United States Naval Observatory
|
|
|---|
note: clock runs for 30 seconds; it may skip
seconds; to restart click reload
NHL 2026-2027 ratings through results of 2026 OCTOBER 9 FRIDAY
this output has three parts: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom
(2) DIVISION AVERAGES
(listed top-to-bottom & by conference)
(3) teams listed by DIVISION
(listed in order within divisions)
The SCHEDULE ratings represent what the rating would have to be for a
hypothetical team to have a mathematical expectation of winning precisely 50%
of their games against the schedule played by the team in question in the games
that it has played so far. The schedule difficulty of each given game takes
into account the rating of the opponent and the location of the game. This
is the same concept that is used in computing the WIN50% conference ratings.
To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL .50 goals for the home
team. Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 4.43 would be
favored by .82 goals over a VISITING team having a rating of 4.11
Or a VISITING team with a rating of 4.56 would be favored by .17 goals
over a HOME team having a rating of 3.89
NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below.
In the example just above, a home edge of .50 was shown for
illustrative purposes. The home edge will vary during the season.
Several different home edges are shown, one for each of the several different type of ratings
directly over their respective columns.
The numbers to the right of a team's schedule strength are its rank of
schedule - (in parentheses) - and its record versus teams in these
rating's CURRENT top 10 and CURRENT top 16 respectively.
Teams that appear to be tied to two decimal places in a given column are actually
different when carried to more decimal places in the computer's internal arithmetic.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The PREDICTOR, is such that the score is the only thing that matters.
PREDICTOR is also known as PURE_POINTS, BALLANTINE, RHEINGOLD, WHITE OWL
and is a very good PREDICTOR of future games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
GOLDEN_MEAN also utilizes the actual SCORES of the games in a different way but is also completely SCORE BASED
and thus should be a good match for the PURE POINTS in terms of predictive accuracy for upcoming games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The RECENT, is score-based and weights RECENT play more heavily than earlier games. Its effect will become
more pronounced the longer a season goes if a given team happens to have an upward or downward trend.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The overall RATING is a synthesis of the three different SCORE-BASED methods, PREDICTOR(PURE_POINTS), GOLDEN_MEAN,
and RECENT and thus should be a good predictor in its own right.
Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines
just click on "Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines" and it will take you to the daily predictions at the bottom of the file
where you'll also see the additional set of EXPERIMENTAL predictions which are the basic predictions that are adjusted to take into
account each team's tendencies of performance at home and away along with the extra picks column of STRONG RECENT
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 9 Friday
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.46] [ 0.46] [ 0.45] [ 0.45] [ 0.45]
1 Colorado Avalanche = 4.43 3 1 3.67( 30) 0 0 | 0 0 | 4.46 1 | 4.43 2 | 4.30 6 | 4.49 1 central
2 Edmonton Oilers = 4.41 3 1 3.77( 26) 1 0 | 1 0 | 4.42 3 | 4.43 1 | 4.38 3 | 4.27 7 pacific
3 Washington Capitals = 4.39 3 1 4.17( 9) 1 1 | 2 1 | 4.38 4 | 4.41 5 | 4.47 1 | 4.35 2 METROPOLITAN
4 Florida Panthers = 4.35 2 2 4.54( 1) 1 1 | 1 1 | 4.45 2 | 4.41 4 | 4.07 18 | 4.05 18 ATLANTIC
5 Tampa Bay Lightning = 4.34 3 1 3.90( 22) 2 0 | 2 1 | 4.36 6 | 4.38 7 | 4.21 9 | 4.15 13 ATLANTIC
6 Vegas Golden Knights = 4.33 4 1 3.71( 29) 0 1 | 1 1 | 4.27 8 | 4.42 3 | 4.27 8 | 4.28 6 pacific
7 Carolina Hurricanes = 4.32 3 2 3.91( 19) 0 2 | 1 2 | 4.37 5 | 4.40 6 | 4.07 19 | 4.11 16 METROPOLITAN
8 Minnesota Wild = 4.29 2 2 4.27( 4) 0 1 | 1 1 | 4.34 7 | 4.27 8 | 4.28 7 | 4.22 8 central
9 Dallas Stars = 4.18 2 2 3.85( 24) 0 0 | 0 0 | 4.24 9 | 4.17 10 | 4.09 15 | 4.13 15 central
10 Anaheim Ducks = 4.17 3 1 4.24( 6) 2 1 | 2 1 | 4.11 11 | 4.19 9 | 4.37 4 | 4.29 4 pacific
NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 9 Friday
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.46] [ 0.46] [ 0.45] [ 0.45] [ 0.45]
11 Utah Mammoth = 4.15 3 2 4.18( 8) 0 0 | 0 2 | 4.16 10 | 4.13 12 | 4.16 10 | 4.20 9 central
12 Ottawa Senators = 4.12 3 1 4.12( 10) 0 0 | 2 0 | 4.08 12 | 4.15 11 | 4.08 16 | 4.19 12 ATLANTIC
13 New York Rangers = 4.10 4 2 4.10( 12) 1 1 | 2 2 | 4.08 13 | 4.07 13 | 4.40 2 | 4.33 3 METROPOLITAN
14 Boston Bruins = 4.06 3 2 4.01( 17) 0 1 | 2 2 | 4.07 14 | 4.01 15 | 4.33 5 | 4.19 10 ATLANTIC
15 Toronto Maple Leafs = 4.01 2 3 3.75( 27) 0 1 | 0 3 | 4.06 15 | 4.01 16 | 3.98 20 | 3.87 23 ATLANTIC
16 Montreal Canadiens = 3.98 1 3 4.02( 16) 0 1 | 1 1 | 4.04 16 | 3.99 18 | 3.80 25 | 3.71 26 ATLANTIC
17 San Jose Sharks = 3.97 3 1 4.02( 15) 1 1 | 1 1 | 3.92 20 | 4.03 14 | 3.80 24 | 3.96 22 pacific
18 Columbus Blue Jackets = 3.95 2 1 3.54( 31) 0 0 | 0 1 | 3.92 21 | 3.98 19 | 3.97 21 | 4.02 20 METROPOLITAN
19 Buffalo Sabres = 3.93 2 2 3.75( 28) 1 1 | 1 1 | 3.93 19 | 3.99 17 | 3.66 28 | 3.67 27 ATLANTIC
20 New York Islanders = 3.91 2 2 3.87( 23) 0 0 | 0 2 | 3.88 22 | 3.88 22 | 4.09 14 | 4.19 11 METROPOLITAN
NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 9 Friday
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.46] [ 0.46] [ 0.45] [ 0.45] [ 0.45]
21 Pittsburgh Penguins = 3.90 2 3 4.07( 13) 0 1 | 1 1 | 3.86 24 | 3.88 21 | 4.11 12 | 4.09 17 METROPOLITAN
22 New Jersey Devils = 3.89 1 2 3.77( 25) 0 0 | 0 1 | 3.96 18 | 3.91 20 | 3.41 31 | 3.49 31 METROPOLITAN
23 Winnipeg Jets = 3.87 3 2 3.97( 18) 1 1 | 1 2 | 3.86 23 | 3.83 24 | 4.11 13 | 4.03 19 central
24 Los Angeles Kings = 3.87 0 3 4.40( 2) 0 2 | 0 2 | 3.96 17 | 3.85 23 | 3.68 27 | 3.61 29 pacific
25 Nashville Predators = 3.83 2 2 4.11( 11) 1 1 | 2 2 | 3.78 26 | 3.79 25 | 4.08 17 | 4.13 14 central
26 Seattle Kraken = 3.80 3 2 3.90( 21) 0 2 | 0 2 | 3.73 28 | 3.73 27 | 4.12 11 | 4.29 5 pacific
27 Detroit Red Wings = 3.75 1 3 3.52( 32) 0 0 | 1 1 | 3.76 27 | 3.73 26 | 3.87 22 | 3.72 25 ATLANTIC
28 Philadelphia Flyers = 3.71 0 5 4.21( 7) 0 2 | 0 3 | 3.82 25 | 3.65 29 | 3.49 30 | 3.51 30 METROPOLITAN
29 St. Louis Blues = 3.69 1 3 4.24( 5) 1 1 | 1 1 | 3.64 29 | 3.72 28 | 3.69 26 | 3.76 24 central
30 Vancouver Canucks = 3.56 2 3 4.07( 14) 1 3 | 1 3 | 3.32 32 | 3.47 30 | 3.87 23 | 3.96 21 pacific
NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 9 Friday
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.46] [ 0.46] [ 0.45] [ 0.45] [ 0.45]
31 Chicago Blackhawks = 3.47 1 4 4.28( 3) 0 1 | 0 2 | 3.41 30 | 3.47 31 | 3.58 29 | 3.64 28 central
32 Calgary Flames = 3.27 0 4 3.90( 20) 0 1 | 0 1 | 3.33 31 | 3.23 32 | 3.22 32 | 3.11 32 pacific
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Divisional Rankings
There are three group ratings, the "central mean", the "simple average" (also known as the "arithmetic mean",) and the WIN50%. The "central mean" gives the most weight to the middle team(s) in the group and progressively less weight to teams as you go away from the middle in either direction, up or down. This tends to smooth out the effect of anomalous teams that are rated much higher and lower than the middle team(s) in the group. The "simple average" ("arithmetic mean") weights each team equally no matter where they are relative to the middle. Here are a few examples of how the "central mean" is computed. 4-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-2-1 5-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-2-1 6-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-3-2-1 7-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-3-2-1 8-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-4-3-2-1 9-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-4-3-2-1 10-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-5-4-3-2-1 11-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-5-4-3-2-1 12-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-6-5-4-3-2-1 13-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-6-5-4-3-2-1 This is an expanded version of the "tri-mean". The WIN50% is the rating required to win 50% of the games if playing an infinite number of round-robins in the given group at a neutral location.DIVISION CENTRAL MEAN SIMPLE AVERAGE TEAMS WIN50% RATING PREDICTOR GOLDEN_MEAN RECENT STRONG_RECENT 1 ATLANTIC = 4.06 4.07 ( 1) 8 4.07 ( 1) 4.0661( 0.2015) 4.0951( 0.2208) 4.0841( 0.2233) 3.9999( 0.2207) 3.9419( 0.2264) 2 METROPOLITAN = 4.00 4.02 ( 2) 8 4.02 ( 2) 4.0230( 0.2336) 4.0343( 0.2239) 4.0207( 0.2631) 4.0011( 0.3814) 4.0108( 0.3347) 3 central = 4.00 3.99 ( 3) 8 3.99 ( 3) 3.9892( 0.3258) 3.9863( 0.3696) 3.9758( 0.3224) 4.0361( 0.2624) 4.0771( 0.2691) 4 pacific = 3.94 3.92 ( 4) 8 3.92 ( 4) 3.9217( 0.3858) 3.8843( 0.4047) 3.9194( 0.4322) 3.9628( 0.4005) 3.9702( 0.4231) OVERALL 4.0000( 0.2862) 4.0000( 0.3103) 4.0000( 0.3103) 4.0000( 0.3103) 4.0000( 0.3103) DIVISION CENTRAL MEAN SIMPLE AVERAGE TEAMS WIN50% RATING PREDICTOR GOLDEN_MEAN RECENT STRONG_RECENT 2 METROPOLITAN = 4.00 4.02 ( 2) 8 4.02 ( 2) 4.0230( 0.2336) 4.0343( 0.2239) 4.0207( 0.2631) 4.0011( 0.3814) 4.0108( 0.3347) 1 ATLANTIC = 4.06 4.07 ( 1) 8 4.07 ( 1) 4.0661( 0.2015) 4.0951( 0.2208) 4.0841( 0.2233) 3.9999( 0.2207) 3.9419( 0.2264) 3 central = 4.00 3.99 ( 3) 8 3.99 ( 3) 3.9892( 0.3258) 3.9863( 0.3696) 3.9758( 0.3224) 4.0361( 0.2624) 4.0771( 0.2691) 4 pacific = 3.94 3.92 ( 4) 8 3.92 ( 4) 3.9217( 0.3858) 3.8843( 0.4047) 3.9194( 0.4322) 3.9628( 0.4005) 3.9702( 0.4231) OVERALL 4.0000( 0.2862) 4.0000( 0.3103) 4.0000( 0.3103) 4.0000( 0.3103) 4.0000( 0.3103) __________________________________________________________________________________________________By Division
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 2 METROPOLITAN = 4.00 NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 9 Friday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.46] [ 0.46] [ 0.45] [ 0.45] [ 0.45] 3 Washington Capitals = 4.39 3 1 4.17( 9) 1 1 | 2 1 | 4.38 4 | 4.41 5 | 4.47 1 | 4.35 2 METROPOLITAN 7 Carolina Hurricanes = 4.32 3 2 3.91( 19) 0 2 | 1 2 | 4.37 5 | 4.40 6 | 4.07 19 | 4.11 16 METROPOLITAN 13 New York Rangers = 4.10 4 2 4.10( 12) 1 1 | 2 2 | 4.08 13 | 4.07 13 | 4.40 2 | 4.33 3 METROPOLITAN 18 Columbus Blue Jackets = 3.95 2 1 3.54( 31) 0 0 | 0 1 | 3.92 21 | 3.98 19 | 3.97 21 | 4.02 20 METROPOLITAN 20 New York Islanders = 3.91 2 2 3.87( 23) 0 0 | 0 2 | 3.88 22 | 3.88 22 | 4.09 14 | 4.19 11 METROPOLITAN 21 Pittsburgh Penguins = 3.90 2 3 4.07( 13) 0 1 | 1 1 | 3.86 24 | 3.88 21 | 4.11 12 | 4.09 17 METROPOLITAN 22 New Jersey Devils = 3.89 1 2 3.77( 25) 0 0 | 0 1 | 3.96 18 | 3.91 20 | 3.41 31 | 3.49 31 METROPOLITAN 28 Philadelphia Flyers = 3.71 0 5 4.21( 7) 0 2 | 0 3 | 3.82 25 | 3.65 29 | 3.49 30 | 3.51 30 METROPOLITAN _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 ATLANTIC = 4.06 NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 9 Friday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.46] [ 0.46] [ 0.45] [ 0.45] [ 0.45] 4 Florida Panthers = 4.35 2 2 4.54( 1) 1 1 | 1 1 | 4.45 2 | 4.41 4 | 4.07 18 | 4.05 18 ATLANTIC 5 Tampa Bay Lightning = 4.34 3 1 3.90( 22) 2 0 | 2 1 | 4.36 6 | 4.38 7 | 4.21 9 | 4.15 13 ATLANTIC 12 Ottawa Senators = 4.12 3 1 4.12( 10) 0 0 | 2 0 | 4.08 12 | 4.15 11 | 4.08 16 | 4.19 12 ATLANTIC 14 Boston Bruins = 4.06 3 2 4.01( 17) 0 1 | 2 2 | 4.07 14 | 4.01 15 | 4.33 5 | 4.19 10 ATLANTIC 15 Toronto Maple Leafs = 4.01 2 3 3.75( 27) 0 1 | 0 3 | 4.06 15 | 4.01 16 | 3.98 20 | 3.87 23 ATLANTIC 16 Montreal Canadiens = 3.98 1 3 4.02( 16) 0 1 | 1 1 | 4.04 16 | 3.99 18 | 3.80 25 | 3.71 26 ATLANTIC 19 Buffalo Sabres = 3.93 2 2 3.75( 28) 1 1 | 1 1 | 3.93 19 | 3.99 17 | 3.66 28 | 3.67 27 ATLANTIC 27 Detroit Red Wings = 3.75 1 3 3.52( 32) 0 0 | 1 1 | 3.76 27 | 3.73 26 | 3.87 22 | 3.72 25 ATLANTIC _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 3 central = 4.00 NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 9 Friday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.46] [ 0.46] [ 0.45] [ 0.45] [ 0.45] 1 Colorado Avalanche = 4.43 3 1 3.67( 30) 0 0 | 0 0 | 4.46 1 | 4.43 2 | 4.30 6 | 4.49 1 central 8 Minnesota Wild = 4.29 2 2 4.27( 4) 0 1 | 1 1 | 4.34 7 | 4.27 8 | 4.28 7 | 4.22 8 central 9 Dallas Stars = 4.18 2 2 3.85( 24) 0 0 | 0 0 | 4.24 9 | 4.17 10 | 4.09 15 | 4.13 15 central 11 Utah Mammoth = 4.15 3 2 4.18( 8) 0 0 | 0 2 | 4.16 10 | 4.13 12 | 4.16 10 | 4.20 9 central 23 Winnipeg Jets = 3.87 3 2 3.97( 18) 1 1 | 1 2 | 3.86 23 | 3.83 24 | 4.11 13 | 4.03 19 central 25 Nashville Predators = 3.83 2 2 4.11( 11) 1 1 | 2 2 | 3.78 26 | 3.79 25 | 4.08 17 | 4.13 14 central 29 St. Louis Blues = 3.69 1 3 4.24( 5) 1 1 | 1 1 | 3.64 29 | 3.72 28 | 3.69 26 | 3.76 24 central 31 Chicago Blackhawks = 3.47 1 4 4.28( 3) 0 1 | 0 2 | 3.41 30 | 3.47 31 | 3.58 29 | 3.64 28 central _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 4 pacific = 3.94 NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 9 Friday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.46] [ 0.46] [ 0.45] [ 0.45] [ 0.45] 2 Edmonton Oilers = 4.41 3 1 3.77( 26) 1 0 | 1 0 | 4.42 3 | 4.43 1 | 4.38 3 | 4.27 7 pacific 6 Vegas Golden Knights = 4.33 4 1 3.71( 29) 0 1 | 1 1 | 4.27 8 | 4.42 3 | 4.27 8 | 4.28 6 pacific 10 Anaheim Ducks = 4.17 3 1 4.24( 6) 2 1 | 2 1 | 4.11 11 | 4.19 9 | 4.37 4 | 4.29 4 pacific 17 San Jose Sharks = 3.97 3 1 4.02( 15) 1 1 | 1 1 | 3.92 20 | 4.03 14 | 3.80 24 | 3.96 22 pacific 24 Los Angeles Kings = 3.87 0 3 4.40( 2) 0 2 | 0 2 | 3.96 17 | 3.85 23 | 3.68 27 | 3.61 29 pacific 26 Seattle Kraken = 3.80 3 2 3.90( 21) 0 2 | 0 2 | 3.73 28 | 3.73 27 | 4.12 11 | 4.29 5 pacific 30 Vancouver Canucks = 3.56 2 3 4.07( 14) 1 3 | 1 3 | 3.32 32 | 3.47 30 | 3.87 23 | 3.96 21 pacific 32 Calgary Flames = 3.27 0 4 3.90( 20) 0 1 | 0 1 | 3.33 31 | 3.23 32 | 3.22 32 | 3.11 32 pacific _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ These are the "regular method". _ HOME or CLOSEBY (c) is denoted _ by an "@" next to the HOME or CLOSER team _ An "n" for NEUTRAL location will appear if a neutral game Rating Favorite _ Strong MONEYLINE=odds to 100 _ FAVORITE Rating Predict Golden Recent Recent UNDERDOG ODDS PCT% TOTAL _ ====================================================================================================================================
Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines
NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 9 Friday HOME ADVANTAGE= 0.46 0.46 0.45 0.45 0.45 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 1 @ Boston Bruins 0.81 0.71 0.82 1.29 1.13 Philadelphia Flyers 166 62% 4.41 1.06 5.47 3.34 87% 670 2 @ Montreal Canadiens 0.68 0.74 0.71 0.38 0.44 Detroit Red Wings 153 61% 4.07 3.78 7.85 0.29 55% 120 3 @ New York Islanders 0.03 -0.02 -0.05 0.33 0.50 Tampa Bay Lightning 102 50% 3.13 3.00 6.13 0.13 52% 108 4 @ New Jersey Devils 0.79 1.10 0.89 -0.01 -0.02 Vancouver Canucks 164 62% 3.65 4.40 8.06 -0.75 38% -160 5 @ Ottawa Senators 0.74 0.76 0.81 0.45 0.51 Nashville Predators 159 61% 3.41 2.95 6.36 0.46 57% 134 6 @ Buffalo Sabres 0.24 0.23 0.31 -0.05 -0.08 Utah Mammoth 116 54% 3.37 4.62 7.99 -1.24 32% -215 7 @ Pittsburgh Penguins 0.18 0.09 0.17 0.48 0.41 Dallas Stars 112 53% 3.11 2.41 5.52 0.70 61% 156 8 @ Florida Panthers 0.51 0.58 0.59 0.24 0.27 Minnesota Wild 138 58% 1.06 1.27 2.33 -0.20 47% -114 9 Carolina Hurricanes 0.40 0.50 0.47 0.04 0.01 @ Chicago Blackhawks 128 56% 2.67 4.18 6.85 -1.51 28% -251 10 @ St. Louis Blues 0.19 0.18 0.20 0.17 0.20 Columbus Blue Jacket 113 53% 1.90 2.36 4.26 -0.46 43% -133 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 11 @ Colorado Avalanche 0.88 0.87 0.87 0.77 1.07 Toronto Maple Leafs 173 63% 4.43 3.23 7.66 1.19 68% 208 12 Anaheim Ducks 0.44 0.32 0.50 0.69 0.73 @ Calgary Flames 132 57% 1.78 5.05 6.82 -3.27 13% -645 13 @ Vegas Golden Knights 0.91 0.77 1.02 1.04 1.11 Los Angeles Kings 177 64% 4.83 2.16 6.99 2.66 83% 472 14 @ San Jose Sharks 0.01 -0.04 0.05 -0.13 0.14 Edmonton Oilers 101 50% 3.78 5.11 8.89 -1.33 31% -226 EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS INVOLVING HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENTS FOR EACH TEAM NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 9 Friday HOME ADVANTAGE= 0.46 0.46 0.45 0.45 0.45 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 1 @ Boston Bruins 3.72 3.63 3.73 4.20 4.04 Philadelphia Flyers 811 89% 5.86 -0.39 5.47 6.26 96% 2354 2 Detroit Red Wings 0.63 0.57 0.60 0.94 0.87 @ Montreal Canadiens 149 60% 3.42 4.44 7.85 -1.02 35% -188 3 @ New York Islanders 3.32 3.27 3.24 3.62 3.79 Tampa Bay Lightning 664 87% 4.78 1.36 6.13 3.42 87% 697 4 Vancouver Canucks 0.75 0.44 0.65 1.55 1.56 @ New Jersey Devils 160 62% 2.88 5.18 8.06 -2.30 21% -387 5 @ Ottawa Senators 0.40 0.42 0.47 0.11 0.16 Nashville Predators 128 56% 3.24 3.12 6.36 0.12 52% 108 6 Utah Mammoth 1.60 1.61 1.53 1.89 1.92 @ Buffalo Sabres 264 73% 2.45 5.54 7.99 -3.08 15% -587 7 Dallas Stars 0.77 0.86 0.78 0.47 0.54 @ Pittsburgh Penguins 162 62% 2.64 2.88 5.52 -0.24 46% -117 8 @ Florida Panthers 0.05 0.12 0.13 -0.22 -0.19 Minnesota Wild 103 51% 0.83 1.50 2.33 -0.67 40% -152 9 Carolina Hurricanes 1.40 1.50 1.48 1.04 1.02 @ Chicago Blackhawks 235 70% 2.16 4.68 6.85 -2.52 19% -436 10 Columbus Blue Jacket 1.16 1.17 1.15 1.18 1.15 @ St. Louis Blues 204 67% 1.23 3.03 4.26 -1.81 25% -296 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 11 @ Colorado Avalanche 4.45 4.44 4.45 4.35 4.65 Toronto Maple Leafs 1148 92% 6.21 1.45 7.66 4.77 93% 1322 12 Anaheim Ducks 6.32 6.20 6.38 6.57 6.60 @ Calgary Flames 2406 96% -1.16 7.98 6.82 -9.14 2% -4592 13 @ Vegas Golden Knights 3.71 3.56 3.82 3.84 3.91 Los Angeles Kings 806 89% 6.22 0.76 6.99 5.46 95% 1764 14 Edmonton Oilers 1.10 1.15 1.06 1.24 0.97 @ San Jose Sharks 197 66% 3.22 5.66 8.89 -2.44 19% -419EIGENVECTOR Analysis eigen MONEY=odds to 100 EPCT%=confidence EFAVORITE ESPREAD EODDS EPCT% EUNDERDOG 1 @ Boston Bruins 4.07 954 91% Philadelphia Flyers 2 @ Montreal Canadiens 0.76 161 62% Detroit Red Wings 3 @ New York Islanders 0.12 108 52% Tampa Bay Lightning 4 Vancouver Canucks 1.02 188 65% @ New Jersey Devils 5 @ Ottawa Senators 1.56 257 72% Nashville Predators 6 Utah Mammoth 1.23 213 68% @ Buffalo Sabres 7 Dallas Stars 0.29 120 55% @ Pittsburgh Penguins 8 @ Florida Panthers 0.18 112 53% Minnesota Wild 9 Carolina Hurricanes 2.26 380 79% @ Chicago Blackhawks 10 Columbus Blue Jacket 0.78 163 62% @ St. Louis Blues 11 @ Colorado Avalanche 3.03 570 85% Toronto Maple Leafs 12 Anaheim Ducks 2.84 516 84% @ Calgary Flames 13 @ Vegas Golden Knights 3.96 905 90% Los Angeles Kings 14 Edmonton Oilers 1.72 282 74% @ San Jose Sharks endfileTop_of_Page