United States Naval Observatory
|
|
|---|
note: clock runs for 30 seconds; it may skip
seconds; to restart click reload
NHL 2026-2027 ratings through results of 2026 NOVEMBER 13 FRIDAY
this output has three parts: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom
(2) DIVISION AVERAGES
(listed top-to-bottom & by conference)
(3) teams listed by DIVISION
(listed in order within divisions)
The SCHEDULE ratings represent what the rating would have to be for a
hypothetical team to have a mathematical expectation of winning precisely 50%
of their games against the schedule played by the team in question in the games
that it has played so far. The schedule difficulty of each given game takes
into account the rating of the opponent and the location of the game. This
is the same concept that is used in computing the WIN50% conference ratings.
To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL .50 goals for the home
team. Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 4.43 would be
favored by .82 goals over a VISITING team having a rating of 4.11
Or a VISITING team with a rating of 4.56 would be favored by .17 goals
over a HOME team having a rating of 3.89
NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below.
In the example just above, a home edge of .50 was shown for
illustrative purposes. The home edge will vary during the season.
Several different home edges are shown, one for each of the several different type of ratings
directly over their respective columns.
The numbers to the right of a team's schedule strength are its rank of
schedule - (in parentheses) - and its record versus teams in these
rating's CURRENT top 10 and CURRENT top 16 respectively.
Teams that appear to be tied to two decimal places in a given column are actually
different when carried to more decimal places in the computer's internal arithmetic.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The PREDICTOR, is such that the score is the only thing that matters.
PREDICTOR is also known as PURE_POINTS, BALLANTINE, RHEINGOLD, WHITE OWL
and is a very good PREDICTOR of future games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
GOLDEN_MEAN also utilizes the actual SCORES of the games in a different way but is also completely SCORE BASED
and thus should be a good match for the PURE POINTS in terms of predictive accuracy for upcoming games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The RECENT, is score-based and weights RECENT play more heavily than earlier games. Its effect will become
more pronounced the longer a season goes if a given team happens to have an upward or downward trend.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The overall RATING is a synthesis of the three different SCORE-BASED methods, PREDICTOR(PURE_POINTS), GOLDEN_MEAN,
and RECENT and thus should be a good predictor in its own right.
Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines
just click on "Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines" and it will take you to the daily predictions at the bottom of the file
where you'll also see the additional set of EXPERIMENTAL predictions which are the basic predictions that are adjusted to take into
account each team's tendencies of performance at home and away along with the extra picks column of STRONG RECENT
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 November 13 Friday
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.19] [ 0.19] [ 0.19] [ 0.19] [ 0.19]
1 Carolina Hurricanes = 4.81 15 5 3.84( 31) 2 2 | 3 4 | 4.85 1 | 4.77 1 | 4.83 1 | 4.78 1 METROPOLITAN
2 Minnesota Wild = 4.59 14 7 4.05( 11) 4 3 | 6 3 | 4.58 2 | 4.59 2 | 4.60 2 | 4.60 3 central
3 Tampa Bay Lightning = 4.51 13 6 3.97( 20) 3 1 | 4 4 | 4.51 5 | 4.53 3 | 4.49 5 | 4.47 6 ATLANTIC
4 Edmonton Oilers = 4.51 14 6 3.79( 32) 2 1 | 5 2 | 4.52 3 | 4.52 4 | 4.45 6 | 4.46 7 pacific
5 Colorado Avalanche = 4.44 11 9 3.91( 28) 2 1 | 3 5 | 4.52 4 | 4.40 5 | 4.38 8 | 4.33 8 central
6 New Jersey Devils = 4.40 14 6 3.98( 18) 3 1 | 7 3 | 4.38 6 | 4.37 7 | 4.52 4 | 4.54 4 METROPOLITAN
7 Boston Bruins = 4.35 13 6 3.99( 17) 2 3 | 5 5 | 4.33 8 | 4.28 11 | 4.57 3 | 4.62 2 ATLANTIC
8 Vegas Golden Knights = 4.34 13 8 3.89( 30) 0 4 | 2 6 | 4.36 7 | 4.39 6 | 4.26 10 | 4.22 10 pacific
9 Montreal Canadiens = 4.32 12 7 3.94( 25) 1 2 | 2 4 | 4.31 10 | 4.35 8 | 4.28 9 | 4.29 9 ATLANTIC
10 Florida Panthers = 4.23 11 9 3.89( 29) 1 2 | 1 5 | 4.33 9 | 4.31 10 | 3.97 17 | 3.92 19 ATLANTIC
NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 November 13 Friday
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.19] [ 0.19] [ 0.19] [ 0.19] [ 0.19]
11 Washington Capitals = 4.20 10 7 4.13( 4) 4 4 | 7 5 | 4.21 11 | 4.32 9 | 4.09 12 | 4.03 15 METROPOLITAN
12 Nashville Predators = 4.13 11 9 4.14( 3) 6 3 | 8 5 | 4.07 14 | 4.06 14 | 4.42 7 | 4.51 5 central
13 Dallas Stars = 4.12 10 8 3.92( 26) 2 3 | 3 4 | 4.14 12 | 4.16 12 | 4.02 16 | 4.01 16 central
14 Ottawa Senators = 4.11 12 8 3.97( 19) 4 1 | 6 3 | 4.10 13 | 4.14 13 | 4.07 13 | 4.11 13 ATLANTIC
15 New York Rangers = 4.04 12 9 3.96( 24) 2 4 | 3 6 | 3.99 15 | 4.02 16 | 4.15 11 | 4.21 11 METROPOLITAN
16 Anaheim Ducks = 3.99 10 9 3.91( 27) 3 3 | 4 5 | 3.99 16 | 4.01 17 | 3.97 18 | 3.98 17 pacific
17 Utah Mammoth = 3.97 10 10 4.11( 7) 3 5 | 3 7 | 3.97 17 | 4.05 15 | 3.89 20 | 3.84 21 central
18 New York Islanders = 3.90 8 10 4.04( 12) 2 4 | 4 7 | 3.91 19 | 3.88 20 | 3.95 19 | 3.94 18 METROPOLITAN
19 St. Louis Blues = 3.90 9 10 4.11( 6) 2 5 | 4 8 | 3.86 20 | 3.88 19 | 4.06 15 | 4.05 14 central
20 Toronto Maple Leafs = 3.87 8 13 3.99( 16) 2 6 | 4 7 | 3.91 18 | 3.91 18 | 3.75 23 | 3.63 27 ATLANTIC
NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 November 13 Friday
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.19] [ 0.19] [ 0.19] [ 0.19] [ 0.19]
21 Winnipeg Jets = 3.86 9 11 4.17( 1) 5 7 | 6 9 | 3.79 24 | 3.80 22 | 4.06 14 | 4.12 12 central
22 Pittsburgh Penguins = 3.79 7 12 4.06( 10) 2 5 | 4 7 | 3.82 21 | 3.76 24 | 3.77 22 | 3.73 23 METROPOLITAN
23 Buffalo Sabres = 3.77 8 11 3.96( 21) 2 4 | 3 7 | 3.81 22 | 3.83 21 | 3.56 29 | 3.60 28 ATLANTIC
24 Columbus Blue Jackets = 3.76 7 10 4.07( 9) 2 5 | 4 6 | 3.78 25 | 3.78 23 | 3.69 26 | 3.66 26 METROPOLITAN
25 Los Angeles Kings = 3.73 5 12 4.02( 13) 0 6 | 3 7 | 3.80 23 | 3.74 25 | 3.56 28 | 3.48 29 pacific
26 Seattle Kraken = 3.72 9 8 3.99( 15) 0 6 | 1 7 | 3.64 28 | 3.73 26 | 3.83 21 | 3.90 20 pacific
27 Detroit Red Wings = 3.68 7 13 3.96( 23) 2 6 | 3 7 | 3.69 27 | 3.61 28 | 3.74 24 | 3.77 22 ATLANTIC
28 Philadelphia Flyers = 3.66 5 16 4.11( 8) 1 7 | 2 11 | 3.69 26 | 3.58 29 | 3.70 25 | 3.66 25 METROPOLITAN
29 San Jose Sharks = 3.61 8 13 4.00( 14) 2 4 | 4 7 | 3.62 29 | 3.69 27 | 3.46 30 | 3.43 30 pacific
30 Calgary Flames = 3.45 8 11 3.96( 22) 2 4 | 3 7 | 3.35 30 | 3.41 30 | 3.58 27 | 3.70 24 pacific
NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 November 13 Friday
RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.19] [ 0.19] [ 0.19] [ 0.19] [ 0.19]
31 Chicago Blackhawks = 3.19 5 14 4.12( 5) 0 9 | 0 10 | 3.16 31 | 3.22 31 | 3.16 31 | 3.23 31 central
32 Vancouver Canucks = 3.05 3 18 4.17( 2) 1 9 | 2 12 | 3.03 32 | 2.91 32 | 3.15 32 | 3.18 32 pacific
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Divisional Rankings
There are three group ratings, the "central mean", the "simple average" (also known as the "arithmetic mean",) and the WIN50%. The "central mean" gives the most weight to the middle team(s) in the group and progressively less weight to teams as you go away from the middle in either direction, up or down. This tends to smooth out the effect of anomalous teams that are rated much higher and lower than the middle team(s) in the group. The "simple average" ("arithmetic mean") weights each team equally no matter where they are relative to the middle. Here are a few examples of how the "central mean" is computed. 4-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-2-1 5-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-2-1 6-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-3-2-1 7-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-3-2-1 8-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-4-3-2-1 9-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-4-3-2-1 10-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-5-4-3-2-1 11-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-5-4-3-2-1 12-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-6-5-4-3-2-1 13-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-6-5-4-3-2-1 This is an expanded version of the "tri-mean". The WIN50% is the rating required to win 50% of the games if playing an infinite number of round-robins in the given group at a neutral location.DIVISION CENTRAL MEAN SIMPLE AVERAGE TEAMS WIN50% RATING PREDICTOR GOLDEN_MEAN RECENT STRONG_RECENT 1 ATLANTIC = 4.12 4.11 ( 1) 8 4.11 ( 1) 4.1054( 0.3003) 4.1233( 0.2928) 4.1213( 0.3102) 4.0540( 0.3699) 4.0505( 0.3841) 2 central = 4.04 4.02 ( 3) 8 4.03 ( 3) 4.0245( 0.4229) 4.0099( 0.4470) 4.0183( 0.4132) 4.0755( 0.4423) 4.0871( 0.4339) 3 METROPOLITAN = 4.03 4.07 ( 2) 8 4.07 ( 2) 4.0704( 0.3883) 4.0793( 0.3868) 4.0605( 0.3964) 4.0853( 0.4082) 4.0679( 0.4154) 4 pacific = 3.79 3.80 ( 4) 8 3.80 ( 4) 3.7997( 0.4726) 3.7875( 0.4959) 3.7999( 0.5159) 3.7852( 0.4330) 3.7945( 0.4289) OVERALL 4.0000( 0.3999) 4.0000( 0.4136) 4.0000( 0.4136) 4.0000( 0.4136) 4.0000( 0.4136) DIVISION CENTRAL MEAN SIMPLE AVERAGE TEAMS WIN50% RATING PREDICTOR GOLDEN_MEAN RECENT STRONG_RECENT 3 METROPOLITAN = 4.03 4.07 ( 2) 8 4.07 ( 2) 4.0704( 0.3883) 4.0793( 0.3868) 4.0605( 0.3964) 4.0853( 0.4082) 4.0679( 0.4154) 1 ATLANTIC = 4.12 4.11 ( 1) 8 4.11 ( 1) 4.1054( 0.3003) 4.1233( 0.2928) 4.1213( 0.3102) 4.0540( 0.3699) 4.0505( 0.3841) 2 central = 4.04 4.02 ( 3) 8 4.03 ( 3) 4.0245( 0.4229) 4.0099( 0.4470) 4.0183( 0.4132) 4.0755( 0.4423) 4.0871( 0.4339) 4 pacific = 3.79 3.80 ( 4) 8 3.80 ( 4) 3.7997( 0.4726) 3.7875( 0.4959) 3.7999( 0.5159) 3.7852( 0.4330) 3.7945( 0.4289) OVERALL 4.0000( 0.3999) 4.0000( 0.4136) 4.0000( 0.4136) 4.0000( 0.4136) 4.0000( 0.4136) __________________________________________________________________________________________________By Division
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 3 METROPOLITAN = 4.03 NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 November 13 Friday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.19] [ 0.19] [ 0.19] [ 0.19] [ 0.19] 1 Carolina Hurricanes = 4.81 15 5 3.84( 31) 2 2 | 3 4 | 4.85 1 | 4.77 1 | 4.83 1 | 4.78 1 METROPOLITAN 6 New Jersey Devils = 4.40 14 6 3.98( 18) 3 1 | 7 3 | 4.38 6 | 4.37 7 | 4.52 4 | 4.54 4 METROPOLITAN 11 Washington Capitals = 4.20 10 7 4.13( 4) 4 4 | 7 5 | 4.21 11 | 4.32 9 | 4.09 12 | 4.03 15 METROPOLITAN 15 New York Rangers = 4.04 12 9 3.96( 24) 2 4 | 3 6 | 3.99 15 | 4.02 16 | 4.15 11 | 4.21 11 METROPOLITAN 18 New York Islanders = 3.90 8 10 4.04( 12) 2 4 | 4 7 | 3.91 19 | 3.88 20 | 3.95 19 | 3.94 18 METROPOLITAN 22 Pittsburgh Penguins = 3.79 7 12 4.06( 10) 2 5 | 4 7 | 3.82 21 | 3.76 24 | 3.77 22 | 3.73 23 METROPOLITAN 24 Columbus Blue Jackets = 3.76 7 10 4.07( 9) 2 5 | 4 6 | 3.78 25 | 3.78 23 | 3.69 26 | 3.66 26 METROPOLITAN 28 Philadelphia Flyers = 3.66 5 16 4.11( 8) 1 7 | 2 11 | 3.69 26 | 3.58 29 | 3.70 25 | 3.66 25 METROPOLITAN _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 ATLANTIC = 4.12 NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 November 13 Friday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.19] [ 0.19] [ 0.19] [ 0.19] [ 0.19] 3 Tampa Bay Lightning = 4.51 13 6 3.97( 20) 3 1 | 4 4 | 4.51 5 | 4.53 3 | 4.49 5 | 4.47 6 ATLANTIC 7 Boston Bruins = 4.35 13 6 3.99( 17) 2 3 | 5 5 | 4.33 8 | 4.28 11 | 4.57 3 | 4.62 2 ATLANTIC 9 Montreal Canadiens = 4.32 12 7 3.94( 25) 1 2 | 2 4 | 4.31 10 | 4.35 8 | 4.28 9 | 4.29 9 ATLANTIC 10 Florida Panthers = 4.23 11 9 3.89( 29) 1 2 | 1 5 | 4.33 9 | 4.31 10 | 3.97 17 | 3.92 19 ATLANTIC 14 Ottawa Senators = 4.11 12 8 3.97( 19) 4 1 | 6 3 | 4.10 13 | 4.14 13 | 4.07 13 | 4.11 13 ATLANTIC 20 Toronto Maple Leafs = 3.87 8 13 3.99( 16) 2 6 | 4 7 | 3.91 18 | 3.91 18 | 3.75 23 | 3.63 27 ATLANTIC 23 Buffalo Sabres = 3.77 8 11 3.96( 21) 2 4 | 3 7 | 3.81 22 | 3.83 21 | 3.56 29 | 3.60 28 ATLANTIC 27 Detroit Red Wings = 3.68 7 13 3.96( 23) 2 6 | 3 7 | 3.69 27 | 3.61 28 | 3.74 24 | 3.77 22 ATLANTIC _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 2 central = 4.04 NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 November 13 Friday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.19] [ 0.19] [ 0.19] [ 0.19] [ 0.19] 2 Minnesota Wild = 4.59 14 7 4.05( 11) 4 3 | 6 3 | 4.58 2 | 4.59 2 | 4.60 2 | 4.60 3 central 5 Colorado Avalanche = 4.44 11 9 3.91( 28) 2 1 | 3 5 | 4.52 4 | 4.40 5 | 4.38 8 | 4.33 8 central 12 Nashville Predators = 4.13 11 9 4.14( 3) 6 3 | 8 5 | 4.07 14 | 4.06 14 | 4.42 7 | 4.51 5 central 13 Dallas Stars = 4.12 10 8 3.92( 26) 2 3 | 3 4 | 4.14 12 | 4.16 12 | 4.02 16 | 4.01 16 central 17 Utah Mammoth = 3.97 10 10 4.11( 7) 3 5 | 3 7 | 3.97 17 | 4.05 15 | 3.89 20 | 3.84 21 central 19 St. Louis Blues = 3.90 9 10 4.11( 6) 2 5 | 4 8 | 3.86 20 | 3.88 19 | 4.06 15 | 4.05 14 central 21 Winnipeg Jets = 3.86 9 11 4.17( 1) 5 7 | 6 9 | 3.79 24 | 3.80 22 | 4.06 14 | 4.12 12 central 31 Chicago Blackhawks = 3.19 5 14 4.12( 5) 0 9 | 0 10 | 3.16 31 | 3.22 31 | 3.16 31 | 3.23 31 central _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 4 pacific = 3.79 NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 November 13 Friday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.19] [ 0.19] [ 0.19] [ 0.19] [ 0.19] 4 Edmonton Oilers = 4.51 14 6 3.79( 32) 2 1 | 5 2 | 4.52 3 | 4.52 4 | 4.45 6 | 4.46 7 pacific 8 Vegas Golden Knights = 4.34 13 8 3.89( 30) 0 4 | 2 6 | 4.36 7 | 4.39 6 | 4.26 10 | 4.22 10 pacific 16 Anaheim Ducks = 3.99 10 9 3.91( 27) 3 3 | 4 5 | 3.99 16 | 4.01 17 | 3.97 18 | 3.98 17 pacific 25 Los Angeles Kings = 3.73 5 12 4.02( 13) 0 6 | 3 7 | 3.80 23 | 3.74 25 | 3.56 28 | 3.48 29 pacific 26 Seattle Kraken = 3.72 9 8 3.99( 15) 0 6 | 1 7 | 3.64 28 | 3.73 26 | 3.83 21 | 3.90 20 pacific 29 San Jose Sharks = 3.61 8 13 4.00( 14) 2 4 | 4 7 | 3.62 29 | 3.69 27 | 3.46 30 | 3.43 30 pacific 30 Calgary Flames = 3.45 8 11 3.96( 22) 2 4 | 3 7 | 3.35 30 | 3.41 30 | 3.58 27 | 3.70 24 pacific 32 Vancouver Canucks = 3.05 3 18 4.17( 2) 1 9 | 2 12 | 3.03 32 | 2.91 32 | 3.15 32 | 3.18 32 pacific _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ These are the "regular method". _ HOME or CLOSEBY (c) is denoted _ by an "@" next to the HOME or CLOSER team _ An "n" for NEUTRAL location will appear if a neutral game Rating Favorite _ Strong MONEYLINE=odds to 100 _ FAVORITE Rating Predict Golden Recent Recent UNDERDOG ODDS PCT% TOTAL _ ====================================================================================================================================
Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines
NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 November 13 Friday HOME ADVANTAGE= 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 1 N @ Carolina Hurricanes 1.09 1.22 1.04 0.99 0.87 Seattle Kraken 209 68% 4.29 2.86 7.15 1.43 72% 259 2 Minnesota Wild 0.04 0.06 0.11 -0.16 -0.21 @ Boston Bruins 103 51% 2.90 2.66 5.57 0.24 54% 118 3 @ Montreal Canadiens 0.07 -0.01 0.15 0.09 0.15 Colorado Avalanche 105 51% 3.69 3.76 7.45 -0.06 49% -104 4 New Jersey Devils 0.00 -0.02 -0.15 0.23 0.32 @ Washington Capitals 100 50% 3.36 3.62 6.98 -0.27 45% -120 5 Edmonton Oilers 0.44 0.42 0.41 0.51 0.63 @ Toronto Maple Leafs 136 58% 2.96 4.03 6.99 -1.08 33% -207 6 Ottawa Senators 0.13 0.08 0.18 0.11 0.18 @ Pittsburgh Penguins 109 52% 2.95 3.44 6.38 -0.49 42% -140 7 @ Tampa Bay Lightning 1.02 1.01 1.11 0.95 0.89 Detroit Red Wings 200 67% 4.00 2.58 6.58 1.42 72% 257 8 @ Columbus Blue Jacket 0.29 0.28 0.39 0.19 0.19 Philadelphia Flyers 123 55% 2.46 2.24 4.70 0.22 54% 117 9 Winnipeg Jets 0.48 0.43 0.39 0.71 0.70 @ Chicago Blackhawks 139 58% 2.44 3.65 6.09 -1.21 31% -225 10 Florida Panthers 0.13 0.28 0.24 -0.28 -0.32 @ St. Louis Blues 110 52% 3.13 2.68 5.81 0.45 58% 137 NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 November 13 Friday HOME ADVANTAGE= 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 11 @ Dallas Stars 0.54 0.52 0.52 0.66 0.61 Buffalo Sabres 145 59% 3.39 2.23 5.62 1.16 69% 219 12 @ Utah Mammoth 0.56 0.55 0.56 0.63 0.60 San Jose Sharks 147 59% 3.88 2.76 6.64 1.12 68% 213 13 @ Anaheim Ducks 0.28 0.27 0.32 0.22 0.24 New York Islanders 122 55% 3.65 3.50 7.14 0.15 53% 111 14 @ Los Angeles Kings 0.47 0.64 0.53 0.17 -0.02 Calgary Flames 139 58% 2.79 2.56 5.35 0.23 54% 117 EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS INVOLVING HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENTS FOR EACH TEAM NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 November 13 Friday HOME ADVANTAGE= 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 1 N @ Carolina Hurricanes 1.76 1.88 1.71 1.66 1.54 Seattle Kraken 317 76% 4.62 2.53 7.15 2.10 80% 389 2 @ Boston Bruins 0.18 0.16 0.10 0.38 0.42 Minnesota Wild 113 53% 3.01 2.56 5.57 0.46 58% 137 3 Colorado Avalanche 0.15 0.23 0.07 0.13 0.07 @ Montreal Canadiens 111 53% 3.58 3.87 7.45 -0.28 45% -122 4 New Jersey Devils 0.61 0.58 0.46 0.84 0.92 @ Washington Capitals 152 60% 3.06 3.93 6.98 -0.87 36% -181 5 Edmonton Oilers 3.74 3.71 3.71 3.81 3.92 @ Toronto Maple Leafs 975 91% 1.31 5.68 6.99 -4.37 7% -1339 6 Ottawa Senators 0.50 0.46 0.55 0.48 0.55 @ Pittsburgh Penguins 141 59% 2.76 3.62 6.38 -0.86 36% -180 7 @ Tampa Bay Lightning 2.71 2.70 2.81 2.64 2.58 Detroit Red Wings 555 85% 4.84 1.73 6.58 3.11 87% 694 8 @ Columbus Blue Jacket 0.59 0.58 0.68 0.49 0.48 Philadelphia Flyers 150 60% 2.61 2.09 4.70 0.52 59% 143 9 Winnipeg Jets 1.05 1.01 0.97 1.29 1.28 @ Chicago Blackhawks 204 67% 2.16 3.94 6.09 -1.78 24% -322 10 @ St. Louis Blues 0.61 0.47 0.51 1.02 1.07 Florida Panthers 153 60% 3.50 2.30 5.81 1.20 69% 224 NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 November 13 Friday HOME ADVANTAGE= 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 11 @ Dallas Stars 0.38 0.37 0.37 0.50 0.45 Buffalo Sabres 130 57% 3.31 2.30 5.62 1.01 67% 199 12 @ Utah Mammoth 1.20 1.19 1.20 1.27 1.24 San Jose Sharks 224 69% 4.20 2.44 6.64 1.76 76% 317 13 New York Islanders 0.38 0.39 0.34 0.44 0.42 @ Anaheim Ducks 130 57% 3.31 3.83 7.14 -0.52 41% -143 14 Calgary Flames 0.05 -0.12 0.00 0.35 0.55 @ Los Angeles Kings 104 51% 2.53 2.82 5.35 -0.30 45% -123EIGENVECTOR Analysis eigen MONEY=odds to 100 EPCT%=confidence EFAVORITE ESPREAD EODDS EPCT% EUNDERDOG 1 N@ Carolina Hurricanes 1.58 285 74% Seattle Kraken 2 Minnesota Wild 0.05 103 51% @ Boston Bruins 3 Colorado Avalanche 0.09 107 52% @ Montreal Canadiens 4 New Jersey Devils 0.69 160 62% @ Washington Capitals 5 Edmonton Oilers 1.65 296 75% @ Toronto Maple Leafs 6 Ottawa Senators 0.59 150 60% @ Pittsburgh Penguins 7 @ Tampa Bay Lightning 1.85 335 77% Detroit Red Wings 8 @ Columbus Blue Jacket 1.14 215 68% Philadelphia Flyers 9 Winnipeg Jets 1.57 283 74% @ Chicago Blackhawks 10 Florida Panthers 0.53 144 59% @ St. Louis Blues 11 @ Dallas Stars 1.09 209 68% Buffalo Sabres 12 @ Utah Mammoth 0.79 171 63% San Jose Sharks 13 @ Anaheim Ducks 0.72 163 62% New York Islanders 14 Calgary Flames 0.86 180 64% @ Los Angeles Kings endfileTop_of_Page