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Jeff Sagarin'stm NHL Hockey Ratings


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my ratings are no longer updated on the USA Today website

Email: Jeff Sagarin

All Contents Copyright © 2026 Jeff Sagarintm. All Rights Reserved.


NHL 2025-2026 ratings through results of 2026 APRIL 9 THURSDAY

this output has three parts: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom
                             (2) DIVISION AVERAGES
                                 (listed top-to-bottom & by conference)
                             (3) teams listed by DIVISION
                                 (listed in order within divisions)
The SCHEDULE ratings represent what the rating would have to be for a
hypothetical team to have a mathematical expectation of winning precisely 50%
of their games against the schedule played by the team in question in the games
that it has played so far.  The schedule difficulty of each given game takes
into account the rating of the opponent and the location of the game. This
is the same concept that is used in computing the WIN50% conference ratings.
To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL  .50  goals for the home
team.  Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 4.43 would be
favored by  .82  goals over a VISITING team having a rating of 4.11
Or a VISITING team with a rating of 4.56 would be favored by .17 goals
over a HOME team having a rating of 3.89
NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below.
      In the example just above, a home edge of .50 was shown for
      illustrative purposes. The home edge will vary during the season.
Several different home edges are shown, one for each of the several different type of ratings
directly over their respective columns.
The numbers to the right of a team's schedule strength are its rank of
schedule - (in parentheses) - and its record versus teams in these
rating's CURRENT top 10 and CURRENT top 16 respectively.
Teams that appear to be tied to two decimal places in a given column are actually
different when carried to more decimal places in the computer's internal arithmetic.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The PREDICTOR, is such that the score is the only thing that matters.
PREDICTOR is also known as PURE_POINTS, BALLANTINE, RHEINGOLD, WHITE OWL
and is a very good PREDICTOR of future games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
GOLDEN_MEAN also utilizes the actual SCORES of the games in a different way but is also completely SCORE BASED
and thus should be a good match for the PURE POINTS in terms of predictive accuracy for upcoming games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The RECENT, is score-based and weights RECENT play more heavily than earlier games. Its effect will become
more pronounced the longer a season goes if a given team happens to have an upward or downward trend.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The overall RATING is a synthesis of the three different SCORE-BASED methods, PREDICTOR(PURE_POINTS), GOLDEN_MEAN,
and RECENT and thus should be a good predictor in its own right.

Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines

just click on "Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines" and it will take you to the daily predictions at the bottom of the file where you'll also see the additional set of EXPERIMENTAL predictions which are the basic predictions that are adjusted to take into account each team's tendencies of performance at home and away along with the extra picks column of STRONG RECENT
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
NHL 2025-2026 through games of 2026 April 9 Thursday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.16]                                               [  0.19]       [  0.19]       [  0.09]       [  0.09]
   1  Colorado Avalanche      =   4.77   52  26    3.96(  29)   14  10  |   22  14  |    4.93    1 |    4.97    1 |    4.59    4 |    4.63    6  central
   2  Carolina Hurricanes     =   4.68   51  28    3.99(  20)   13  10  |   22  17  |    4.70    3 |    4.75    2 |    4.61    2 |    4.73    4  METROPOLITAN
   3  Tampa Bay Lightning     =   4.64   48  31    4.02(  14)   13  12  |   27  14  |    4.81    2 |    4.69    3 |    4.51    5 |    4.49    8  ATLANTIC
   4  Buffalo Sabres          =   4.47   49  31    4.02(  11)   11  13  |   21  20  |    4.41    5 |    4.38    6 |    4.67    1 |    5.03    1  ATLANTIC
   5  Montreal Canadiens      =   4.44   47  32    4.03(   9)   17   9  |   24  18  |    4.36    6 |    4.40    5 |    4.60    3 |    4.89    2  ATLANTIC
   6  Dallas Stars            =   4.43   47  32    3.97(  26)   12  11  |   22  15  |    4.47    4 |    4.58    4 |    4.28   10 |    4.27   11  central
   7  Ottawa Senators         =   4.35   42  37    4.02(  12)    9  15  |   20  22  |    4.28   11 |    4.30    8 |    4.49    6 |    4.76    3  ATLANTIC
   8  Minnesota Wild          =   4.34   45  34    3.97(  27)   12  11  |   22  15  |    4.32    8 |    4.36    7 |    4.34    9 |    4.44    9  central
   9  Utah Mammoth            =   4.31   42  36    3.97(  28)    9  13  |   18  18  |    4.34    7 |    4.24    9 |    4.35    8 |    4.52    7  central
  10  Pittsburgh Penguins     =   4.22   41  38    4.02(  10)    9  15  |   18  21  |    4.21   12 |    4.06   14 |    4.42    7 |    4.71    5  METROPOLITAN
NHL 2025-2026 through games of 2026 April 9 Thursday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.16]                                               [  0.19]       [  0.19]       [  0.09]       [  0.09]
  11  Edmonton Oilers         =   4.21   40  39    3.94(  32)    8  15  |   15  20  |    4.30    9 |    4.20   10 |    4.12   13 |    4.07   16  pacific
  12  Washington Capitals     =   4.18   40  39    4.01(  16)   10  14  |   16  22  |    4.29   10 |    4.16   11 |    4.10   14 |    4.05   17  METROPOLITAN
  13  Boston Bruins           =   4.16   43  36    4.04(   3)   13  16  |   22  21  |    4.16   13 |    4.09   13 |    4.23   11 |    4.34   10  ATLANTIC
  14  Philadelphia Flyers     =   4.02   40  39    4.03(   8)    9  17  |   16  24  |    3.97   16 |    3.95   18 |    4.14   12 |    4.27   12  METROPOLITAN
  15  Vegas Golden Knights    =   4.02   36  43    3.95(  30)    5  18  |   10  25  |    4.05   15 |    4.09   12 |    3.91   21 |    3.82   22  pacific
  16  Detroit Red Wings       =   4.00   41  38    4.03(   7)   10  17  |   16  25  |    4.08   14 |    3.96   17 |    3.97   17 |    3.87   20  ATLANTIC
  17  New York Islanders      =   3.96   43  36    4.02(  13)   11  12  |   19  22  |    3.97   17 |    4.00   16 |    3.90   22 |    3.84   21  METROPOLITAN
  18  Columbus Blue Jackets   =   3.95   39  40    4.04(   5)   14  13  |   20  22  |    3.88   20 |    3.95   19 |    4.03   15 |    4.13   15  METROPOLITAN
  19  New Jersey Devils       =   3.94   40  39    4.04(   4)   12  15  |   19  23  |    3.88   19 |    4.04   15 |    3.89   23 |    3.81   23  METROPOLITAN
  20  Winnipeg Jets           =   3.90   35  43    3.98(  21)    7  19  |   10  28  |    3.85   22 |    3.91   20 |    3.96   19 |    3.96   18  central
NHL 2025-2026 through games of 2026 April 9 Thursday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.16]                                               [  0.19]       [  0.19]       [  0.09]       [  0.09]
  21  New York Rangers        =   3.88   33  46    4.03(   6)   10  16  |   20  24  |    3.85   21 |    3.86   22 |    3.94   20 |    3.96   19  METROPOLITAN
  22  Anaheim Ducks           =   3.84   42  37    3.95(  31)   10  13  |   18  19  |    3.92   18 |    3.86   23 |    3.75   24 |    3.60   25  pacific
  23  Nashville Predators     =   3.81   37  42    3.99(  19)    7  19  |   13  27  |    3.69   25 |    3.74   26 |    3.98   16 |    4.15   14  central
  24  Los Angeles Kings       =   3.77   33  45    3.97(  25)    9  15  |   13  25  |    3.79   23 |    3.77   24 |    3.74   25 |    3.62   24  pacific
  25  St. Louis Blues         =   3.74   33  45    3.98(  24)   12  11  |   16  21  |    3.54   27 |    3.64   27 |    3.97   18 |    4.23   13  central
  26  Florida Panthers        =   3.74   37  42    4.06(   1)   12  17  |   24  21  |    3.70   24 |    3.89   21 |    3.57   26 |    3.30   28  ATLANTIC
  27  Toronto Maple Leafs     =   3.62   32  47    4.05(   2)   11  16  |   15  29  |    3.64   26 |    3.74   25 |    3.40   30 |    3.04   30  ATLANTIC
  28  Calgary Flames          =   3.49   32  46    3.98(  22)    8  14  |   15  23  |    3.44   29 |    3.45   29 |    3.55   28 |    3.50   26  pacific
  29  San Jose Sharks         =   3.48   37  41    4.00(  18)   11  13  |   15  25  |    3.39   30 |    3.45   30 |    3.57   27 |    3.50   27  pacific
  30  Seattle Kraken          =   3.47   33  45    3.98(  23)    3  20  |   10  28  |    3.51   28 |    3.47   28 |    3.42   29 |    3.21   29  pacific
NHL 2025-2026 through games of 2026 April 9 Thursday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.16]                                               [  0.19]       [  0.19]       [  0.09]       [  0.09]
  31  Chicago Blackhawks      =   3.19   28  51    4.01(  15)   10  15  |   13  26  |    3.20   31 |    3.09   31 |    3.24   31 |    3.02   31  central
  32  Vancouver Canucks       =   2.98   22  56    4.00(  17)    4  20  |    8  30  |    3.07   32 |    2.98   32 |    2.76   32 |    2.18   32  pacific
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Divisional Rankings

There are three group ratings, the "central mean", the
"simple average" (also known as the "arithmetic mean",)
and the WIN50%.
The "central mean" gives the most weight to the middle team(s)
in the group and progressively less weight to teams as you go
away from the middle in either direction, up or down.
This tends to smooth out the effect of anomalous teams that are rated
much higher and lower than the middle team(s) in the group.  The
"simple average" ("arithmetic mean") weights each team equally
no matter where they are relative to the middle.
Here are a few examples of how the "central mean" is computed.
  4-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-2-1
  5-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-2-1
  6-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-3-2-1
  7-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-3-2-1
  8-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-4-3-2-1
  9-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-4-3-2-1
 10-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-5-4-3-2-1
 11-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-5-4-3-2-1
 12-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-6-5-4-3-2-1
 13-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-7-6-5-4-3-2-1
This is an expanded version of the "tri-mean".
The WIN50% is the rating required to win 50% of the games if playing an
infinite number of round-robins in the given group at a neutral location.
      DIVISION            CENTRAL MEAN    SIMPLE AVERAGE  TEAMS      WIN50%         RATING          PREDICTOR         GOLDEN_MEAN         RECENT
   1  ATLANTIC                =   4.20       4.18  (  1)      8       4.18  (  1)   4.1771( 0.3672)   4.1789( 0.3819)   4.1810( 0.3143)   4.1792( 0.4841)
   2  central                 =   4.08       4.06  (  3)      8       4.06  (  3)   4.0610( 0.4976)   4.0426( 0.5684)   4.0647( 0.5953)   4.0876( 0.4103)
   3  METROPOLITAN            =   4.06       4.10  (  2)      8       4.10  (  2)   4.1049( 0.2620)   4.0927( 0.2938)   4.0957( 0.2806)   4.1295( 0.2588)
   4  pacific                 =   3.66       3.66  (  4)      8       3.66  (  4)   3.6571( 0.3846)   3.6858( 0.4007)   3.6586( 0.3993)   3.6037( 0.4042)
       OVERALL                                                                      4.0000( 0.4213)   4.0000( 0.4451)   4.0000( 0.4451)   4.0000( 0.4451)
      DIVISION            CENTRAL MEAN    SIMPLE AVERAGE  TEAMS      WIN50%         RATING          PREDICTOR         GOLDEN_MEAN         RECENT
   3  METROPOLITAN            =   4.06       4.10  (  2)      8       4.10  (  2)   4.1049( 0.2620)   4.0927( 0.2938)   4.0957( 0.2806)   4.1295( 0.2588)
   1  ATLANTIC                =   4.20       4.18  (  1)      8       4.18  (  1)   4.1771( 0.3672)   4.1789( 0.3819)   4.1810( 0.3143)   4.1792( 0.4841)
   2  central                 =   4.08       4.06  (  3)      8       4.06  (  3)   4.0610( 0.4976)   4.0426( 0.5684)   4.0647( 0.5953)   4.0876( 0.4103)
   4  pacific                 =   3.66       3.66  (  4)      8       3.66  (  4)   3.6571( 0.3846)   3.6858( 0.4007)   3.6586( 0.3993)   3.6037( 0.4042)
       OVERALL                                                                      4.0000( 0.4213)   4.0000( 0.4451)   4.0000( 0.4451)   4.0000( 0.4451)
__________________________________________________________________________________________________

By Division

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 3 METROPOLITAN = 4.06 NHL 2025-2026 through games of 2026 April 9 Thursday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.16] [ 0.19] [ 0.19] [ 0.09] [ 0.09] 2 Carolina Hurricanes = 4.68 51 28 3.99( 20) 13 10 | 22 17 | 4.70 3 | 4.75 2 | 4.61 2 | 4.73 4 METROPOLITAN 10 Pittsburgh Penguins = 4.22 41 38 4.02( 10) 9 15 | 18 21 | 4.21 12 | 4.06 14 | 4.42 7 | 4.71 5 METROPOLITAN 12 Washington Capitals = 4.18 40 39 4.01( 16) 10 14 | 16 22 | 4.29 10 | 4.16 11 | 4.10 14 | 4.05 17 METROPOLITAN 14 Philadelphia Flyers = 4.02 40 39 4.03( 8) 9 17 | 16 24 | 3.97 16 | 3.95 18 | 4.14 12 | 4.27 12 METROPOLITAN 17 New York Islanders = 3.96 43 36 4.02( 13) 11 12 | 19 22 | 3.97 17 | 4.00 16 | 3.90 22 | 3.84 21 METROPOLITAN 18 Columbus Blue Jackets = 3.95 39 40 4.04( 5) 14 13 | 20 22 | 3.88 20 | 3.95 19 | 4.03 15 | 4.13 15 METROPOLITAN 19 New Jersey Devils = 3.94 40 39 4.04( 4) 12 15 | 19 23 | 3.88 19 | 4.04 15 | 3.89 23 | 3.81 23 METROPOLITAN 21 New York Rangers = 3.88 33 46 4.03( 6) 10 16 | 20 24 | 3.85 21 | 3.86 22 | 3.94 20 | 3.96 19 METROPOLITAN _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 ATLANTIC = 4.20 NHL 2025-2026 through games of 2026 April 9 Thursday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.16] [ 0.19] [ 0.19] [ 0.09] [ 0.09] 3 Tampa Bay Lightning = 4.64 48 31 4.02( 14) 13 12 | 27 14 | 4.81 2 | 4.69 3 | 4.51 5 | 4.49 8 ATLANTIC 4 Buffalo Sabres = 4.47 49 31 4.02( 11) 11 13 | 21 20 | 4.41 5 | 4.38 6 | 4.67 1 | 5.03 1 ATLANTIC 5 Montreal Canadiens = 4.44 47 32 4.03( 9) 17 9 | 24 18 | 4.36 6 | 4.40 5 | 4.60 3 | 4.89 2 ATLANTIC 7 Ottawa Senators = 4.35 42 37 4.02( 12) 9 15 | 20 22 | 4.28 11 | 4.30 8 | 4.49 6 | 4.76 3 ATLANTIC 13 Boston Bruins = 4.16 43 36 4.04( 3) 13 16 | 22 21 | 4.16 13 | 4.09 13 | 4.23 11 | 4.34 10 ATLANTIC 16 Detroit Red Wings = 4.00 41 38 4.03( 7) 10 17 | 16 25 | 4.08 14 | 3.96 17 | 3.97 17 | 3.87 20 ATLANTIC 26 Florida Panthers = 3.74 37 42 4.06( 1) 12 17 | 24 21 | 3.70 24 | 3.89 21 | 3.57 26 | 3.30 28 ATLANTIC 27 Toronto Maple Leafs = 3.62 32 47 4.05( 2) 11 16 | 15 29 | 3.64 26 | 3.74 25 | 3.40 30 | 3.04 30 ATLANTIC _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 2 central = 4.08 NHL 2025-2026 through games of 2026 April 9 Thursday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.16] [ 0.19] [ 0.19] [ 0.09] [ 0.09] 1 Colorado Avalanche = 4.77 52 26 3.96( 29) 14 10 | 22 14 | 4.93 1 | 4.97 1 | 4.59 4 | 4.63 6 central 6 Dallas Stars = 4.43 47 32 3.97( 26) 12 11 | 22 15 | 4.47 4 | 4.58 4 | 4.28 10 | 4.27 11 central 8 Minnesota Wild = 4.34 45 34 3.97( 27) 12 11 | 22 15 | 4.32 8 | 4.36 7 | 4.34 9 | 4.44 9 central 9 Utah Mammoth = 4.31 42 36 3.97( 28) 9 13 | 18 18 | 4.34 7 | 4.24 9 | 4.35 8 | 4.52 7 central 20 Winnipeg Jets = 3.90 35 43 3.98( 21) 7 19 | 10 28 | 3.85 22 | 3.91 20 | 3.96 19 | 3.96 18 central 23 Nashville Predators = 3.81 37 42 3.99( 19) 7 19 | 13 27 | 3.69 25 | 3.74 26 | 3.98 16 | 4.15 14 central 25 St. Louis Blues = 3.74 33 45 3.98( 24) 12 11 | 16 21 | 3.54 27 | 3.64 27 | 3.97 18 | 4.23 13 central 31 Chicago Blackhawks = 3.19 28 51 4.01( 15) 10 15 | 13 26 | 3.20 31 | 3.09 31 | 3.24 31 | 3.02 31 central _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 4 pacific = 3.66 NHL 2025-2026 through games of 2026 April 9 Thursday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.16] [ 0.19] [ 0.19] [ 0.09] [ 0.09] 11 Edmonton Oilers = 4.21 40 39 3.94( 32) 8 15 | 15 20 | 4.30 9 | 4.20 10 | 4.12 13 | 4.07 16 pacific 15 Vegas Golden Knights = 4.02 36 43 3.95( 30) 5 18 | 10 25 | 4.05 15 | 4.09 12 | 3.91 21 | 3.82 22 pacific 22 Anaheim Ducks = 3.84 42 37 3.95( 31) 10 13 | 18 19 | 3.92 18 | 3.86 23 | 3.75 24 | 3.60 25 pacific 24 Los Angeles Kings = 3.77 33 45 3.97( 25) 9 15 | 13 25 | 3.79 23 | 3.77 24 | 3.74 25 | 3.62 24 pacific 28 Calgary Flames = 3.49 32 46 3.98( 22) 8 14 | 15 23 | 3.44 29 | 3.45 29 | 3.55 28 | 3.50 26 pacific 29 San Jose Sharks = 3.48 37 41 4.00( 18) 11 13 | 15 25 | 3.39 30 | 3.45 30 | 3.57 27 | 3.50 27 pacific 30 Seattle Kraken = 3.47 33 45 3.98( 23) 3 20 | 10 28 | 3.51 28 | 3.47 28 | 3.42 29 | 3.21 29 pacific 32 Vancouver Canucks = 2.98 22 56 4.00( 17) 4 20 | 8 30 | 3.07 32 | 2.98 32 | 2.76 32 | 2.18 32 pacific _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ These are the "regular method". _ HOME or CLOSEBY (c) is denoted _ by an "@" next to the HOME or CLOSER team _ An "n" for NEUTRAL location will appear if a neutral game Rating Favorite _ Strong MONEYLINE=odds to 100 _ FAVORITE Rating Predict Golden Recent Recent UNDERDOG ODDS PCT% TOTAL _ ====================================================================================================================================

Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines

NHL 2025-2026 through games of 2026 April 9 Thursday HOME ADVANTAGE= 0.16 0.19 0.19 0.09 0.09 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL 1 Tampa Bay Lightning 0.33 0.46 0.41 0.19 0.06 @ Boston Bruins 126 56% 2.93 3.31 6.24 2 @ Montreal Canadiens 0.65 0.68 0.64 0.66 0.85 Columbus Blue Jacket 156 61% 3.47 2.84 6.31 3 Ottawa Senators 0.23 0.12 0.11 0.49 0.84 @ New York Islanders 118 54% 2.85 3.15 6.01 4 @ Toronto Maple Leafs 0.04 0.12 0.04 -0.08 -0.17 Florida Panthers 103 51% 3.25 3.17 6.43 5 @ Pittsburgh Penguins 0.19 0.11 0.09 0.41 0.75 Washington Capitals 115 53% 3.45 2.97 6.42 6 @ Detroit Red Wings 0.22 0.39 0.11 0.17 0.14 New Jersey Devils 117 54% 3.08 2.78 5.85 7 Minnesota Wild 0.37 0.44 0.43 0.26 0.20 @ Nashville Predators 129 56% 2.84 3.39 6.23 8 St. Louis Blues 0.40 0.15 0.36 0.64 1.12 @ Chicago Blackhawks 132 57% 2.78 2.95 5.74 9 @ Dallas Stars 0.70 0.81 0.92 0.44 0.40 New York Rangers 162 62% 3.34 2.57 5.91 10 @ Winnipeg Jets 0.04 0.06 0.15 -0.10 -0.22 Philadelphia Flyers 103 51% 2.92 2.95 5.87 11 @ Colorado Avalanche 0.91 1.07 1.07 0.77 0.90 Vegas Golden Knights 186 65% 3.75 2.38 6.13 12 Carolina Hurricanes 0.22 0.18 0.33 0.17 0.12 @ Utah Mammoth 117 54% 3.10 3.27 6.37 13 Edmonton Oilers 0.28 0.32 0.24 0.30 0.35 @ Los Angeles Kings 122 55% 3.00 3.22 6.22 14 @ San Jose Sharks 0.66 0.51 0.66 0.89 1.40 Vancouver Canucks 157 61% 3.68 2.78 6.46 15 @ Seattle Kraken 0.14 0.26 0.21 -0.04 -0.20 Calgary Flames 111 53% 3.08 2.68 5.76 EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS INVOLVING HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENTS FOR EACH TEAM NHL 2025-2026 through games of 2026 April 9 Thursday HOME ADVANTAGE= 0.16 0.19 0.19 0.09 0.09 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL 1 @ Boston Bruins 0.48 0.35 0.40 0.62 0.75 Tampa Bay Lightning 140 58% 2.93 3.31 6.24 2 @ Montreal Canadiens 1.03 1.06 1.03 1.05 1.24 Columbus Blue Jacket 202 67% 3.47 2.84 6.31 3 Ottawa Senators 0.48 0.37 0.36 0.74 1.09 @ New York Islanders 140 58% 2.85 3.15 6.01 4 @ Toronto Maple Leafs 0.45 0.54 0.46 0.33 0.24 Florida Panthers 137 58% 3.25 3.17 6.43 5 @ Pittsburgh Penguins 1.12 1.04 1.02 1.34 1.68 Washington Capitals 214 68% 3.45 2.97 6.42 6 @ Detroit Red Wings 0.06 0.22 -0.06 0.01 -0.02 New Jersey Devils 104 51% 3.08 2.78 5.85 7 Minnesota Wild 0.35 0.42 0.40 0.24 0.18 @ Nashville Predators 127 56% 2.84 3.39 6.23 8 St. Louis Blues 1.14 0.89 1.10 1.38 1.85 @ Chicago Blackhawks 216 68% 2.78 2.95 5.74 9 @ Dallas Stars 0.55 0.66 0.77 0.28 0.25 New York Rangers 147 59% 3.34 2.57 5.91 10 Philadelphia Flyers 0.20 0.18 0.09 0.34 0.46 @ Winnipeg Jets 115 54% 2.92 2.95 5.87 11 @ Colorado Avalanche 1.07 1.23 1.23 0.93 1.06 Vegas Golden Knights 207 67% 3.75 2.38 6.13 12 Carolina Hurricanes 0.21 0.17 0.32 0.16 0.11 @ Utah Mammoth 116 54% 3.10 3.27 6.37 13 Edmonton Oilers 0.77 0.80 0.72 0.78 0.84 @ Los Angeles Kings 169 63% 3.00 3.22 6.22 14 @ San Jose Sharks 1.54 1.39 1.54 1.78 2.28 Vancouver Canucks 278 74% 3.68 2.78 6.46 15 @ Seattle Kraken 0.65 0.77 0.72 0.47 0.31 Calgary Flames 157 61% 3.08 2.68 5.76
EIGENVECTOR Analysis            eigen MONEY=odds to 100  EPCT%=confidence
          EFAVORITE           ESPREAD EODDS EPCT%    EUNDERDOG
    1    Tampa Bay Lightning    0.44   135   57%  @ Boston Bruins
    2  @ Montreal Canadiens     0.72   164   62%    Columbus Blue Jacket
    3    Ottawa Senators        0.11   108   52%  @ New York Islanders
    4    Florida Panthers       0.22   117   54%  @ Toronto Maple Leafs
    5  @ Pittsburgh Penguins    0.25   119   54%    Washington Capitals
    6  @ Detroit Red Wings      0.22   117   54%    New Jersey Devils
    7    Minnesota Wild         0.76   169   63%  @ Nashville Predators
    8    St. Louis Blues        0.31   124   55%  @ Chicago Blackhawks
    9  @ Dallas Stars           0.99   197   66%    New York Rangers
   10    Philadelphia Flyers    0.36   128   56%  @ Winnipeg Jets
   11  @ Colorado Avalanche     1.52   276   73%    Vegas Golden Knights
   12    Carolina Hurricanes    0.64   155   61%  @ Utah Mammoth
   13    Edmonton Oilers        0.44   135   58%  @ Los Angeles Kings
   14  @ San Jose Sharks        1.13   215   68%    Vancouver Canucks
   15  @ Seattle Kraken         0.12   109   52%    Calgary Flames
endfile

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