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Jeff Sagarin'stm NHL Hockey Ratings


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All Contents Copyright © 2026 Jeff Sagarintm. All Rights Reserved.


NHL 2026-2027 ratings through results of 2026 OCTOBER 21 WEDNESDAY

this output has three parts: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom
                             (2) DIVISION AVERAGES
                                 (listed top-to-bottom & by conference)
                             (3) teams listed by DIVISION
                                 (listed in order within divisions)
The SCHEDULE ratings represent what the rating would have to be for a
hypothetical team to have a mathematical expectation of winning precisely 50%
of their games against the schedule played by the team in question in the games
that it has played so far.  The schedule difficulty of each given game takes
into account the rating of the opponent and the location of the game. This
is the same concept that is used in computing the WIN50% conference ratings.
To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL  .50  goals for the home
team.  Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 4.43 would be
favored by  .82  goals over a VISITING team having a rating of 4.11
Or a VISITING team with a rating of 4.56 would be favored by .17 goals
over a HOME team having a rating of 3.89
NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below.
      In the example just above, a home edge of .50 was shown for
      illustrative purposes. The home edge will vary during the season.
Several different home edges are shown, one for each of the several different type of ratings
directly over their respective columns.
The numbers to the right of a team's schedule strength are its rank of
schedule - (in parentheses) - and its record versus teams in these
rating's CURRENT top 10 and CURRENT top 16 respectively.
Teams that appear to be tied to two decimal places in a given column are actually
different when carried to more decimal places in the computer's internal arithmetic.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The PREDICTOR, is such that the score is the only thing that matters.
PREDICTOR is also known as PURE_POINTS, BALLANTINE, RHEINGOLD, WHITE OWL
and is a very good PREDICTOR of future games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
GOLDEN_MEAN also utilizes the actual SCORES of the games in a different way but is also completely SCORE BASED
and thus should be a good match for the PURE POINTS in terms of predictive accuracy for upcoming games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The RECENT, is score-based and weights RECENT play more heavily than earlier games. Its effect will become
more pronounced the longer a season goes if a given team happens to have an upward or downward trend.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The overall RATING is a synthesis of the three different SCORE-BASED methods, PREDICTOR(PURE_POINTS), GOLDEN_MEAN,
and RECENT and thus should be a good predictor in its own right.

Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines

just click on "Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines" and it will take you to the daily predictions at the bottom of the file where you'll also see the additional set of EXPERIMENTAL predictions which are the basic predictions that are adjusted to take into account each team's tendencies of performance at home and away along with the extra picks column of STRONG RECENT
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 21 Wednesday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG_RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.35]                                               [  0.33]       [  0.39]       [  0.30]       [  0.30]
   1  Edmonton Oilers         =   4.57    7   2    3.95(  21)    2   1  |    2   1  |    4.56    1 |    4.58    1 |    4.58    2 |    4.56    2  pacific
   2  Tampa Bay Lightning     =   4.51    7   2    4.00(  17)    2   0  |    4   2  |    4.49    3 |    4.56    2 |    4.46    3 |    4.37    5  ATLANTIC
   3  Carolina Hurricanes     =   4.50    8   3    3.85(  29)    0   1  |    1   2  |    4.54    2 |    4.54    3 |    4.28    9 |    4.38    4  METROPOLITAN
   4  Vegas Golden Knights    =   4.39    8   3    3.73(  32)    0   2  |    1   2  |    4.36    7 |    4.45    4 |    4.29    8 |    4.34    7  pacific
   5  Minnesota Wild          =   4.37    6   4    4.16(   4)    3   2  |    3   2  |    4.36    6 |    4.39    5 |    4.34    6 |    4.27   10  central
   6  Colorado Avalanche      =   4.35    5   5    3.88(  26)    1   1  |    1   3  |    4.49    4 |    4.32    7 |    4.23   11 |    4.20   13  central
   7  Dallas Stars            =   4.31    5   4    3.97(  19)    2   1  |    2   1  |    4.46    5 |    4.23   10 |    4.34    7 |    4.27    9  central
   8  Utah Mammoth            =   4.30    7   3    4.12(   8)    1   2  |    3   3  |    4.27    9 |    4.30    8 |    4.35    5 |    4.34    6  central
   9  Boston Bruins           =   4.26    7   3    4.12(   6)    1   2  |    2   3  |    4.27    8 |    4.20   11 |    4.62    1 |    4.66    1  ATLANTIC
  10  Florida Panthers        =   4.24    5   5    4.10(  10)    1   1  |    1   2  |    4.24   10 |    4.35    6 |    3.95   19 |    3.93   19  ATLANTIC
NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 21 Wednesday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG_RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.35]                                               [  0.33]       [  0.39]       [  0.30]       [  0.30]
  11  Washington Capitals     =   4.21    5   4    3.99(  18)    1   2  |    3   2  |    4.22   11 |    4.26    9 |    4.07   15 |    4.02   15  METROPOLITAN
  12  Ottawa Senators         =   4.18    7   3    3.94(  23)    2   0  |    5   0  |    4.14   13 |    4.19   12 |    4.19   12 |    4.22   12  ATLANTIC
  13  New York Rangers        =   4.16    7   4    4.02(  16)    3   1  |    4   3  |    4.16   12 |    4.11   13 |    4.44    4 |    4.45    3  METROPOLITAN
  14  Toronto Maple Leafs     =   4.06    5   6    3.93(  25)    1   2  |    2   4  |    4.05   15 |    4.06   15 |    4.08   14 |    4.05   14  ATLANTIC
  15  New Jersey Devils       =   4.06    5   4    3.88(  27)    1   1  |    2   4  |    4.06   14 |    4.09   14 |    3.94   20 |    3.92   20  METROPOLITAN
  16  New York Islanders      =   3.99    5   4    3.94(  24)    0   1  |    2   4  |    3.89   18 |    4.00   16 |    4.23   10 |    4.26   11  METROPOLITAN
  17  Montreal Canadiens      =   3.94    4   5    3.82(  30)    0   1  |    1   2  |    3.98   16 |    3.97   17 |    3.66   27 |    3.68   25  ATLANTIC
  18  Anaheim Ducks           =   3.93    4   5    4.03(  12)    2   2  |    2   4  |    3.90   17 |    3.96   18 |    3.92   21 |    3.87   21  pacific
  19  San Jose Sharks         =   3.90    5   5    4.12(   7)    1   3  |    1   4  |    3.88   20 |    3.94   19 |    3.80   22 |    3.79   22  pacific
  20  Seattle Kraken          =   3.89    6   4    4.09(  11)    0   4  |    1   4  |    3.88   19 |    3.80   23 |    4.14   13 |    4.28    8  pacific
NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 21 Wednesday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG_RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.35]                                               [  0.33]       [  0.39]       [  0.30]       [  0.30]
  21  Buffalo Sabres          =   3.82    4   6    3.94(  22)    2   2  |    3   2  |    3.84   23 |    3.85   20 |    3.54   30 |    3.60   27  ATLANTIC
  22  Los Angeles Kings       =   3.82    1   6    4.33(   2)    0   5  |    1   5  |    3.86   22 |    3.83   21 |    3.69   25 |    3.54   30  pacific
  23  St. Louis Blues         =   3.80    4   5    4.10(   9)    1   2  |    2   2  |    3.72   27 |    3.81   22 |    3.96   17 |    4.01   17  central
  24  Nashville Predators     =   3.79    3   5    4.03(  15)    1   2  |    1   4  |    3.77   25 |    3.74   25 |    4.00   16 |    4.02   16  central
  25  Winnipeg Jets           =   3.78    4   5    3.96(  20)    2   2  |    2   2  |    3.78   24 |    3.71   27 |    3.96   18 |    3.99   18  central
  26  Philadelphia Flyers     =   3.76    3   9    4.14(   5)    1   4  |    2   6  |    3.86   21 |    3.69   28 |    3.67   26 |    3.60   28  METROPOLITAN
  27  Columbus Blue Jackets   =   3.74    3   5    3.87(  28)    0   3  |    1   4  |    3.75   26 |    3.77   24 |    3.59   29 |    3.57   29  METROPOLITAN
  28  Pittsburgh Penguins     =   3.72    3   7    4.17(   3)    1   3  |    1   4  |    3.70   28 |    3.73   26 |    3.74   23 |    3.74   23  METROPOLITAN
  29  Detroit Red Wings       =   3.66    3   6    3.75(  31)    0   0  |    1   2  |    3.66   29 |    3.64   29 |    3.72   24 |    3.74   24  ATLANTIC
  30  Chicago Blackhawks      =   3.43    3   6    4.03(  13)    0   4  |    0   5  |    3.38   30 |    3.44   30 |    3.46   31 |    3.51   31  central
NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 21 Wednesday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG_RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.35]                                               [  0.33]       [  0.39]       [  0.30]       [  0.30]
  31  Vancouver Canucks       =   3.36    2   9    4.36(   1)    1   6  |    1   9  |    3.29   31 |    3.22   32 |    3.62   28 |    3.63   26  pacific
  32  Calgary Flames          =   3.22    2   6    4.03(  14)    1   2  |    1   2  |    3.19   32 |    3.26   31 |    3.12   32 |    3.17   32  pacific
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Divisional Rankings

There are three group ratings, the "central mean", the
"simple average" (also known as the "arithmetic mean",)
and the WIN50%.
The "central mean" gives the most weight to the middle team(s)
in the group and progressively less weight to teams as you go
away from the middle in either direction, up or down.
This tends to smooth out the effect of anomalous teams that are rated
much higher and lower than the middle team(s) in the group.  The
"simple average" ("arithmetic mean") weights each team equally
no matter where they are relative to the middle.
Here are a few examples of how the "central mean" is computed.
  4-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-2-1
  5-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-2-1
  6-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-3-2-1
  7-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-3-2-1
  8-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-4-3-2-1
  9-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-4-3-2-1
 10-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-5-4-3-2-1
 11-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-5-4-3-2-1
 12-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-6-5-4-3-2-1
 13-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-7-6-5-4-3-2-1
This is an expanded version of the "tri-mean".
The WIN50% is the rating required to win 50% of the games if playing an
infinite number of round-robins in the given group at a neutral location.
      DIVISION            CENTRAL MEAN    SIMPLE AVERAGE  TEAMS      WIN50%         RATING          PREDICTOR         GOLDEN_MEAN         RECENT          STRONG_RECENT
   1  ATLANTIC                =   4.09       4.08  (  1)      8       4.08  (  1)   4.0823( 0.2714)   4.0835( 0.2617)   4.1035( 0.2886)   4.0301( 0.3856)   4.0322( 0.3672)
   2  central                 =   4.04       4.02  (  3)      8       4.02  (  2)   4.0164( 0.3591)   4.0284( 0.4148)   3.9932( 0.3578)   4.0784( 0.3060)   4.0766( 0.2685)
   3  METROPOLITAN            =   4.00       4.02  (  2)      8       4.02  (  3)   4.0177( 0.2754)   4.0225( 0.2791)   4.0242( 0.2928)   3.9968( 0.3125)   3.9941( 0.3449)
   4  pacific                 =   3.88       3.88  (  4)      8       3.88  (  4)   3.8837( 0.4560)   3.8656( 0.4639)   3.8791( 0.4869)   3.8948( 0.4506)   3.8972( 0.4668)
       OVERALL                                                                      4.0000( 0.3394)   4.0000( 0.3568)   4.0000( 0.3568)   4.0000( 0.3568)   4.0000( 0.3568)
      DIVISION            CENTRAL MEAN    SIMPLE AVERAGE  TEAMS      WIN50%         RATING          PREDICTOR         GOLDEN_MEAN         RECENT          STRONG_RECENT
   3  METROPOLITAN            =   4.00       4.02  (  2)      8       4.02  (  3)   4.0177( 0.2754)   4.0225( 0.2791)   4.0242( 0.2928)   3.9968( 0.3125)   3.9941( 0.3449)
   1  ATLANTIC                =   4.09       4.08  (  1)      8       4.08  (  1)   4.0823( 0.2714)   4.0835( 0.2617)   4.1035( 0.2886)   4.0301( 0.3856)   4.0322( 0.3672)
   2  central                 =   4.04       4.02  (  3)      8       4.02  (  2)   4.0164( 0.3591)   4.0284( 0.4148)   3.9932( 0.3578)   4.0784( 0.3060)   4.0766( 0.2685)
   4  pacific                 =   3.88       3.88  (  4)      8       3.88  (  4)   3.8837( 0.4560)   3.8656( 0.4639)   3.8791( 0.4869)   3.8948( 0.4506)   3.8972( 0.4668)
       OVERALL                                                                      4.0000( 0.3394)   4.0000( 0.3568)   4.0000( 0.3568)   4.0000( 0.3568)   4.0000( 0.3568)
__________________________________________________________________________________________________

By Division

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 3 METROPOLITAN = 4.00 NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 21 Wednesday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.35] [ 0.33] [ 0.39] [ 0.30] [ 0.30] 3 Carolina Hurricanes = 4.50 8 3 3.85( 29) 0 1 | 1 2 | 4.54 2 | 4.54 3 | 4.28 9 | 4.38 4 METROPOLITAN 11 Washington Capitals = 4.21 5 4 3.99( 18) 1 2 | 3 2 | 4.22 11 | 4.26 9 | 4.07 15 | 4.02 15 METROPOLITAN 13 New York Rangers = 4.16 7 4 4.02( 16) 3 1 | 4 3 | 4.16 12 | 4.11 13 | 4.44 4 | 4.45 3 METROPOLITAN 15 New Jersey Devils = 4.06 5 4 3.88( 27) 1 1 | 2 4 | 4.06 14 | 4.09 14 | 3.94 20 | 3.92 20 METROPOLITAN 16 New York Islanders = 3.99 5 4 3.94( 24) 0 1 | 2 4 | 3.89 18 | 4.00 16 | 4.23 10 | 4.26 11 METROPOLITAN 26 Philadelphia Flyers = 3.76 3 9 4.14( 5) 1 4 | 2 6 | 3.86 21 | 3.69 28 | 3.67 26 | 3.60 28 METROPOLITAN 27 Columbus Blue Jackets = 3.74 3 5 3.87( 28) 0 3 | 1 4 | 3.75 26 | 3.77 24 | 3.59 29 | 3.57 29 METROPOLITAN 28 Pittsburgh Penguins = 3.72 3 7 4.17( 3) 1 3 | 1 4 | 3.70 28 | 3.73 26 | 3.74 23 | 3.74 23 METROPOLITAN _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 ATLANTIC = 4.09 NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 21 Wednesday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.35] [ 0.33] [ 0.39] [ 0.30] [ 0.30] 2 Tampa Bay Lightning = 4.51 7 2 4.00( 17) 2 0 | 4 2 | 4.49 3 | 4.56 2 | 4.46 3 | 4.37 5 ATLANTIC 9 Boston Bruins = 4.26 7 3 4.12( 6) 1 2 | 2 3 | 4.27 8 | 4.20 11 | 4.62 1 | 4.66 1 ATLANTIC 10 Florida Panthers = 4.24 5 5 4.10( 10) 1 1 | 1 2 | 4.24 10 | 4.35 6 | 3.95 19 | 3.93 19 ATLANTIC 12 Ottawa Senators = 4.18 7 3 3.94( 23) 2 0 | 5 0 | 4.14 13 | 4.19 12 | 4.19 12 | 4.22 12 ATLANTIC 14 Toronto Maple Leafs = 4.06 5 6 3.93( 25) 1 2 | 2 4 | 4.05 15 | 4.06 15 | 4.08 14 | 4.05 14 ATLANTIC 17 Montreal Canadiens = 3.94 4 5 3.82( 30) 0 1 | 1 2 | 3.98 16 | 3.97 17 | 3.66 27 | 3.68 25 ATLANTIC 21 Buffalo Sabres = 3.82 4 6 3.94( 22) 2 2 | 3 2 | 3.84 23 | 3.85 20 | 3.54 30 | 3.60 27 ATLANTIC 29 Detroit Red Wings = 3.66 3 6 3.75( 31) 0 0 | 1 2 | 3.66 29 | 3.64 29 | 3.72 24 | 3.74 24 ATLANTIC _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 2 central = 4.04 NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 21 Wednesday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.35] [ 0.33] [ 0.39] [ 0.30] [ 0.30] 5 Minnesota Wild = 4.37 6 4 4.16( 4) 3 2 | 3 2 | 4.36 6 | 4.39 5 | 4.34 6 | 4.27 10 central 6 Colorado Avalanche = 4.35 5 5 3.88( 26) 1 1 | 1 3 | 4.49 4 | 4.32 7 | 4.23 11 | 4.20 13 central 7 Dallas Stars = 4.31 5 4 3.97( 19) 2 1 | 2 1 | 4.46 5 | 4.23 10 | 4.34 7 | 4.27 9 central 8 Utah Mammoth = 4.30 7 3 4.12( 8) 1 2 | 3 3 | 4.27 9 | 4.30 8 | 4.35 5 | 4.34 6 central 23 St. Louis Blues = 3.80 4 5 4.10( 9) 1 2 | 2 2 | 3.72 27 | 3.81 22 | 3.96 17 | 4.01 17 central 24 Nashville Predators = 3.79 3 5 4.03( 15) 1 2 | 1 4 | 3.77 25 | 3.74 25 | 4.00 16 | 4.02 16 central 25 Winnipeg Jets = 3.78 4 5 3.96( 20) 2 2 | 2 2 | 3.78 24 | 3.71 27 | 3.96 18 | 3.99 18 central 30 Chicago Blackhawks = 3.43 3 6 4.03( 13) 0 4 | 0 5 | 3.38 30 | 3.44 30 | 3.46 31 | 3.51 31 central _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 4 pacific = 3.88 NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 21 Wednesday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.35] [ 0.33] [ 0.39] [ 0.30] [ 0.30] 1 Edmonton Oilers = 4.57 7 2 3.95( 21) 2 1 | 2 1 | 4.56 1 | 4.58 1 | 4.58 2 | 4.56 2 pacific 4 Vegas Golden Knights = 4.39 8 3 3.73( 32) 0 2 | 1 2 | 4.36 7 | 4.45 4 | 4.29 8 | 4.34 7 pacific 18 Anaheim Ducks = 3.93 4 5 4.03( 12) 2 2 | 2 4 | 3.90 17 | 3.96 18 | 3.92 21 | 3.87 21 pacific 19 San Jose Sharks = 3.90 5 5 4.12( 7) 1 3 | 1 4 | 3.88 20 | 3.94 19 | 3.80 22 | 3.79 22 pacific 20 Seattle Kraken = 3.89 6 4 4.09( 11) 0 4 | 1 4 | 3.88 19 | 3.80 23 | 4.14 13 | 4.28 8 pacific 22 Los Angeles Kings = 3.82 1 6 4.33( 2) 0 5 | 1 5 | 3.86 22 | 3.83 21 | 3.69 25 | 3.54 30 pacific 31 Vancouver Canucks = 3.36 2 9 4.36( 1) 1 6 | 1 9 | 3.29 31 | 3.22 32 | 3.62 28 | 3.63 26 pacific 32 Calgary Flames = 3.22 2 6 4.03( 14) 1 2 | 1 2 | 3.19 32 | 3.26 31 | 3.12 32 | 3.17 32 pacific _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ These are the "regular method". _ HOME or CLOSEBY (c) is denoted _ by an "@" next to the HOME or CLOSER team _ An "n" for NEUTRAL location will appear if a neutral game Rating Favorite _ Strong MONEYLINE=odds to 100 _ FAVORITE Rating Predict Golden Recent Recent UNDERDOG ODDS PCT% TOTAL _ ====================================================================================================================================

Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines

NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 21 Wednesday HOME ADVANTAGE= 0.35 0.33 0.39 0.30 0.30 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 1 @ Boston Bruins 0.82 0.83 0.85 0.92 0.93 Nashville Predators 174 63% 4.12 2.38 6.50 1.74 75% 307 2 @ New York Islanders 0.52 0.36 0.56 0.84 1.02 Los Angeles Kings 143 59% 3.22 1.51 4.73 1.70 75% 300 3 @ New Jersey Devils 0.48 0.49 0.51 0.32 0.35 Anaheim Ducks 138 58% 3.50 3.26 6.76 0.24 54% 118 4 @ Ottawa Senators 0.63 0.59 0.64 0.69 0.73 San Jose Sharks 153 60% 3.55 2.11 5.66 1.43 72% 255 5 @ Toronto Maple Leafs 0.24 0.22 0.34 -0.07 -0.10 New York Rangers 118 54% 2.50 3.04 5.55 -0.54 41% -144 6 Florida Panthers 0.16 0.21 0.23 -0.08 -0.11 @ Pittsburgh Penguins 112 53% 3.39 3.27 6.67 0.12 52% 108 7 Vegas Golden Knights 0.24 0.31 0.25 0.04 0.04 @ St. Louis Blues 118 54% 3.11 3.76 6.87 -0.65 39% -155 8 @ Dallas Stars 0.89 1.00 0.91 0.68 0.58 Winnipeg Jets 181 64% 2.03 1.03 3.06 1.01 66% 195 9 @ Edmonton Oilers 0.42 0.35 0.43 0.59 0.48 Carolina Hurricanes 133 57% 4.00 2.98 6.97 1.02 66% 197 10 Minnesota Wild 0.79 0.84 0.75 0.93 0.80 @ Calgary Flames 170 63% 1.58 3.98 5.56 -2.41 18% -453 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 11 Utah Mammoth 0.05 0.06 0.12 -0.09 -0.23 @ Seattle Kraken 104 51% 3.77 3.81 7.58 -0.04 49% -102 12 @ Vancouver Canucks 0.05 -0.04 -0.03 0.20 0.18 Detroit Red Wings 103 51% 3.46 3.39 6.85 0.07 51% 105 EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS INVOLVING HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENTS FOR EACH TEAM NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 21 Wednesday HOME ADVANTAGE= 0.35 0.33 0.39 0.30 0.30 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 1 @ Boston Bruins 2.31 2.32 2.33 2.40 2.42 Nashville Predators 428 81% 4.86 1.64 6.50 3.23 88% 714 2 @ New York Islanders 2.56 2.40 2.60 2.88 3.06 Los Angeles Kings 495 83% 4.24 0.49 4.73 3.74 90% 937 3 @ New Jersey Devils 0.35 0.36 0.38 0.19 0.22 Anaheim Ducks 127 56% 3.44 3.33 6.76 0.11 52% 108 4 @ Ottawa Senators 1.62 1.58 1.63 1.68 1.72 San Jose Sharks 286 74% 4.04 1.62 5.66 2.43 82% 458 5 @ Toronto Maple Leafs 0.20 0.17 0.29 -0.11 -0.15 New York Rangers 115 53% 2.48 3.07 5.55 -0.58 40% -148 6 @ Pittsburgh Penguins 0.10 0.05 0.03 0.34 0.37 Florida Panthers 107 52% 3.52 3.14 6.67 0.38 56% 129 7 Vegas Golden Knights 1.15 1.22 1.16 0.94 0.95 @ St. Louis Blues 213 68% 2.65 4.21 6.87 -1.56 27% -275 8 @ Dallas Stars 0.86 0.97 0.88 0.65 0.55 Winnipeg Jets 178 64% 2.02 1.04 3.06 0.98 66% 192 9 Carolina Hurricanes 0.99 1.06 0.98 0.82 0.93 @ Edmonton Oilers 193 66% 3.29 3.68 6.97 -0.39 43% -130 10 Minnesota Wild 3.12 3.17 3.07 3.25 3.13 @ Calgary Flames 673 87% 0.42 5.15 5.56 -4.73 6% -1516 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 11 Utah Mammoth 0.51 0.51 0.57 0.36 0.22 @ Seattle Kraken 141 59% 3.54 4.03 7.58 -0.49 42% -139 12 Detroit Red Wings 0.08 0.17 0.16 -0.07 -0.05 @ Vancouver Canucks 106 51% 3.40 3.45 6.85 -0.06 49% -104
EIGENVECTOR Analysis            eigen MONEY=odds to 100  EPCT%=confidence
          EFAVORITE           ESPREAD EODDS EPCT%    EUNDERDOG
    1  @ Boston Bruins          1.83   324   76%    Nashville Predators
    2  @ New York Islanders     2.13   387   79%    Los Angeles Kings
    3  @ New Jersey Devils      0.27   120   54%    Anaheim Ducks
    4  @ Ottawa Senators        1.95   348   78%    San Jose Sharks
    5    New York Rangers       0.67   157   61%  @ Toronto Maple Leafs
    6    Florida Panthers       0.57   147   59%  @ Pittsburgh Penguins
    7    Vegas Golden Knights   0.81   172   63%  @ St. Louis Blues
    8  @ Dallas Stars           1.43   254   72%    Winnipeg Jets
    9  @ Edmonton Oilers        0.03   102   51%    Carolina Hurricanes
   10    Minnesota Wild         0.90   182   65%  @ Calgary Flames
   11  @ Seattle Kraken         0.28   121   55%    Utah Mammoth
   12    Detroit Red Wings      0.22   116   54%  @ Vancouver Canucks
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