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Jeff Sagarin'stm NHL Hockey Ratings


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All Contents Copyright © 2026 Jeff Sagarintm. All Rights Reserved.


NHL 2026-2027 ratings through results of 2026 NOVEMBER 6 FRIDAY

this output has three parts: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom
                             (2) DIVISION AVERAGES
                                 (listed top-to-bottom & by conference)
                             (3) teams listed by DIVISION
                                 (listed in order within divisions)
The SCHEDULE ratings represent what the rating would have to be for a
hypothetical team to have a mathematical expectation of winning precisely 50%
of their games against the schedule played by the team in question in the games
that it has played so far.  The schedule difficulty of each given game takes
into account the rating of the opponent and the location of the game. This
is the same concept that is used in computing the WIN50% conference ratings.
To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL  .50  goals for the home
team.  Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 4.43 would be
favored by  .82  goals over a VISITING team having a rating of 4.11
Or a VISITING team with a rating of 4.56 would be favored by .17 goals
over a HOME team having a rating of 3.89
NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below.
      In the example just above, a home edge of .50 was shown for
      illustrative purposes. The home edge will vary during the season.
Several different home edges are shown, one for each of the several different type of ratings
directly over their respective columns.
The numbers to the right of a team's schedule strength are its rank of
schedule - (in parentheses) - and its record versus teams in these
rating's CURRENT top 10 and CURRENT top 16 respectively.
Teams that appear to be tied to two decimal places in a given column are actually
different when carried to more decimal places in the computer's internal arithmetic.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The PREDICTOR, is such that the score is the only thing that matters.
PREDICTOR is also known as PURE_POINTS, BALLANTINE, RHEINGOLD, WHITE OWL
and is a very good PREDICTOR of future games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
GOLDEN_MEAN also utilizes the actual SCORES of the games in a different way but is also completely SCORE BASED
and thus should be a good match for the PURE POINTS in terms of predictive accuracy for upcoming games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The RECENT, is score-based and weights RECENT play more heavily than earlier games. Its effect will become
more pronounced the longer a season goes if a given team happens to have an upward or downward trend.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The overall RATING is a synthesis of the three different SCORE-BASED methods, PREDICTOR(PURE_POINTS), GOLDEN_MEAN,
and RECENT and thus should be a good predictor in its own right.

Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines

just click on "Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines" and it will take you to the daily predictions at the bottom of the file where you'll also see the additional set of EXPERIMENTAL predictions which are the basic predictions that are adjusted to take into account each team's tendencies of performance at home and away along with the extra picks column of STRONG RECENT
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 November 6 Friday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG_RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.23]                                               [  0.23]       [  0.23]       [  0.23]       [  0.23]
   1  Carolina Hurricanes     =   4.66   13   5    3.87(  30)    1   2  |    3   3  |    4.70    1 |    4.65    1 |    4.62    2 |    4.59    3  METROPOLITAN
   2  Minnesota Wild          =   4.53   12   6    4.02(  15)    3   2  |    5   3  |    4.52    2 |    4.52    2 |    4.61    3 |    4.61    2  central
   3  Edmonton Oilers         =   4.49   11   6    3.91(  25)    2   1  |    3   3  |    4.49    3 |    4.47    3 |    4.54    4 |    4.51    4  pacific
   4  Tampa Bay Lightning     =   4.37   10   5    3.89(  27)    2   1  |    3   2  |    4.37    5 |    4.42    4 |    4.31    6 |    4.29    6  ATLANTIC
   5  Colorado Avalanche      =   4.36    9   8    3.88(  28)    3   2  |    3   3  |    4.43    4 |    4.34    5 |    4.28    7 |    4.23    7  central
   6  Boston Bruins           =   4.34   12   5    3.96(  21)    1   3  |    2   4  |    4.30    8 |    4.26   10 |    4.66    1 |    4.75    1  ATLANTIC
   7  Vegas Golden Knights    =   4.30   11   7    3.90(  26)    0   4  |    2   4  |    4.32    7 |    4.34    6 |    4.23    8 |    4.19    8  pacific
   8  New Jersey Devils       =   4.29   11   5    3.97(  20)    4   1  |    4   4  |    4.25   10 |    4.28    9 |    4.38    5 |    4.40    5  METROPOLITAN
   9  Florida Panthers        =   4.24    9   7    3.86(  31)    1   1  |    1   3  |    4.36    6 |    4.33    7 |    3.94   20 |    3.90   21  ATLANTIC
  10  Dallas Stars            =   4.23    9   7    3.93(  23)    2   2  |    4   3  |    4.25    9 |    4.21   12 |    4.21    9 |    4.18    9  central
NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 November 6 Friday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG_RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.23]                                               [  0.23]       [  0.23]       [  0.23]       [  0.23]
  11  Washington Capitals     =   4.21    8   6    4.04(  13)    2   4  |    4   4  |    4.22   11 |    4.28    8 |    4.11   11 |    4.05   16  METROPOLITAN
  12  Montreal Canadiens      =   4.19   10   6    3.87(  29)    1   1  |    5   2  |    4.21   12 |    4.25   11 |    4.08   15 |    4.09   14  ATLANTIC
  13  Utah Mammoth            =   4.13   10   7    4.13(   4)    3   3  |    6   4  |    4.11   14 |    4.17   13 |    4.16   10 |    4.14   11  central
  14  Toronto Maple Leafs     =   4.12    8   9    3.94(  22)    2   1  |    2   6  |    4.15   13 |    4.10   14 |    4.10   13 |    4.04   17  ATLANTIC
  15  Ottawa Senators         =   4.08   10   7    3.99(  18)    3   1  |    5   1  |    4.07   15 |    4.10   15 |    4.03   16 |    4.06   15  ATLANTIC
  16  Buffalo Sabres          =   3.98    8   8    4.01(  16)    2   1  |    3   6  |    4.01   16 |    4.01   16 |    3.85   23 |    3.89   22  ATLANTIC
  17  Anaheim Ducks           =   3.97    9   8    3.92(  24)    3   3  |    4   4  |    3.97   18 |    4.00   17 |    3.92   21 |    3.94   19  pacific
  18  New York Rangers        =   3.97    9   8    3.99(  17)    2   3  |    3   6  |    3.91   19 |    3.95   18 |    4.08   14 |    4.12   13  METROPOLITAN
  19  Los Angeles Kings       =   3.94    5   9    4.08(   9)    0   6  |    2   7  |    3.99   17 |    3.93   19 |    3.86   22 |    3.80   25  pacific
  20  Nashville Predators     =   3.91    7   9    4.13(   3)    5   3  |    6   6  |    3.86   22 |    3.85   22 |    4.11   12 |    4.14   10  central
NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 November 6 Friday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG_RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.23]                                               [  0.23]       [  0.23]       [  0.23]       [  0.23]
  21  New York Islanders      =   3.90    7   8    4.06(  11)    2   4  |    3   6  |    3.89   20 |    3.90   20 |    3.96   19 |    3.93   20  METROPOLITAN
  22  Columbus Blue Jackets   =   3.87    7   8    4.08(   8)    3   4  |    4   7  |    3.87   21 |    3.89   21 |    3.85   24 |    3.83   24  METROPOLITAN
  23  St. Louis Blues         =   3.86    7   9    4.09(   7)    3   4  |    4   5  |    3.83   23 |    3.83   23 |    4.00   17 |    3.99   18  central
  24  Seattle Kraken          =   3.83    9   6    3.97(  19)    0   5  |    3   5  |    3.72   26 |    3.79   24 |    4.00   18 |    4.13   12  pacific
  25  Detroit Red Wings       =   3.76    7  10    3.85(  32)    2   3  |    3   4  |    3.76   25 |    3.70   27 |    3.79   25 |    3.85   23  ATLANTIC
  26  Pittsburgh Penguins     =   3.76    5  11    4.06(  12)    2   4  |    3   8  |    3.81   24 |    3.72   26 |    3.72   26 |    3.63   27  METROPOLITAN
  27  San Jose Sharks         =   3.66    7  11    4.06(  10)    1   5  |    3   8  |    3.66   28 |    3.76   25 |    3.46   30 |    3.40   30  pacific
  28  Philadelphia Flyers     =   3.63    4  14    4.13(   2)    1   6  |    4   8  |    3.68   27 |    3.63   28 |    3.58   28 |    3.50   29  METROPOLITAN
  29  Winnipeg Jets           =   3.60    6  11    4.12(   5)    2   7  |    3   8  |    3.57   29 |    3.59   29 |    3.64   27 |    3.71   26  central
  30  Calgary Flames          =   3.44    7  10    4.02(  14)    2   4  |    3   4  |    3.34   30 |    3.44   30 |    3.52   29 |    3.63   28  pacific
NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 November 6 Friday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG_RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.23]                                               [  0.23]       [  0.23]       [  0.23]       [  0.23]
  31  Chicago Blackhawks      =   3.23    4  13    4.10(   6)    0   8  |    0  11  |    3.25   31 |    3.23   31 |    3.16   32 |    3.18   32  central
  32  Vancouver Canucks       =   3.16    3  15    4.16(   1)    1   8  |    1   9  |    3.15   32 |    3.05   32 |    3.24   31 |    3.27   31  pacific
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Divisional Rankings

There are three group ratings, the "central mean", the
"simple average" (also known as the "arithmetic mean",)
and the WIN50%.
The "central mean" gives the most weight to the middle team(s)
in the group and progressively less weight to teams as you go
away from the middle in either direction, up or down.
This tends to smooth out the effect of anomalous teams that are rated
much higher and lower than the middle team(s) in the group.  The
"simple average" ("arithmetic mean") weights each team equally
no matter where they are relative to the middle.
Here are a few examples of how the "central mean" is computed.
  4-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-2-1
  5-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-2-1
  6-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-3-2-1
  7-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-3-2-1
  8-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-4-3-2-1
  9-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-4-3-2-1
 10-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-5-4-3-2-1
 11-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-5-4-3-2-1
 12-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-6-5-4-3-2-1
 13-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-7-6-5-4-3-2-1
This is an expanded version of the "tri-mean".
The WIN50% is the rating required to win 50% of the games if playing an
infinite number of round-robins in the given group at a neutral location.
      DIVISION            CENTRAL MEAN    SIMPLE AVERAGE  TEAMS      WIN50%         RATING          PREDICTOR         GOLDEN_MEAN         RECENT          STRONG_RECENT
   1  ATLANTIC                =   4.15       4.13  (  1)      8       4.13  (  1)   4.1340( 0.1992)   4.1532( 0.2058)   4.1469( 0.2222)   4.0956( 0.2803)   4.1097( 0.2959)
   2  central                 =   4.01       3.98  (  3)      8       3.99  (  3)   3.9831( 0.4240)   3.9767( 0.4344)   3.9679( 0.4259)   4.0199( 0.4409)   4.0232( 0.4216)
   3  METROPOLITAN            =   4.00       4.04  (  2)      8       4.03  (  2)   4.0354( 0.3320)   4.0415( 0.3300)   4.0385( 0.3411)   4.0382( 0.3424)   4.0070( 0.3670)
   4  pacific                 =   3.85       3.85  (  4)      8       3.85  (  4)   3.8475( 0.4334)   3.8286( 0.4572)   3.8467( 0.4588)   3.8463( 0.4269)   3.8602( 0.4186)
       OVERALL                                                                      4.0000( 0.3576)   4.0000( 0.3717)   4.0000( 0.3717)   4.0000( 0.3717)   4.0000( 0.3717)
      DIVISION            CENTRAL MEAN    SIMPLE AVERAGE  TEAMS      WIN50%         RATING          PREDICTOR         GOLDEN_MEAN         RECENT          STRONG_RECENT
   3  METROPOLITAN            =   4.00       4.04  (  2)      8       4.03  (  2)   4.0354( 0.3320)   4.0415( 0.3300)   4.0385( 0.3411)   4.0382( 0.3424)   4.0070( 0.3670)
   1  ATLANTIC                =   4.15       4.13  (  1)      8       4.13  (  1)   4.1340( 0.1992)   4.1532( 0.2058)   4.1469( 0.2222)   4.0956( 0.2803)   4.1097( 0.2959)
   2  central                 =   4.01       3.98  (  3)      8       3.99  (  3)   3.9831( 0.4240)   3.9767( 0.4344)   3.9679( 0.4259)   4.0199( 0.4409)   4.0232( 0.4216)
   4  pacific                 =   3.85       3.85  (  4)      8       3.85  (  4)   3.8475( 0.4334)   3.8286( 0.4572)   3.8467( 0.4588)   3.8463( 0.4269)   3.8602( 0.4186)
       OVERALL                                                                      4.0000( 0.3576)   4.0000( 0.3717)   4.0000( 0.3717)   4.0000( 0.3717)   4.0000( 0.3717)
__________________________________________________________________________________________________

By Division

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 3 METROPOLITAN = 4.00 NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 November 6 Friday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.23] [ 0.23] [ 0.23] [ 0.23] [ 0.23] 1 Carolina Hurricanes = 4.66 13 5 3.87( 30) 1 2 | 3 3 | 4.70 1 | 4.65 1 | 4.62 2 | 4.59 3 METROPOLITAN 8 New Jersey Devils = 4.29 11 5 3.97( 20) 4 1 | 4 4 | 4.25 10 | 4.28 9 | 4.38 5 | 4.40 5 METROPOLITAN 11 Washington Capitals = 4.21 8 6 4.04( 13) 2 4 | 4 4 | 4.22 11 | 4.28 8 | 4.11 11 | 4.05 16 METROPOLITAN 18 New York Rangers = 3.97 9 8 3.99( 17) 2 3 | 3 6 | 3.91 19 | 3.95 18 | 4.08 14 | 4.12 13 METROPOLITAN 21 New York Islanders = 3.90 7 8 4.06( 11) 2 4 | 3 6 | 3.89 20 | 3.90 20 | 3.96 19 | 3.93 20 METROPOLITAN 22 Columbus Blue Jackets = 3.87 7 8 4.08( 8) 3 4 | 4 7 | 3.87 21 | 3.89 21 | 3.85 24 | 3.83 24 METROPOLITAN 26 Pittsburgh Penguins = 3.76 5 11 4.06( 12) 2 4 | 3 8 | 3.81 24 | 3.72 26 | 3.72 26 | 3.63 27 METROPOLITAN 28 Philadelphia Flyers = 3.63 4 14 4.13( 2) 1 6 | 4 8 | 3.68 27 | 3.63 28 | 3.58 28 | 3.50 29 METROPOLITAN _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 ATLANTIC = 4.15 NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 November 6 Friday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.23] [ 0.23] [ 0.23] [ 0.23] [ 0.23] 4 Tampa Bay Lightning = 4.37 10 5 3.89( 27) 2 1 | 3 2 | 4.37 5 | 4.42 4 | 4.31 6 | 4.29 6 ATLANTIC 6 Boston Bruins = 4.34 12 5 3.96( 21) 1 3 | 2 4 | 4.30 8 | 4.26 10 | 4.66 1 | 4.75 1 ATLANTIC 9 Florida Panthers = 4.24 9 7 3.86( 31) 1 1 | 1 3 | 4.36 6 | 4.33 7 | 3.94 20 | 3.90 21 ATLANTIC 12 Montreal Canadiens = 4.19 10 6 3.87( 29) 1 1 | 5 2 | 4.21 12 | 4.25 11 | 4.08 15 | 4.09 14 ATLANTIC 14 Toronto Maple Leafs = 4.12 8 9 3.94( 22) 2 1 | 2 6 | 4.15 13 | 4.10 14 | 4.10 13 | 4.04 17 ATLANTIC 15 Ottawa Senators = 4.08 10 7 3.99( 18) 3 1 | 5 1 | 4.07 15 | 4.10 15 | 4.03 16 | 4.06 15 ATLANTIC 16 Buffalo Sabres = 3.98 8 8 4.01( 16) 2 1 | 3 6 | 4.01 16 | 4.01 16 | 3.85 23 | 3.89 22 ATLANTIC 25 Detroit Red Wings = 3.76 7 10 3.85( 32) 2 3 | 3 4 | 3.76 25 | 3.70 27 | 3.79 25 | 3.85 23 ATLANTIC _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 2 central = 4.01 NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 November 6 Friday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.23] [ 0.23] [ 0.23] [ 0.23] [ 0.23] 2 Minnesota Wild = 4.53 12 6 4.02( 15) 3 2 | 5 3 | 4.52 2 | 4.52 2 | 4.61 3 | 4.61 2 central 5 Colorado Avalanche = 4.36 9 8 3.88( 28) 3 2 | 3 3 | 4.43 4 | 4.34 5 | 4.28 7 | 4.23 7 central 10 Dallas Stars = 4.23 9 7 3.93( 23) 2 2 | 4 3 | 4.25 9 | 4.21 12 | 4.21 9 | 4.18 9 central 13 Utah Mammoth = 4.13 10 7 4.13( 4) 3 3 | 6 4 | 4.11 14 | 4.17 13 | 4.16 10 | 4.14 11 central 20 Nashville Predators = 3.91 7 9 4.13( 3) 5 3 | 6 6 | 3.86 22 | 3.85 22 | 4.11 12 | 4.14 10 central 23 St. Louis Blues = 3.86 7 9 4.09( 7) 3 4 | 4 5 | 3.83 23 | 3.83 23 | 4.00 17 | 3.99 18 central 29 Winnipeg Jets = 3.60 6 11 4.12( 5) 2 7 | 3 8 | 3.57 29 | 3.59 29 | 3.64 27 | 3.71 26 central 31 Chicago Blackhawks = 3.23 4 13 4.10( 6) 0 8 | 0 11 | 3.25 31 | 3.23 31 | 3.16 32 | 3.18 32 central _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 4 pacific = 3.85 NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 November 6 Friday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.23] [ 0.23] [ 0.23] [ 0.23] [ 0.23] 3 Edmonton Oilers = 4.49 11 6 3.91( 25) 2 1 | 3 3 | 4.49 3 | 4.47 3 | 4.54 4 | 4.51 4 pacific 7 Vegas Golden Knights = 4.30 11 7 3.90( 26) 0 4 | 2 4 | 4.32 7 | 4.34 6 | 4.23 8 | 4.19 8 pacific 17 Anaheim Ducks = 3.97 9 8 3.92( 24) 3 3 | 4 4 | 3.97 18 | 4.00 17 | 3.92 21 | 3.94 19 pacific 19 Los Angeles Kings = 3.94 5 9 4.08( 9) 0 6 | 2 7 | 3.99 17 | 3.93 19 | 3.86 22 | 3.80 25 pacific 24 Seattle Kraken = 3.83 9 6 3.97( 19) 0 5 | 3 5 | 3.72 26 | 3.79 24 | 4.00 18 | 4.13 12 pacific 27 San Jose Sharks = 3.66 7 11 4.06( 10) 1 5 | 3 8 | 3.66 28 | 3.76 25 | 3.46 30 | 3.40 30 pacific 30 Calgary Flames = 3.44 7 10 4.02( 14) 2 4 | 3 4 | 3.34 30 | 3.44 30 | 3.52 29 | 3.63 28 pacific 32 Vancouver Canucks = 3.16 3 15 4.16( 1) 1 8 | 1 9 | 3.15 32 | 3.05 32 | 3.24 31 | 3.27 31 pacific _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ These are the "regular method". _ HOME or CLOSEBY (c) is denoted _ by an "@" next to the HOME or CLOSER team _ An "n" for NEUTRAL location will appear if a neutral game Rating Favorite _ Strong MONEYLINE=odds to 100 _ FAVORITE Rating Predict Golden Recent Recent UNDERDOG ODDS PCT% TOTAL _ ====================================================================================================================================

Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines

NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 November 6 Friday HOME ADVANTAGE= 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 1 New Jersey Devils 0.16 0.14 0.15 0.20 0.25 @ New York Islanders 112 53% 2.72 2.96 5.68 -0.24 46% -118 2 @ Ottawa Senators 0.17 0.19 0.16 0.10 0.15 Utah Mammoth 112 53% 3.40 3.41 6.81 -0.01 50% -101 3 @ Washington Capitals 0.19 0.09 0.18 0.40 0.37 Florida Panthers 114 53% 3.76 2.95 6.71 0.81 63% 173 4 @ Carolina Hurricanes 1.66 1.68 1.65 1.69 1.63 Chicago Blackhawks 297 75% 4.54 1.66 6.20 2.87 86% 605 5 @ Toronto Maple Leafs 0.15 0.17 0.08 0.25 0.17 Montreal Canadiens 111 53% 3.83 3.42 7.25 0.41 57% 133 6 @ Nashville Predators 0.27 0.25 0.25 0.33 0.38 St. Louis Blues 121 55% 3.30 2.93 6.23 0.37 56% 130 7 @ Minnesota Wild 0.39 0.37 0.33 0.52 0.55 Tampa Bay Lightning 131 57% 3.44 2.66 6.10 0.78 63% 170 8 @ Dallas Stars 0.79 0.81 0.68 0.97 1.00 San Jose Sharks 172 63% 3.12 1.78 4.90 1.33 71% 243 9 @ Colorado Avalanche 0.83 0.90 0.86 0.71 0.60 Detroit Red Wings 175 64% 4.00 3.00 7.01 1.00 66% 197 10 @ Edmonton Oilers 1.56 1.57 1.65 1.53 1.47 Vancouver Canucks 280 74% 5.03 2.58 7.61 2.44 83% 473 NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 November 6 Friday HOME ADVANTAGE= 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 11 @ Los Angeles Kings 0.41 0.40 0.43 0.37 0.40 Pittsburgh Penguins 132 57% 3.63 3.03 6.66 0.59 60% 150 12 @ Seattle Kraken 0.09 0.03 0.07 0.14 0.23 New York Rangers 106 51% 3.18 3.21 6.39 -0.03 50% -102 EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS INVOLVING HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENTS FOR EACH TEAM NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 November 6 Friday HOME ADVANTAGE= 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 1 New Jersey Devils 0.66 0.64 0.66 0.70 0.75 @ New York Islanders 157 61% 2.47 3.21 5.68 -0.74 38% -166 2 @ Ottawa Senators 0.15 0.17 0.14 0.08 0.13 Utah Mammoth 111 53% 3.39 3.42 6.81 -0.03 49% -102 3 @ Washington Capitals 0.40 0.30 0.39 0.61 0.58 Florida Panthers 132 57% 3.87 2.85 6.71 1.02 67% 199 4 @ Carolina Hurricanes 4.45 4.47 4.44 4.48 4.42 Chicago Blackhawks 1380 93% 5.93 0.27 6.20 5.67 96% 2305 5 Montreal Canadiens 1.29 1.27 1.36 1.19 1.27 @ Toronto Maple Leafs 237 70% 3.11 4.14 7.25 -1.03 33% -201 6 @ Nashville Predators 0.98 0.96 0.96 1.04 1.09 St. Louis Blues 194 66% 3.66 2.57 6.23 1.08 67% 207 7 @ Minnesota Wild 1.99 1.97 1.93 2.13 2.15 Tampa Bay Lightning 364 78% 4.24 1.86 6.10 2.38 82% 457 8 @ Dallas Stars 1.61 1.63 1.50 1.79 1.82 San Jose Sharks 289 74% 3.53 1.38 4.90 2.15 80% 399 9 @ Colorado Avalanche 1.63 1.70 1.66 1.51 1.40 Detroit Red Wings 292 74% 4.40 2.60 7.01 1.80 76% 324 10 @ Edmonton Oilers 2.49 2.50 2.58 2.46 2.40 Vancouver Canucks 486 83% 5.49 2.12 7.61 3.37 89% 797 NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 November 6 Friday HOME ADVANTAGE= 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 11 @ Los Angeles Kings 0.93 0.93 0.96 0.89 0.92 Pittsburgh Penguins 188 65% 3.89 2.77 6.66 1.12 68% 213 12 @ Seattle Kraken 1.55 1.50 1.53 1.61 1.70 New York Rangers 278 74% 3.91 2.47 6.39 1.44 72% 260
EIGENVECTOR Analysis            eigen MONEY=odds to 100  EPCT%=confidence
          EFAVORITE           ESPREAD EODDS EPCT%    EUNDERDOG
    1    New Jersey Devils      0.70   161   62%  @ New York Islanders
    2  @ Ottawa Senators        0.08   105   51%    Utah Mammoth
    3    Florida Panthers       0.02   102   50%  @ Washington Capitals
    4  @ Carolina Hurricanes    3.67   926   90%    Chicago Blackhawks
    5    Montreal Canadiens     0.41   133   57%  @ Toronto Maple Leafs
    6  @ Nashville Predators    0.58   148   60%    St. Louis Blues
    7  @ Minnesota Wild         0.54   145   59%    Tampa Bay Lightning
    8  @ Dallas Stars           1.26   231   70%    San Jose Sharks
    9  @ Colorado Avalanche     1.82   327   77%    Detroit Red Wings
   10  @ Edmonton Oilers        2.91   617   86%    Vancouver Canucks
   11    Pittsburgh Penguins    0.06   104   51%  @ Los Angeles Kings
   12  @ Seattle Kraken         1.05   202   67%    New York Rangers
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