United States Naval Observatory
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NHL 2026-2027 ratings through results of 2026 OCTOBER 12 MONDAY
this output has three parts: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom
(2) DIVISION AVERAGES
(listed top-to-bottom & by conference)
(3) teams listed by DIVISION
(listed in order within divisions)
The SCHEDULE ratings represent what the rating would have to be for a
hypothetical team to have a mathematical expectation of winning precisely 50%
of their games against the schedule played by the team in question in the games
that it has played so far. The schedule difficulty of each given game takes
into account the rating of the opponent and the location of the game. This
is the same concept that is used in computing the WIN50% conference ratings.
To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL .50 goals for the home
team. Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 4.43 would be
favored by .82 goals over a VISITING team having a rating of 4.11
Or a VISITING team with a rating of 4.56 would be favored by .17 goals
over a HOME team having a rating of 3.89
NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below.
In the example just above, a home edge of .50 was shown for
illustrative purposes. The home edge will vary during the season.
Several different home edges are shown, one for each of the several different type of ratings
directly over their respective columns.
The numbers to the right of a team's schedule strength are its rank of
schedule - (in parentheses) - and its record versus teams in these
rating's CURRENT top 10 and CURRENT top 16 respectively.
Teams that appear to be tied to two decimal places in a given column are actually
different when carried to more decimal places in the computer's internal arithmetic.
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The PREDICTOR, is such that the score is the only thing that matters.
PREDICTOR is also known as PURE_POINTS, BALLANTINE, RHEINGOLD, WHITE OWL
and is a very good PREDICTOR of future games.
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GOLDEN_MEAN also utilizes the actual SCORES of the games in a different way but is also completely SCORE BASED
and thus should be a good match for the PURE POINTS in terms of predictive accuracy for upcoming games.
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The RECENT, is score-based and weights RECENT play more heavily than earlier games. Its effect will become
more pronounced the longer a season goes if a given team happens to have an upward or downward trend.
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The overall RATING is a synthesis of the three different SCORE-BASED methods, PREDICTOR(PURE_POINTS), GOLDEN_MEAN,
and RECENT and thus should be a good predictor in its own right.
Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines
just click on "Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines" and it will take you to the daily predictions at the bottom of the file
where you'll also see the additional set of EXPERIMENTAL predictions which are the basic predictions that are adjusted to take into
account each team's tendencies of performance at home and away along with the extra picks column of STRONG RECENT
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NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 12 Monday
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.43] [ 0.36] [ 0.51] [ 0.30] [ 0.30]
1 Edmonton Oilers = 4.46 4 1 3.81( 29) 0 0 | 1 0 | 4.46 5 | 4.49 1 | 4.33 6 | 4.36 4 pacific
2 Tampa Bay Lightning = 4.45 4 1 4.03( 11) 2 0 | 2 1 | 4.46 3 | 4.45 3 | 4.43 4 | 4.33 6 ATLANTIC
3 Minnesota Wild = 4.44 4 2 4.25( 5) 2 1 | 3 1 | 4.47 2 | 4.42 4 | 4.47 2 | 4.40 3 central
4 Carolina Hurricanes = 4.42 5 2 3.86( 25) 0 2 | 1 2 | 4.46 4 | 4.46 2 | 4.15 12 | 4.33 7 METROPOLITAN
5 Washington Capitals = 4.37 3 2 4.10( 9) 1 1 | 2 1 | 4.40 6 | 4.36 6 | 4.40 5 | 4.17 12 METROPOLITAN
6 Colorado Avalanche = 4.36 3 2 3.67( 32) 0 0 | 0 1 | 4.48 1 | 4.34 7 | 4.15 14 | 4.20 11 central
7 Vegas Golden Knights = 4.28 5 2 3.83( 26) 0 1 | 1 2 | 4.19 10 | 4.42 5 | 4.15 13 | 4.16 13 pacific
8 Ottawa Senators = 4.23 5 1 4.01( 13) 0 0 | 2 0 | 4.17 11 | 4.27 8 | 4.26 8 | 4.32 8 ATLANTIC
9 Utah Mammoth = 4.22 4 2 4.13( 8) 0 0 | 0 2 | 4.25 9 | 4.20 11 | 4.21 10 | 4.26 10 central
10 Florida Panthers = 4.19 2 4 4.33( 2) 1 1 | 1 2 | 4.29 7 | 4.26 9 | 3.74 23 | 3.70 26 ATLANTIC
NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 12 Monday
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.43] [ 0.36] [ 0.51] [ 0.30] [ 0.30]
11 Dallas Stars = 4.18 2 3 3.93( 23) 0 0 | 0 0 | 4.28 8 | 4.13 12 | 4.11 17 | 4.08 17 central
12 New York Rangers = 4.15 5 2 3.97( 20) 2 1 | 2 2 | 4.11 13 | 4.11 14 | 4.50 1 | 4.46 1 METROPOLITAN
13 Boston Bruins = 4.13 4 2 3.98( 19) 1 2 | 2 2 | 4.12 12 | 4.08 15 | 4.43 3 | 4.35 5 ATLANTIC
14 Anaheim Ducks = 4.13 4 1 4.06( 10) 2 1 | 2 1 | 4.02 16 | 4.20 10 | 4.12 15 | 4.29 9 pacific
15 Toronto Maple Leafs = 4.11 3 3 3.98( 18) 1 2 | 1 3 | 4.08 14 | 4.13 13 | 4.22 9 | 4.13 15 ATLANTIC
16 Montreal Canadiens = 4.02 2 3 3.94( 21) 0 1 | 1 1 | 4.07 15 | 4.04 16 | 3.87 21 | 3.76 24 ATLANTIC
17 Pittsburgh Penguins = 3.94 3 3 4.00( 15) 0 1 | 2 1 | 3.91 18 | 3.92 21 | 4.11 18 | 4.10 16 METROPOLITAN
18 San Jose Sharks = 3.92 3 2 4.00( 14) 1 1 | 1 2 | 3.91 19 | 3.97 17 | 3.70 24 | 3.81 22 pacific
19 Seattle Kraken = 3.91 4 2 3.99( 16) 1 2 | 1 2 | 3.88 21 | 3.81 23 | 4.30 7 | 4.41 2 pacific
20 Buffalo Sabres = 3.90 3 3 3.83( 27) 2 1 | 2 2 | 3.86 23 | 3.97 18 | 3.67 26 | 3.75 25 ATLANTIC
NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 12 Monday
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.43] [ 0.36] [ 0.51] [ 0.30] [ 0.30]
21 Columbus Blue Jackets = 3.89 2 2 3.77( 30) 0 1 | 0 1 | 3.88 22 | 3.93 19 | 3.81 22 | 3.85 21 METROPOLITAN
22 New Jersey Devils = 3.88 2 3 3.67( 31) 0 2 | 0 2 | 3.90 20 | 3.92 20 | 3.58 28 | 3.62 28 METROPOLITAN
23 New York Islanders = 3.87 2 3 3.93( 22) 0 1 | 0 3 | 3.82 25 | 3.85 22 | 4.12 16 | 4.08 18 METROPOLITAN
24 Nashville Predators = 3.86 2 3 4.27( 3) 0 2 | 2 3 | 3.82 26 | 3.80 25 | 4.17 11 | 4.14 14 central
25 Winnipeg Jets = 3.86 3 2 3.98( 17) 1 0 | 1 2 | 3.85 24 | 3.80 24 | 4.08 19 | 4.02 19 central
26 Los Angeles Kings = 3.82 0 4 4.36( 1) 0 3 | 0 3 | 3.92 17 | 3.78 26 | 3.59 27 | 3.59 29 pacific
27 Detroit Red Wings = 3.72 1 4 3.83( 28) 1 0 | 1 2 | 3.72 28 | 3.69 28 | 3.88 20 | 3.77 23 ATLANTIC
28 St. Louis Blues = 3.69 2 3 4.01( 12) 0 1 | 1 1 | 3.60 29 | 3.72 27 | 3.69 25 | 3.87 20 central
29 Philadelphia Flyers = 3.66 0 7 4.26( 4) 0 4 | 0 5 | 3.80 27 | 3.57 29 | 3.52 30 | 3.38 31 METROPOLITAN
30 Chicago Blackhawks = 3.39 1 5 4.18( 6) 0 3 | 0 3 | 3.35 30 | 3.40 30 | 3.46 31 | 3.52 30 central
NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 12 Monday
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.43] [ 0.36] [ 0.51] [ 0.30] [ 0.30]
31 Vancouver Canucks = 3.38 2 5 4.18( 7) 1 3 | 1 4 | 3.22 32 | 3.33 31 | 3.57 29 | 3.67 27 pacific
32 Calgary Flames = 3.20 0 5 3.87( 24) 0 1 | 0 2 | 3.25 31 | 3.16 32 | 3.20 32 | 3.10 32 pacific
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Divisional Rankings
There are three group ratings, the "central mean", the "simple average" (also known as the "arithmetic mean",) and the WIN50%. The "central mean" gives the most weight to the middle team(s) in the group and progressively less weight to teams as you go away from the middle in either direction, up or down. This tends to smooth out the effect of anomalous teams that are rated much higher and lower than the middle team(s) in the group. The "simple average" ("arithmetic mean") weights each team equally no matter where they are relative to the middle. Here are a few examples of how the "central mean" is computed. 4-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-2-1 5-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-2-1 6-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-3-2-1 7-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-3-2-1 8-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-4-3-2-1 9-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-4-3-2-1 10-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-5-4-3-2-1 11-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-5-4-3-2-1 12-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-6-5-4-3-2-1 13-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-6-5-4-3-2-1 This is an expanded version of the "tri-mean". The WIN50% is the rating required to win 50% of the games if playing an infinite number of round-robins in the given group at a neutral location.DIVISION CENTRAL MEAN SIMPLE AVERAGE TEAMS WIN50% RATING PREDICTOR GOLDEN_MEAN RECENT STRONG_RECENT 1 ATLANTIC = 4.10 4.09 ( 1) 8 4.09 ( 1) 4.0932( 0.2201) 4.0967( 0.2329) 4.1122( 0.2303) 4.0611( 0.3075) 4.0132( 0.2962) 2 central = 4.02 4.00 ( 3) 8 4.00 ( 3) 3.9997( 0.3602) 4.0120( 0.4202) 3.9777( 0.3518) 4.0424( 0.3165) 4.0639( 0.2716) 3 METROPOLITAN = 4.00 4.02 ( 2) 8 4.02 ( 2) 4.0225( 0.2633) 4.0357( 0.2617) 4.0141( 0.2877) 4.0255( 0.3571) 3.9989( 0.3624) 4 pacific = 3.90 3.88 ( 4) 8 3.89 ( 4) 3.8847( 0.4263) 3.8556( 0.4263) 3.8961( 0.4796) 3.8709( 0.4108) 3.9240( 0.4613) OVERALL 4.0000( 0.3205) 4.0000( 0.3417) 4.0000( 0.3417) 4.0000( 0.3417) 4.0000( 0.3417) DIVISION CENTRAL MEAN SIMPLE AVERAGE TEAMS WIN50% RATING PREDICTOR GOLDEN_MEAN RECENT STRONG_RECENT 3 METROPOLITAN = 4.00 4.02 ( 2) 8 4.02 ( 2) 4.0225( 0.2633) 4.0357( 0.2617) 4.0141( 0.2877) 4.0255( 0.3571) 3.9989( 0.3624) 1 ATLANTIC = 4.10 4.09 ( 1) 8 4.09 ( 1) 4.0932( 0.2201) 4.0967( 0.2329) 4.1122( 0.2303) 4.0611( 0.3075) 4.0132( 0.2962) 2 central = 4.02 4.00 ( 3) 8 4.00 ( 3) 3.9997( 0.3602) 4.0120( 0.4202) 3.9777( 0.3518) 4.0424( 0.3165) 4.0639( 0.2716) 4 pacific = 3.90 3.88 ( 4) 8 3.89 ( 4) 3.8847( 0.4263) 3.8556( 0.4263) 3.8961( 0.4796) 3.8709( 0.4108) 3.9240( 0.4613) OVERALL 4.0000( 0.3205) 4.0000( 0.3417) 4.0000( 0.3417) 4.0000( 0.3417) 4.0000( 0.3417) __________________________________________________________________________________________________By Division
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 3 METROPOLITAN = 4.00 NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 12 Monday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.43] [ 0.36] [ 0.51] [ 0.30] [ 0.30] 4 Carolina Hurricanes = 4.42 5 2 3.86( 25) 0 2 | 1 2 | 4.46 4 | 4.46 2 | 4.15 12 | 4.33 7 METROPOLITAN 5 Washington Capitals = 4.37 3 2 4.10( 9) 1 1 | 2 1 | 4.40 6 | 4.36 6 | 4.40 5 | 4.17 12 METROPOLITAN 12 New York Rangers = 4.15 5 2 3.97( 20) 2 1 | 2 2 | 4.11 13 | 4.11 14 | 4.50 1 | 4.46 1 METROPOLITAN 17 Pittsburgh Penguins = 3.94 3 3 4.00( 15) 0 1 | 2 1 | 3.91 18 | 3.92 21 | 4.11 18 | 4.10 16 METROPOLITAN 21 Columbus Blue Jackets = 3.89 2 2 3.77( 30) 0 1 | 0 1 | 3.88 22 | 3.93 19 | 3.81 22 | 3.85 21 METROPOLITAN 22 New Jersey Devils = 3.88 2 3 3.67( 31) 0 2 | 0 2 | 3.90 20 | 3.92 20 | 3.58 28 | 3.62 28 METROPOLITAN 23 New York Islanders = 3.87 2 3 3.93( 22) 0 1 | 0 3 | 3.82 25 | 3.85 22 | 4.12 16 | 4.08 18 METROPOLITAN 29 Philadelphia Flyers = 3.66 0 7 4.26( 4) 0 4 | 0 5 | 3.80 27 | 3.57 29 | 3.52 30 | 3.38 31 METROPOLITAN _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 ATLANTIC = 4.10 NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 12 Monday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.43] [ 0.36] [ 0.51] [ 0.30] [ 0.30] 2 Tampa Bay Lightning = 4.45 4 1 4.03( 11) 2 0 | 2 1 | 4.46 3 | 4.45 3 | 4.43 4 | 4.33 6 ATLANTIC 8 Ottawa Senators = 4.23 5 1 4.01( 13) 0 0 | 2 0 | 4.17 11 | 4.27 8 | 4.26 8 | 4.32 8 ATLANTIC 10 Florida Panthers = 4.19 2 4 4.33( 2) 1 1 | 1 2 | 4.29 7 | 4.26 9 | 3.74 23 | 3.70 26 ATLANTIC 13 Boston Bruins = 4.13 4 2 3.98( 19) 1 2 | 2 2 | 4.12 12 | 4.08 15 | 4.43 3 | 4.35 5 ATLANTIC 15 Toronto Maple Leafs = 4.11 3 3 3.98( 18) 1 2 | 1 3 | 4.08 14 | 4.13 13 | 4.22 9 | 4.13 15 ATLANTIC 16 Montreal Canadiens = 4.02 2 3 3.94( 21) 0 1 | 1 1 | 4.07 15 | 4.04 16 | 3.87 21 | 3.76 24 ATLANTIC 20 Buffalo Sabres = 3.90 3 3 3.83( 27) 2 1 | 2 2 | 3.86 23 | 3.97 18 | 3.67 26 | 3.75 25 ATLANTIC 27 Detroit Red Wings = 3.72 1 4 3.83( 28) 1 0 | 1 2 | 3.72 28 | 3.69 28 | 3.88 20 | 3.77 23 ATLANTIC _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 2 central = 4.02 NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 12 Monday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.43] [ 0.36] [ 0.51] [ 0.30] [ 0.30] 3 Minnesota Wild = 4.44 4 2 4.25( 5) 2 1 | 3 1 | 4.47 2 | 4.42 4 | 4.47 2 | 4.40 3 central 6 Colorado Avalanche = 4.36 3 2 3.67( 32) 0 0 | 0 1 | 4.48 1 | 4.34 7 | 4.15 14 | 4.20 11 central 9 Utah Mammoth = 4.22 4 2 4.13( 8) 0 0 | 0 2 | 4.25 9 | 4.20 11 | 4.21 10 | 4.26 10 central 11 Dallas Stars = 4.18 2 3 3.93( 23) 0 0 | 0 0 | 4.28 8 | 4.13 12 | 4.11 17 | 4.08 17 central 24 Nashville Predators = 3.86 2 3 4.27( 3) 0 2 | 2 3 | 3.82 26 | 3.80 25 | 4.17 11 | 4.14 14 central 25 Winnipeg Jets = 3.86 3 2 3.98( 17) 1 0 | 1 2 | 3.85 24 | 3.80 24 | 4.08 19 | 4.02 19 central 28 St. Louis Blues = 3.69 2 3 4.01( 12) 0 1 | 1 1 | 3.60 29 | 3.72 27 | 3.69 25 | 3.87 20 central 30 Chicago Blackhawks = 3.39 1 5 4.18( 6) 0 3 | 0 3 | 3.35 30 | 3.40 30 | 3.46 31 | 3.52 30 central _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 4 pacific = 3.90 NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 12 Monday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.43] [ 0.36] [ 0.51] [ 0.30] [ 0.30] 1 Edmonton Oilers = 4.46 4 1 3.81( 29) 0 0 | 1 0 | 4.46 5 | 4.49 1 | 4.33 6 | 4.36 4 pacific 7 Vegas Golden Knights = 4.28 5 2 3.83( 26) 0 1 | 1 2 | 4.19 10 | 4.42 5 | 4.15 13 | 4.16 13 pacific 14 Anaheim Ducks = 4.13 4 1 4.06( 10) 2 1 | 2 1 | 4.02 16 | 4.20 10 | 4.12 15 | 4.29 9 pacific 18 San Jose Sharks = 3.92 3 2 4.00( 14) 1 1 | 1 2 | 3.91 19 | 3.97 17 | 3.70 24 | 3.81 22 pacific 19 Seattle Kraken = 3.91 4 2 3.99( 16) 1 2 | 1 2 | 3.88 21 | 3.81 23 | 4.30 7 | 4.41 2 pacific 26 Los Angeles Kings = 3.82 0 4 4.36( 1) 0 3 | 0 3 | 3.92 17 | 3.78 26 | 3.59 27 | 3.59 29 pacific 31 Vancouver Canucks = 3.38 2 5 4.18( 7) 1 3 | 1 4 | 3.22 32 | 3.33 31 | 3.57 29 | 3.67 27 pacific 32 Calgary Flames = 3.20 0 5 3.87( 24) 0 1 | 0 2 | 3.25 31 | 3.16 32 | 3.20 32 | 3.10 32 pacific _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ These are the "regular method". _ HOME or CLOSEBY (c) is denoted _ by an "@" next to the HOME or CLOSER team _ An "n" for NEUTRAL location will appear if a neutral game Rating Favorite _ Strong MONEYLINE=odds to 100 _ FAVORITE Rating Predict Golden Recent Recent UNDERDOG ODDS PCT% TOTAL _ ====================================================================================================================================
Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines
NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 12 Monday HOME ADVANTAGE= 0.43 0.36 0.51 0.30 0.30 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 1 @ Montreal Canadiens 0.55 0.57 0.58 0.49 0.31 Buffalo Sabres 143 59% 4.34 3.21 7.56 1.13 67% 205 2 @ New York Islanders 0.92 0.97 1.03 0.84 0.71 Vancouver Canucks 181 64% 4.91 2.84 7.75 2.07 78% 354 3 @ New York Rangers 0.13 0.01 0.17 0.37 0.43 Tampa Bay Lightning 109 52% 3.16 2.35 5.51 0.80 63% 168 4 @ Philadelphia Flyers 0.18 0.28 0.27 -0.48 -0.73 Seattle Kraken 113 53% 2.21 4.32 6.53 -2.11 22% -362 5 @ Ottawa Senators 0.97 0.94 1.06 0.86 0.75 St. Louis Blues 186 65% 3.82 1.32 5.14 2.50 82% 451 6 @ Carolina Hurricanes 0.48 0.42 0.60 0.05 0.46 Washington Capitals 136 58% 2.83 3.43 6.26 -0.60 40% -148 7 @ Columbus Blue Jacket 0.13 -0.05 0.17 0.37 0.45 Florida Panthers 109 52% 2.79 2.13 4.92 0.66 60% 153 8 @ Detroit Red Wings 0.27 0.17 0.28 0.59 0.45 New Jersey Devils 119 54% 3.35 1.78 5.14 1.57 73% 266 9 @ Nashville Predators 0.01 0.00 -0.11 0.32 0.28 Vegas Golden Knights 101 50% 3.23 2.73 5.97 0.50 58% 139 10 Pittsburgh Penguins 0.12 0.20 0.01 0.35 0.28 @ Chicago Blackhawks 108 52% 2.71 4.59 7.29 -1.88 24% -318 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 11 @ Dallas Stars 0.25 0.16 0.31 0.27 0.18 Colorado Avalanche 118 54% 3.21 2.89 6.10 0.32 55% 123 12 Minnesota Wild 0.16 0.25 0.11 0.09 0.09 @ Winnipeg Jets 111 53% 1.62 2.56 4.18 -0.94 35% -183 13 @ Utah Mammoth 0.54 0.54 0.58 0.29 0.44 Toronto Maple Leafs 142 59% 3.26 2.64 5.90 0.61 60% 149 14 @ Anaheim Ducks 1.35 1.13 1.55 1.22 1.49 Calgary Flames 234 70% 4.78 1.67 6.45 3.11 86% 624 15 Edmonton Oilers 0.21 0.17 0.20 0.44 0.47 @ Los Angeles Kings 115 53% 2.20 4.21 6.41 -2.01 23% -342 16 @ San Jose Sharks 0.21 0.14 0.40 -0.44 -0.24 Boston Bruins 115 53% 2.50 4.59 7.10 -2.09 22% -358 EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS INVOLVING HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENTS FOR EACH TEAM NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 12 Monday HOME ADVANTAGE= 0.43 0.36 0.51 0.30 0.30 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 1 @ Montreal Canadiens 0.71 0.73 0.74 0.65 0.47 Buffalo Sabres 158 61% 4.42 3.14 7.56 1.29 69% 225 2 @ New York Islanders 3.63 3.68 3.74 3.55 3.42 Vancouver Canucks 819 89% 6.26 1.48 7.75 4.78 93% 1415 3 @ New York Rangers 2.75 2.64 2.79 3.00 3.05 Tampa Bay Lightning 516 84% 4.47 1.04 5.51 3.43 88% 737 4 Seattle Kraken 5.40 5.30 5.31 6.06 6.31 @ Philadelphia Flyers 1833 95% -0.58 7.11 6.53 -7.69 3% -3676 5 @ Ottawa Senators 2.62 2.59 2.71 2.52 2.40 St. Louis Blues 481 83% 4.65 0.49 5.14 4.16 91% 1061 6 @ Carolina Hurricanes 0.71 0.65 0.84 0.28 0.69 Washington Capitals 158 61% 2.95 3.31 6.26 -0.37 44% -127 7 @ Columbus Blue Jacket 1.08 0.90 1.12 1.32 1.40 Florida Panthers 199 67% 3.26 1.65 4.92 1.61 73% 272 8 @ Detroit Red Wings 1.50 1.41 1.52 1.83 1.69 New Jersey Devils 256 72% 3.97 1.17 5.14 2.80 84% 531 9 Vegas Golden Knights 0.56 0.57 0.68 0.25 0.29 @ Nashville Predators 144 59% 2.95 3.02 5.97 -0.06 49% -104 10 Pittsburgh Penguins 1.70 1.78 1.59 1.93 1.86 @ Chicago Blackhawks 286 74% 1.92 5.37 7.29 -3.46 12% -748 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 11 Colorado Avalanche 0.46 0.55 0.40 0.44 0.53 @ Dallas Stars 135 57% 2.86 3.24 6.10 -0.39 44% -129 12 Minnesota Wild 2.16 2.25 2.12 2.09 2.09 @ Winnipeg Jets 374 79% 0.62 3.56 4.18 -2.95 15% -573 13 @ Utah Mammoth 2.02 2.02 2.06 1.76 1.92 Toronto Maple Leafs 344 77% 4.00 1.90 5.90 2.09 78% 359 14 @ Anaheim Ducks 5.37 5.15 5.57 5.23 5.51 Calgary Flames 1815 95% 6.79 -0.34 6.45 7.13 97% 3219 15 Edmonton Oilers 3.93 3.90 3.92 4.16 4.19 @ Los Angeles Kings 951 90% 0.34 6.07 6.41 -5.73 5% -2083 16 Boston Bruins 0.44 0.51 0.26 1.10 0.90 @ San Jose Sharks 133 57% 2.17 4.92 7.10 -2.75 16% -515EIGENVECTOR Analysis eigen MONEY=odds to 100 EPCT%=confidence EFAVORITE ESPREAD EODDS EPCT% EUNDERDOG 1 @ Montreal Canadiens 0.38 128 56% Buffalo Sabres 2 @ New York Islanders 0.92 180 64% Vancouver Canucks 3 @ New York Rangers 0.69 156 61% Tampa Bay Lightning 4 Seattle Kraken 3.46 746 88% @ Philadelphia Flyers 5 @ Ottawa Senators 2.03 346 78% St. Louis Blues 6 @ Carolina Hurricanes 1.60 270 73% Washington Capitals 7 @ Columbus Blue Jacket 0.75 162 62% Florida Panthers 8 New Jersey Devils 0.07 105 51% @ Detroit Red Wings 9 Vegas Golden Knights 0.99 188 65% @ Nashville Predators 10 Pittsburgh Penguins 1.71 288 74% @ Chicago Blackhawks 11 Colorado Avalanche 0.41 130 57% @ Dallas Stars 12 Minnesota Wild 0.90 178 64% @ Winnipeg Jets 13 @ Utah Mammoth 1.14 206 67% Toronto Maple Leafs 14 @ Anaheim Ducks 3.09 616 86% Calgary Flames 15 Edmonton Oilers 3.00 588 85% @ Los Angeles Kings 16 Boston Bruins 0.78 165 62% @ San Jose Sharks endfileTop_of_Page