 |    4.39    4 |    4.28    7 |    4.23    8  ATLANTIC
   6  Vegas Golden Knights    =   4.29   10   7    3.90(  26)    0   4  |    2   4  |    4.31    7 |    4.31    7 |    4.22   10 |    4.19   10  pacific
   7  Boston Bruins           =   4.28   11   5    3.95(  23)    1   3  |    3   4  |    4.23   10 |    4.21   12 |    4.55    4 |    4.65    1  ATLANTIC
   8  New Jersey Devils       =   4.27   10   5    4.01(  18)    4   1  |    5   4  |    4.23    9 |    4.26    9 |    4.36    6 |    4.38    5  METROPOLITAN
   9  Dallas Stars            =   4.26    9   6    3.92(  25)    2   2  |    3   3  |    4.27    8 |    4.25   10 |    4.26    8 |    4.25    7  central
  10  Florida Panthers        =   4.23    9   7    3.86(  30)    1   1  |    1   2  |    4.36    5 |    4.32    6 |    3.92   20 |    3.89   20  ATLANTIC
NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 November 4 Wednesday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG_RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.22]                                               [  0.22]       [  0.22]       [  0.22]       [  0.22]
  11  Washington Capitals     =   4.20    8   6    4.02(  16)    2   4  |    4   4  |    4.22   11 |    4.28    8 |    4.11   13 |    4.05   15  METROPOLITAN
  12  Utah Mammoth            =   4.17   10   6    4.11(   4)    3   3  |    5   4  |    4.13   14 |    4.20   13 |    4.23    9 |    4.22    9  central
  13  Montreal Canadiens      =   4.16    9   6    3.87(  29)    1   1  |    2   2  |    4.19   12 |    4.21   11 |    4.01   18 |    4.03   17  ATLANTIC
  14  Toronto Maple Leafs     =   4.13    8   9    3.96(  21)    2   1  |    3   5  |    4.16   13 |    4.12   14 |    4.12   12 |    4.04   16  ATLANTIC
  15  Ottawa Senators         =   4.07   10   7    3.98(  19)    3   1  |    5   1  |    4.07   15 |    4.10   15 |    4.02   16 |    4.06   13  ATLANTIC
  16  New York Rangers        =   3.96    8   8    4.03(  15)    2   3  |    3   6  |    3.91   19 |    3.94   17 |    4.12   11 |    4.15   12  METROPOLITAN
  17  New York Islanders      =   3.94    7   7    4.03(  13)    2   3  |    3   6  |    3.92   18 |    3.93   18 |    4.01   17 |    4.01   18  METROPOLITAN
  18  Los Angeles Kings       =   3.93    5   9    4.09(   6)    0   6  |    3   6  |    3.98   16 |    3.93   19 |    3.84   22 |    3.78   23  pacific
  19  Buffalo Sabres          =   3.91    7   8    4.03(  14)    2   1  |    3   6  |    3.95   17 |    3.96   16 |    3.72   26 |    3.74   26  ATLANTIC
  20  Columbus Blue Jackets   =   3.90    6   7    4.09(   7)    2   4  |    3   6  |    3.90   21 |    3.91   21 |    3.90   21 |    3.87   21  METROPOLITAN
NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 November 4 Wednesday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG_RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.22]                                               [  0.22]       [  0.22]       [  0.22]       [  0.22]
  21  Anaheim Ducks           =   3.88    7   8    3.89(  28)    2   3  |    3   4  |    3.91   20 |    3.91   20 |    3.78   25 |    3.77   24  pacific
  22  St. Louis Blues         =   3.87    7   8    4.05(   9)    3   3  |    4   5  |    3.83   23 |    3.84   22 |    3.99   19 |    3.99   19  central
  23  Nashville Predators     =   3.86    6   9    4.10(   5)    4   3  |    5   6  |    3.81   24 |    3.81   23 |    4.03   15 |    4.05   14  central
  24  Seattle Kraken          =   3.84    9   6    3.98(  20)    0   5  |    3   5  |    3.73   26 |    3.80   24 |    4.05   14 |    4.17   11  pacific
  25  Pittsburgh Penguins     =   3.83    5  10    4.05(  10)    2   3  |    3   7  |    3.89   22 |    3.76   26 |    3.82   23 |    3.75   25  METROPOLITAN
  26  Detroit Red Wings       =   3.78    7   9    3.84(  32)    2   2  |    3   4  |    3.77   25 |    3.74   27 |    3.81   24 |    3.87   22  ATLANTIC
  27  San Jose Sharks         =   3.70    7  10    4.02(  17)    1   4  |    3   6  |    3.71   27 |    3.79   25 |    3.51   30 |    3.47   29  pacific
  28  Philadelphia Flyers     =   3.64    4  13    4.12(   3)    1   6  |    3   8  |    3.68   28 |    3.65   28 |    3.55   28 |    3.47   30  METROPOLITAN
  29  Winnipeg Jets           =   3.54    5  11    4.18(   1)    2   7  |    3   8  |    3.53   29 |    3.54   29 |    3.54   29 |    3.60   28  central
  30  Calgary Flames          =   3.48    7   9    4.04(  12)    2   4  |    3   4  |    3.36   30 |    3.48   30 |    3.58   27 |    3.67   27  pacific
NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 November 4 Wednesday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG_RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.22]                                               [  0.22]       [  0.22]       [  0.22]       [  0.22]
  31  Chicago Blackhawks      =   3.26    4  12    4.06(   8)    0   7  |    0   9  |    3.28   31 |    3.26   31 |    3.18   32 |    3.21   32  central
  32  Vancouver Canucks       =   3.24    3  14    4.17(   2)    1   8  |    1  10  |    3.20   32 |    3.10   32 |    3.36   31 |    3.39   31  pacific
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Divisional Rankings

There are three group ratings, the "central mean", the
"simple average" (also known as the "arithmetic mean",)
and the WIN50%.
The "central mean" gives the most weight to the middle team(s)
in the group and progressively less weight to teams as you go
away from the middle in either direction, up or down.
This tends to smooth out the effect of anomalous teams that are rated
much higher and lower than the middle team(s) in the group.  The
"simple average" ("arithmetic mean") weights each team equally
no matter where they are relative to the middle.
Here are a few examples of how the "central mean" is computed.
  4-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-2-1
  5-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-2-1
  6-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-3-2-1
  7-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-3-2-1
  8-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-4-3-2-1
  9-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-4-3-2-1
 10-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-5-4-3-2-1
 11-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-5-4-3-2-1
 12-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-6-5-4-3-2-1
 13-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-7-6-5-4-3-2-1
This is an expanded version of the "tri-mean".
The WIN50% is the rating required to win 50% of the games if playing an
infinite number of round-robins in the given group at a neutral location.
      DIVISION            CENTRAL MEAN    SIMPLE AVERAGE  TEAMS      WIN50%         RATING          PREDICTOR         GOLDEN_MEAN         RECENT          STRONG_RECENT
   1  ATLANTIC                =   4.13       4.11  (  1)      8       4.11  (  1)   4.1106( 0.1872)   4.1333( 0.1976)   4.1307( 0.2084)   4.0531( 0.2642)   4.0642( 0.2783)
   2  METROPOLITAN            =   4.02       4.04  (  2)      8       4.04  (  2)   4.0450( 0.3049)   4.0532( 0.3080)   4.0427( 0.3168)   4.0530( 0.3128)   4.0245( 0.3389)
   3  central                 =   4.01       3.98  (  3)      8       3.99  (  3)   3.9838( 0.4324)   3.9753( 0.4378)   3.9715( 0.4321)   4.0219( 0.4563)   4.0281( 0.4333)
   4  pacific                 =   3.85       3.86  (  4)      8       3.86  (  4)   3.8606( 0.4146)   3.8382( 0.4417)   3.8551( 0.4449)   3.8720( 0.4164)   3.8832( 0.4159)
       OVERALL                                                                      4.0000( 0.3445)   4.0000( 0.3603)   4.0000( 0.3603)   4.0000( 0.3603)   4.0000( 0.3603)
      DIVISION            CENTRAL MEAN    SIMPLE AVERAGE  TEAMS      WIN50%         RATING          PREDICTOR         GOLDEN_MEAN         RECENT          STRONG_RECENT
   2  METROPOLITAN            =   4.02       4.04  (  2)      8       4.04  (  2)   4.0450( 0.3049)   4.0532( 0.3080)   4.0427( 0.3168)   4.0530( 0.3128)   4.0245( 0.3389)
   1  ATLANTIC                =   4.13       4.11  (  1)      8       4.11  (  1)   4.1106( 0.1872)   4.1333( 0.1976)   4.1307( 0.2084)   4.0531( 0.2642)   4.0642( 0.2783)
   3  central                 =   4.01       3.98  (  3)      8       3.99  (  3)   3.9838( 0.4324)   3.9753( 0.4378)   3.9715( 0.4321)   4.0219( 0.4563)   4.0281( 0.4333)
   4  pacific                 =   3.85       3.86  (  4)      8       3.86  (  4)   3.8606( 0.4146)   3.8382( 0.4417)   3.8551( 0.4449)   3.8720( 0.4164)   3.8832( 0.4159)
       OVERALL                                                                      4.0000( 0.3445)   4.0000( 0.3603)   4.0000( 0.3603)   4.0000( 0.3603)   4.0000( 0.3603)
__________________________________________________________________________________________________

By Division

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 2 METROPOLITAN = 4.02 NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 November 4 Wednesday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.22] [ 0.22] [ 0.22] [ 0.22] [ 0.22] 1 Carolina Hurricanes = 4.62 12 5 3.85( 31) 1 2 | 3 3 | 4.67 1 | 4.61 1 | 4.55 3 | 4.53 4 METROPOLITAN 8 New Jersey Devils = 4.27 10 5 4.01( 18) 4 1 | 5 4 | 4.23 9 | 4.26 9 | 4.36 6 | 4.38 5 METROPOLITAN 11 Washington Capitals = 4.20 8 6 4.02( 16) 2 4 | 4 4 | 4.22 11 | 4.28 8 | 4.11 13 | 4.05 15 METROPOLITAN 16 New York Rangers = 3.96 8 8 4.03( 15) 2 3 | 3 6 | 3.91 19 | 3.94 17 | 4.12 11 | 4.15 12 METROPOLITAN 17 New York Islanders = 3.94 7 7 4.03( 13) 2 3 | 3 6 | 3.92 18 | 3.93 18 | 4.01 17 | 4.01 18 METROPOLITAN 20 Columbus Blue Jackets = 3.90 6 7 4.09( 7) 2 4 | 3 6 | 3.90 21 | 3.91 21 | 3.90 21 | 3.87 21 METROPOLITAN 25 Pittsburgh Penguins = 3.83 5 10 4.05( 10) 2 3 | 3 7 | 3.89 22 | 3.76 26 | 3.82 23 | 3.75 25 METROPOLITAN 28 Philadelphia Flyers = 3.64 4 13 4.12( 3) 1 6 | 3 8 | 3.68 28 | 3.65 28 | 3.55 28 | 3.47 30 METROPOLITAN _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 ATLANTIC = 4.13 NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 November 4 Wednesday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.22] [ 0.22] [ 0.22] [ 0.22] [ 0.22] 5 Tampa Bay Lightning = 4.33 9 5 3.96( 22) 2 1 | 3 4 | 4.34 6 | 4.39 4 | 4.28 7 | 4.23 8 ATLANTIC 7 Boston Bruins = 4.28 11 5 3.95( 23) 1 3 | 3 4 | 4.23 10 | 4.21 12 | 4.55 4 | 4.65 1 ATLANTIC 10 Florida Panthers = 4.23 9 7 3.86( 30) 1 1 | 1 2 | 4.36 5 | 4.32 6 | 3.92 20 | 3.89 20 ATLANTIC 13 Montreal Canadiens = 4.16 9 6 3.87( 29) 1 1 | 2 2 | 4.19 12 | 4.21 11 | 4.01 18 | 4.03 17 ATLANTIC 14 Toronto Maple Leafs = 4.13 8 9 3.96( 21) 2 1 | 3 5 | 4.16 13 | 4.12 14 | 4.12 12 | 4.04 16 ATLANTIC 15 Ottawa Senators = 4.07 10 7 3.98( 19) 3 1 | 5 1 | 4.07 15 | 4.10 15 | 4.02 16 | 4.06 13 ATLANTIC 19 Buffalo Sabres = 3.91 7 8 4.03( 14) 2 1 | 3 6 | 3.95 17 | 3.96 16 | 3.72 26 | 3.74 26 ATLANTIC 26 Detroit Red Wings = 3.78 7 9 3.84( 32) 2 2 | 3 4 | 3.77 25 | 3.74 27 | 3.81 24 | 3.87 22 ATLANTIC _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 3 central = 4.01 NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 November 4 Wednesday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.22] [ 0.22] [ 0.22] [ 0.22] [ 0.22] 3 Minnesota Wild = 4.50 11 6 4.05( 11) 3 2 | 5 2 | 4.48 3 | 4.49 3 | 4.57 2 | 4.56 3 central 4 Colorado Avalanche = 4.42 9 7 3.89( 27) 3 2 | 3 3 | 4.47 4 | 4.39 5 | 4.37 5 | 4.34 6 central 9 Dallas Stars = 4.26 9 6 3.92( 25) 2 2 | 3 3 | 4.27 8 | 4.25 10 | 4.26 8 | 4.25 7 central 12 Utah Mammoth = 4.17 10 6 4.11( 4) 3 3 | 5 4 | 4.13 14 | 4.20 13 | 4.23 9 | 4.22 9 central 22 St. Louis Blues = 3.87 7 8 4.05( 9) 3 3 | 4 5 | 3.83 23 | 3.84 22 | 3.99 19 | 3.99 19 central 23 Nashville Predators = 3.86 6 9 4.10( 5) 4 3 | 5 6 | 3.81 24 | 3.81 23 | 4.03 15 | 4.05 14 central 29 Winnipeg Jets = 3.54 5 11 4.18( 1) 2 7 | 3 8 | 3.53 29 | 3.54 29 | 3.54 29 | 3.60 28 central 31 Chicago Blackhawks = 3.26 4 12 4.06( 8) 0 7 | 0 9 | 3.28 31 | 3.26 31 | 3.18 32 | 3.21 32 central _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 4 pacific = 3.85 NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 November 4 Wednesday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.22] [ 0.22] [ 0.22] [ 0.22] [ 0.22] 2 Edmonton Oilers = 4.54 11 5 3.93( 24) 2 1 | 4 3 | 4.51 2 | 4.52 2 | 4.63 1 | 4.63 2 pacific 6 Vegas Golden Knights = 4.29 10 7 3.90( 26) 0 4 | 2 4 | 4.31 7 | 4.31 7 | 4.22 10 | 4.19 10 pacific 18 Los Angeles Kings = 3.93 5 9 4.09( 6) 0 6 | 3 6 | 3.98 16 | 3.93 19 | 3.84 22 | 3.78 23 pacific 21 Anaheim Ducks = 3.88 7 8 3.89( 28) 2 3 | 3 4 | 3.91 20 | 3.91 20 | 3.78 25 | 3.77 24 pacific 24 Seattle Kraken = 3.84 9 6 3.98( 20) 0 5 | 3 5 | 3.73 26 | 3.80 24 | 4.05 14 | 4.17 11 pacific 27 San Jose Sharks = 3.70 7 10 4.02( 17) 1 4 | 3 6 | 3.71 27 | 3.79 25 | 3.51 30 | 3.47 29 pacific 30 Calgary Flames = 3.48 7 9 4.04( 12) 2 4 | 3 4 | 3.36 30 | 3.48 30 | 3.58 27 | 3.67 27 pacific 32 Vancouver Canucks = 3.24 3 14 4.17( 2) 1 8 | 1 10 | 3.20 32 | 3.10 32 | 3.36 31 | 3.39 31 pacific _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ These are the "regular method". _ HOME or CLOSEBY (c) is denoted _ by an "@" next to the HOME or CLOSER team _ An "n" for NEUTRAL location will appear if a neutral game Rating Favorite _ Strong MONEYLINE=odds to 100 _ FAVORITE Rating Predict Golden Recent Recent UNDERDOG ODDS PCT% TOTAL _ ====================================================================================================================================

Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines

NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 November 4 Wednesday HOME ADVANTAGE= 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 1 @ Montreal Canadiens 0.21 0.29 0.23 0.00 0.03 Utah Mammoth 116 54% 3.46 3.74 7.21 -0.28 45% -121 2 Carolina Hurricanes 0.45 0.52 0.46 0.32 0.29 @ New York Islanders 136 58% 2.40 3.00 5.40 -0.60 40% -151 3 @ New York Rangers 0.55 0.45 0.51 0.79 0.90 Philadelphia Flyers 145 59% 3.08 1.58 4.66 1.51 73% 268 4 @ New Jersey Devils 0.62 0.62 0.65 0.60 0.61 St. Louis Blues 153 60% 3.38 2.53 5.91 0.84 64% 177 5 Boston Bruins 0.22 0.12 0.22 0.50 0.67 @ Pittsburgh Penguins 117 54% 2.67 3.94 6.61 -1.27 30% -231 6 @ Tampa Bay Lightning 1.30 1.28 1.36 1.32 1.24 Chicago Blackhawks 236 70% 4.56 2.31 6.87 2.25 81% 417 7 Dallas Stars 0.14 0.15 0.12 0.14 0.15 @ Columbus Blue Jacket 110 52% 2.21 2.54 4.75 -0.33 44% -126 8 Vegas Golden Knights 0.29 0.32 0.35 0.19 0.10 @ Detroit Red Wings 122 55% 2.69 3.21 5.89 -0.52 41% -143 9 @ Winnipeg Jets 0.53 0.54 0.66 0.40 0.43 Vancouver Canucks 143 59% 3.56 3.20 6.76 0.36 56% 128 10 @ Colorado Avalanche 0.78 0.88 0.80 0.56 0.51 Nashville Predators 169 63% 4.05 3.40 7.45 0.66 61% 156 NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 November 4 Wednesday HOME ADVANTAGE= 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 11 @ Edmonton Oilers 0.88 0.83 0.84 1.07 1.08 Anaheim Ducks 181 64% 4.78 3.14 7.92 1.65 74% 292 EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS INVOLVING HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENTS FOR EACH TEAM NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 November 4 Wednesday HOME ADVANTAGE= 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 1 Utah Mammoth 0.77 0.70 0.75 0.99 0.96 @ Montreal Canadiens 169 63% 2.97 4.24 7.21 -1.27 30% -232 2 Carolina Hurricanes 1.26 1.33 1.26 1.13 1.10 @ New York Islanders 230 70% 2.00 3.40 5.40 -1.41 28% -253 3 @ New York Rangers 3.16 3.06 3.12 3.40 3.52 Philadelphia Flyers 697 87% 4.39 0.27 4.66 4.12 92% 1150 4 @ New Jersey Devils 1.83 1.83 1.85 1.80 1.81 St. Louis Blues 326 77% 3.98 1.93 5.91 2.05 79% 371 5 Boston Bruins 0.99 0.89 0.99 1.28 1.45 @ Pittsburgh Penguins 195 66% 2.29 4.32 6.61 -2.04 21% -369 6 @ Tampa Bay Lightning 4.34 4.32 4.40 4.36 4.28 Chicago Blackhawks 1281 93% 6.08 0.79 6.87 5.29 95% 1954 7 Dallas Stars 1.24 1.25 1.22 1.23 1.25 @ Columbus Blue Jacket 227 69% 1.66 3.09 4.75 -1.43 28% -256 8 Vegas Golden Knights 0.65 0.68 0.71 0.55 0.46 @ Detroit Red Wings 155 61% 2.51 3.39 5.89 -0.88 36% -181 9 @ Winnipeg Jets 0.78 0.80 0.92 0.66 0.69 Vancouver Canucks 170 63% 3.69 3.07 6.76 0.62 60% 152 10 @ Colorado Avalanche 2.44 2.55 2.46 2.23 2.18 Nashville Predators 466 82% 4.88 2.56 7.45 2.32 81% 435 NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 November 4 Wednesday HOME ADVANTAGE= 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 11 @ Edmonton Oilers 0.91 0.86 0.87 1.10 1.11 Anaheim Ducks 184 65% 4.80 3.12 7.92 1.67 75% 297
EIGENVECTOR Analysis            eigen MONEY=odds to 100  EPCT%=confidence
          EFAVORITE           ESPREAD EODDS EPCT%    EUNDERDOG
    1  @ Montreal Canadiens     0.17   112   53%    Utah Mammoth
    2    Carolina Hurricanes    1.53   272   73%  @ New York Islanders
    3  @ New York Rangers       1.32   238   70%    Philadelphia Flyers
    4  @ New Jersey Devils      1.20   221   69%    St. Louis Blues
    5    Boston Bruins          0.72   162   62%  @ Pittsburgh Penguins
    6  @ Tampa Bay Lightning    2.29   427   81%    Chicago Blackhawks
    7    Dallas Stars           0.72   163   62%  @ Columbus Blue Jacket
    8    Vegas Golden Knights   0.55   145   59%  @ Detroit Red Wings
    9  @ Winnipeg Jets          0.93   187   65%    Vancouver Canucks
   10  @ Colorado Avalanche     1.82   324   76%    Nashville Predators
   11  @ Edmonton Oilers        1.58   281   74%    Anaheim Ducks
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