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Jeff Sagarin'stm NHL Hockey Ratings


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my ratings are no longer updated on the USA Today website

Email: Jeff Sagarin

All Contents Copyright © 2026 Jeff Sagarintm. All Rights Reserved.


NHL 2026-2027 ratings through results of 2026 OCTOBER 23 FRIDAY

this output has three parts: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom
                             (2) DIVISION AVERAGES
                                 (listed top-to-bottom & by conference)
                             (3) teams listed by DIVISION
                                 (listed in order within divisions)
The SCHEDULE ratings represent what the rating would have to be for a
hypothetical team to have a mathematical expectation of winning precisely 50%
of their games against the schedule played by the team in question in the games
that it has played so far.  The schedule difficulty of each given game takes
into account the rating of the opponent and the location of the game. This
is the same concept that is used in computing the WIN50% conference ratings.
To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL  .50  goals for the home
team.  Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 4.43 would be
favored by  .82  goals over a VISITING team having a rating of 4.11
Or a VISITING team with a rating of 4.56 would be favored by .17 goals
over a HOME team having a rating of 3.89
NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below.
      In the example just above, a home edge of .50 was shown for
      illustrative purposes. The home edge will vary during the season.
Several different home edges are shown, one for each of the several different type of ratings
directly over their respective columns.
The numbers to the right of a team's schedule strength are its rank of
schedule - (in parentheses) - and its record versus teams in these
rating's CURRENT top 10 and CURRENT top 16 respectively.
Teams that appear to be tied to two decimal places in a given column are actually
different when carried to more decimal places in the computer's internal arithmetic.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The PREDICTOR, is such that the score is the only thing that matters.
PREDICTOR is also known as PURE_POINTS, BALLANTINE, RHEINGOLD, WHITE OWL
and is a very good PREDICTOR of future games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
GOLDEN_MEAN also utilizes the actual SCORES of the games in a different way but is also completely SCORE BASED
and thus should be a good match for the PURE POINTS in terms of predictive accuracy for upcoming games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The RECENT, is score-based and weights RECENT play more heavily than earlier games. Its effect will become
more pronounced the longer a season goes if a given team happens to have an upward or downward trend.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The overall RATING is a synthesis of the three different SCORE-BASED methods, PREDICTOR(PURE_POINTS), GOLDEN_MEAN,
and RECENT and thus should be a good predictor in its own right.

Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines

just click on "Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines" and it will take you to the daily predictions at the bottom of the file where you'll also see the additional set of EXPERIMENTAL predictions which are the basic predictions that are adjusted to take into account each team's tendencies of performance at home and away along with the extra picks column of STRONG RECENT
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 23 Friday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG_RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.49]                                               [  0.44]       [  0.56]       [  0.37]       [  0.37]
   1  Edmonton Oilers         =   4.61    8   2    3.95(  21)    3   1  |    4   1  |    4.57    3 |    4.64    1 |    4.59    2 |    4.59    2  pacific
   2  Carolina Hurricanes     =   4.52    8   4    3.94(  22)    1   2  |    1   3  |    4.60    2 |    4.54    2 |    4.30    7 |    4.35    6  METROPOLITAN
   3  Colorado Avalanche      =   4.49    6   5    3.94(  23)    2   1  |    2   3  |    4.65    1 |    4.43    4 |    4.44    3 |    4.36    5  central
   4  Tampa Bay Lightning     =   4.42    7   3    4.04(  15)    3   1  |    3   3  |    4.41    5 |    4.48    3 |    4.31    6 |    4.22    9  ATLANTIC
   5  Dallas Stars            =   4.36    6   4    3.97(  20)    2   1  |    3   1  |    4.45    4 |    4.30    7 |    4.42    4 |    4.34    7  central
   6  Boston Bruins           =   4.34    8   3    4.05(  14)    1   2  |    3   3  |    4.37    6 |    4.25   11 |    4.79    1 |    4.84    1  ATLANTIC
   7  Vegas Golden Knights    =   4.28    8   4    3.74(  31)    0   2  |    1   2  |    4.23    8 |    4.37    5 |    4.15   11 |    4.20   10  pacific
   8  Minnesota Wild          =   4.27    6   5    4.12(   8)    2   2  |    3   2  |    4.25    7 |    4.32    6 |    4.19   10 |    4.18   11  central
   9  Utah Mammoth            =   4.24    7   4    4.17(   4)    1   2  |    3   3  |    4.19   10 |    4.28    9 |    4.30    8 |    4.28    8  central
  10  Washington Capitals     =   4.22    5   4    3.99(  18)    1   2  |    3   2  |    4.21    9 |    4.27   10 |    4.11   13 |    4.04   16  METROPOLITAN
NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 23 Friday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG_RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.49]                                               [  0.44]       [  0.56]       [  0.37]       [  0.37]
  11  Florida Panthers        =   4.16    5   6    4.13(   7)    1   1  |    1   3  |    4.17   11 |    4.28    8 |    3.79   24 |    3.77   24  ATLANTIC
  12  New York Rangers        =   4.13    7   5    4.03(  16)    3   2  |    3   4  |    4.15   12 |    4.06   16 |    4.36    5 |    4.38    4  METROPOLITAN
  13  New Jersey Devils       =   4.09    6   4    3.80(  30)    1   2  |    2   3  |    4.09   13 |    4.10   13 |    4.03   17 |    4.05   15  METROPOLITAN
  14  Ottawa Senators         =   4.09    7   4    3.91(  25)    1   0  |    4   1  |    4.07   14 |    4.12   12 |    4.01   18 |    4.04   17  ATLANTIC
  15  Toronto Maple Leafs     =   4.06    6   6    3.87(  26)    1   2  |    3   3  |    4.02   15 |    4.09   14 |    4.08   14 |    4.08   14  ATLANTIC
  16  San Jose Sharks         =   4.01    6   5    4.19(   3)    0   3  |    2   4  |    3.94   18 |    4.07   15 |    3.98   19 |    3.97   19  pacific
  17  Montreal Canadiens      =   3.98    5   5    3.81(  29)    0   2  |    1   3  |    3.96   16 |    4.04   17 |    3.78   26 |    3.84   22  ATLANTIC
  18  Seattle Kraken          =   3.96    7   4    4.09(  11)    2   3  |    2   4  |    3.95   17 |    3.87   22 |    4.25    9 |    4.38    3  pacific
  19  St. Louis Blues         =   3.91    5   5    4.10(  10)    2   2  |    3   3  |    3.84   23 |    3.89   21 |    4.13   12 |    4.17   12  central
  20  New York Islanders      =   3.89    5   5    3.84(  27)    0   1  |    2   4  |    3.79   26 |    3.91   18 |    4.05   15 |    4.14   13  METROPOLITAN
NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 23 Friday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG_RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.49]                                               [  0.44]       [  0.56]       [  0.37]       [  0.37]
  21  Los Angeles Kings       =   3.87    2   6    4.36(   1)    1   4  |    1   6  |    3.88   20 |    3.90   19 |    3.82   23 |    3.67   26  pacific
  22  Anaheim Ducks           =   3.86    4   6    4.08(  12)    1   2  |    2   4  |    3.84   22 |    3.90   20 |    3.79   25 |    3.74   25  pacific
  23  Pittsburgh Penguins     =   3.83    4   7    4.15(   6)    1   4  |    2   4  |    3.83   24 |    3.81   24 |    3.89   20 |    3.88   20  METROPOLITAN
  24  Winnipeg Jets           =   3.83    4   6    4.06(  13)    2   3  |    2   3  |    3.91   19 |    3.69   29 |    4.04   16 |    4.01   18  central
  25  Buffalo Sabres          =   3.80    4   6    3.91(  24)    1   2  |    3   2  |    3.81   25 |    3.84   23 |    3.51   29 |    3.55   28  ATLANTIC
  26  Philadelphia Flyers     =   3.76    3   9    4.16(   5)    1   4  |    2   6  |    3.88   21 |    3.69   28 |    3.67   27 |    3.57   27  METROPOLITAN
  27  Detroit Red Wings       =   3.74    4   6    3.73(  32)    0   0  |    2   2  |    3.74   28 |    3.69   27 |    3.85   21 |    3.88   21  ATLANTIC
  28  Columbus Blue Jackets   =   3.73    3   5    3.83(  28)    0   2  |    1   4  |    3.76   27 |    3.74   25 |    3.56   28 |    3.53   29  METROPOLITAN
  29  Nashville Predators     =   3.72    3   6    4.10(   9)    1   3  |    1   6  |    3.71   29 |    3.69   26 |    3.84   22 |    3.82   23  central
  30  Chicago Blackhawks      =   3.34    3   7    3.98(  19)    0   4  |    0   4  |    3.32   30 |    3.35   30 |    3.32   31 |    3.36   31  central
NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 23 Friday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG_RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.49]                                               [  0.44]       [  0.56]       [  0.37]       [  0.37]
  31  Calgary Flames          =   3.26    3   6    4.00(  17)    2   2  |    2   2  |    3.19   32 |    3.29   31 |    3.22   32 |    3.30   32  pacific
  32  Vancouver Canucks       =   3.25    2  10    4.27(   2)    1   5  |    1   8  |    3.20   31 |    3.11   32 |    3.46   30 |    3.49   30  pacific
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Divisional Rankings

There are three group ratings, the "central mean", the
"simple average" (also known as the "arithmetic mean",)
and the WIN50%.
The "central mean" gives the most weight to the middle team(s)
in the group and progressively less weight to teams as you go
away from the middle in either direction, up or down.
This tends to smooth out the effect of anomalous teams that are rated
much higher and lower than the middle team(s) in the group.  The
"simple average" ("arithmetic mean") weights each team equally
no matter where they are relative to the middle.
Here are a few examples of how the "central mean" is computed.
  4-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-2-1
  5-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-2-1
  6-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-3-2-1
  7-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-3-2-1
  8-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-4-3-2-1
  9-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-4-3-2-1
 10-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-5-4-3-2-1
 11-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-5-4-3-2-1
 12-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-6-5-4-3-2-1
 13-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-7-6-5-4-3-2-1
This is an expanded version of the "tri-mean".
The WIN50% is the rating required to win 50% of the games if playing an
infinite number of round-robins in the given group at a neutral location.
      DIVISION            CENTRAL MEAN    SIMPLE AVERAGE  TEAMS      WIN50%         RATING          PREDICTOR         GOLDEN_MEAN         RECENT          STRONG_RECENT
   1  ATLANTIC                =   4.07       4.07  (  1)      8       4.07  (  1)   4.0719( 0.2370)   4.0690( 0.2403)   4.0975( 0.2518)   4.0148( 0.3924)   4.0278( 0.3865)
   2  central                 =   4.05       4.02  (  3)      8       4.02  (  2)   4.0205( 0.3882)   4.0408( 0.4315)   3.9935( 0.3917)   4.0838( 0.3689)   4.0633( 0.3359)
   3  METROPOLITAN            =   4.00       4.02  (  2)      8       4.02  (  3)   4.0210( 0.2689)   4.0392( 0.2845)   4.0144( 0.2877)   3.9949( 0.2799)   3.9930( 0.3180)
   4  pacific                 =   3.89       3.89  (  4)      8       3.89  (  4)   3.8866( 0.4632)   3.8510( 0.4683)   3.8946( 0.5051)   3.9065( 0.4380)   3.9159( 0.4491)
       OVERALL                                                                      4.0000( 0.3411)   4.0000( 0.3615)   4.0000( 0.3615)   4.0000( 0.3615)   4.0000( 0.3615)
      DIVISION            CENTRAL MEAN    SIMPLE AVERAGE  TEAMS      WIN50%         RATING          PREDICTOR         GOLDEN_MEAN         RECENT          STRONG_RECENT
   3  METROPOLITAN            =   4.00       4.02  (  2)      8       4.02  (  3)   4.0210( 0.2689)   4.0392( 0.2845)   4.0144( 0.2877)   3.9949( 0.2799)   3.9930( 0.3180)
   1  ATLANTIC                =   4.07       4.07  (  1)      8       4.07  (  1)   4.0719( 0.2370)   4.0690( 0.2403)   4.0975( 0.2518)   4.0148( 0.3924)   4.0278( 0.3865)
   2  central                 =   4.05       4.02  (  3)      8       4.02  (  2)   4.0205( 0.3882)   4.0408( 0.4315)   3.9935( 0.3917)   4.0838( 0.3689)   4.0633( 0.3359)
   4  pacific                 =   3.89       3.89  (  4)      8       3.89  (  4)   3.8866( 0.4632)   3.8510( 0.4683)   3.8946( 0.5051)   3.9065( 0.4380)   3.9159( 0.4491)
       OVERALL                                                                      4.0000( 0.3411)   4.0000( 0.3615)   4.0000( 0.3615)   4.0000( 0.3615)   4.0000( 0.3615)
__________________________________________________________________________________________________

By Division

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 3 METROPOLITAN = 4.00 NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 23 Friday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.49] [ 0.44] [ 0.56] [ 0.37] [ 0.37] 2 Carolina Hurricanes = 4.52 8 4 3.94( 22) 1 2 | 1 3 | 4.60 2 | 4.54 2 | 4.30 7 | 4.35 6 METROPOLITAN 10 Washington Capitals = 4.22 5 4 3.99( 18) 1 2 | 3 2 | 4.21 9 | 4.27 10 | 4.11 13 | 4.04 16 METROPOLITAN 12 New York Rangers = 4.13 7 5 4.03( 16) 3 2 | 3 4 | 4.15 12 | 4.06 16 | 4.36 5 | 4.38 4 METROPOLITAN 13 New Jersey Devils = 4.09 6 4 3.80( 30) 1 2 | 2 3 | 4.09 13 | 4.10 13 | 4.03 17 | 4.05 15 METROPOLITAN 20 New York Islanders = 3.89 5 5 3.84( 27) 0 1 | 2 4 | 3.79 26 | 3.91 18 | 4.05 15 | 4.14 13 METROPOLITAN 23 Pittsburgh Penguins = 3.83 4 7 4.15( 6) 1 4 | 2 4 | 3.83 24 | 3.81 24 | 3.89 20 | 3.88 20 METROPOLITAN 26 Philadelphia Flyers = 3.76 3 9 4.16( 5) 1 4 | 2 6 | 3.88 21 | 3.69 28 | 3.67 27 | 3.57 27 METROPOLITAN 28 Columbus Blue Jackets = 3.73 3 5 3.83( 28) 0 2 | 1 4 | 3.76 27 | 3.74 25 | 3.56 28 | 3.53 29 METROPOLITAN _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 ATLANTIC = 4.07 NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 23 Friday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.49] [ 0.44] [ 0.56] [ 0.37] [ 0.37] 4 Tampa Bay Lightning = 4.42 7 3 4.04( 15) 3 1 | 3 3 | 4.41 5 | 4.48 3 | 4.31 6 | 4.22 9 ATLANTIC 6 Boston Bruins = 4.34 8 3 4.05( 14) 1 2 | 3 3 | 4.37 6 | 4.25 11 | 4.79 1 | 4.84 1 ATLANTIC 11 Florida Panthers = 4.16 5 6 4.13( 7) 1 1 | 1 3 | 4.17 11 | 4.28 8 | 3.79 24 | 3.77 24 ATLANTIC 14 Ottawa Senators = 4.09 7 4 3.91( 25) 1 0 | 4 1 | 4.07 14 | 4.12 12 | 4.01 18 | 4.04 17 ATLANTIC 15 Toronto Maple Leafs = 4.06 6 6 3.87( 26) 1 2 | 3 3 | 4.02 15 | 4.09 14 | 4.08 14 | 4.08 14 ATLANTIC 17 Montreal Canadiens = 3.98 5 5 3.81( 29) 0 2 | 1 3 | 3.96 16 | 4.04 17 | 3.78 26 | 3.84 22 ATLANTIC 25 Buffalo Sabres = 3.80 4 6 3.91( 24) 1 2 | 3 2 | 3.81 25 | 3.84 23 | 3.51 29 | 3.55 28 ATLANTIC 27 Detroit Red Wings = 3.74 4 6 3.73( 32) 0 0 | 2 2 | 3.74 28 | 3.69 27 | 3.85 21 | 3.88 21 ATLANTIC _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 2 central = 4.05 NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 23 Friday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.49] [ 0.44] [ 0.56] [ 0.37] [ 0.37] 3 Colorado Avalanche = 4.49 6 5 3.94( 23) 2 1 | 2 3 | 4.65 1 | 4.43 4 | 4.44 3 | 4.36 5 central 5 Dallas Stars = 4.36 6 4 3.97( 20) 2 1 | 3 1 | 4.45 4 | 4.30 7 | 4.42 4 | 4.34 7 central 8 Minnesota Wild = 4.27 6 5 4.12( 8) 2 2 | 3 2 | 4.25 7 | 4.32 6 | 4.19 10 | 4.18 11 central 9 Utah Mammoth = 4.24 7 4 4.17( 4) 1 2 | 3 3 | 4.19 10 | 4.28 9 | 4.30 8 | 4.28 8 central 19 St. Louis Blues = 3.91 5 5 4.10( 10) 2 2 | 3 3 | 3.84 23 | 3.89 21 | 4.13 12 | 4.17 12 central 24 Winnipeg Jets = 3.83 4 6 4.06( 13) 2 3 | 2 3 | 3.91 19 | 3.69 29 | 4.04 16 | 4.01 18 central 29 Nashville Predators = 3.72 3 6 4.10( 9) 1 3 | 1 6 | 3.71 29 | 3.69 26 | 3.84 22 | 3.82 23 central 30 Chicago Blackhawks = 3.34 3 7 3.98( 19) 0 4 | 0 4 | 3.32 30 | 3.35 30 | 3.32 31 | 3.36 31 central _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 4 pacific = 3.89 NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 23 Friday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.49] [ 0.44] [ 0.56] [ 0.37] [ 0.37] 1 Edmonton Oilers = 4.61 8 2 3.95( 21) 3 1 | 4 1 | 4.57 3 | 4.64 1 | 4.59 2 | 4.59 2 pacific 7 Vegas Golden Knights = 4.28 8 4 3.74( 31) 0 2 | 1 2 | 4.23 8 | 4.37 5 | 4.15 11 | 4.20 10 pacific 16 San Jose Sharks = 4.01 6 5 4.19( 3) 0 3 | 2 4 | 3.94 18 | 4.07 15 | 3.98 19 | 3.97 19 pacific 18 Seattle Kraken = 3.96 7 4 4.09( 11) 2 3 | 2 4 | 3.95 17 | 3.87 22 | 4.25 9 | 4.38 3 pacific 21 Los Angeles Kings = 3.87 2 6 4.36( 1) 1 4 | 1 6 | 3.88 20 | 3.90 19 | 3.82 23 | 3.67 26 pacific 22 Anaheim Ducks = 3.86 4 6 4.08( 12) 1 2 | 2 4 | 3.84 22 | 3.90 20 | 3.79 25 | 3.74 25 pacific 31 Calgary Flames = 3.26 3 6 4.00( 17) 2 2 | 2 2 | 3.19 32 | 3.29 31 | 3.22 32 | 3.30 32 pacific 32 Vancouver Canucks = 3.25 2 10 4.27( 2) 1 5 | 1 8 | 3.20 31 | 3.11 32 | 3.46 30 | 3.49 30 pacific _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ These are the "regular method". _ HOME or CLOSEBY (c) is denoted _ by an "@" next to the HOME or CLOSER team _ An "n" for NEUTRAL location will appear if a neutral game Rating Favorite _ Strong MONEYLINE=odds to 100 _ FAVORITE Rating Predict Golden Recent Recent UNDERDOG ODDS PCT% TOTAL _ ====================================================================================================================================

Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines

NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 23 Friday HOME ADVANTAGE= 0.49 0.44 0.56 0.37 0.37 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 1 @ Boston Bruins 0.82 0.88 0.74 1.17 1.24 San Jose Sharks 172 63% 4.46 2.23 6.69 2.23 80% 403 2 @ New Jersey Devils 0.70 0.65 0.76 0.58 0.74 Los Angeles Kings 160 61% 3.37 2.63 6.00 0.74 62% 164 3 @ Philadelphia Flyers 0.39 0.48 0.35 0.24 0.21 Anaheim Ducks 130 56% 2.40 2.11 4.51 0.29 55% 122 4 @ Ottawa Senators 0.45 0.36 0.62 0.02 0.03 New York Rangers 135 57% 2.37 2.69 5.05 -0.32 45% -124 5 @ Washington Capitals 0.91 0.83 1.00 0.96 0.86 Buffalo Sabres 182 65% 4.33 2.39 6.71 1.94 77% 340 6 @ Pittsburgh Penguins 0.60 0.57 0.68 0.42 0.43 Nashville Predators 149 60% 3.63 3.11 6.74 0.52 59% 141 7 Vegas Golden Knights 0.06 0.03 0.06 0.22 0.31 @ Columbus Blue Jacket 104 51% 2.64 3.62 6.26 -0.98 34% -190 8 Carolina Hurricanes 0.12 0.33 0.08 -0.20 -0.20 @ St. Louis Blues 108 52% 3.76 3.71 7.47 0.04 51% 103 9 @ Utah Mammoth 0.32 0.23 0.36 0.36 0.42 Tampa Bay Lightning 124 55% 3.60 3.13 6.73 0.47 58% 137 10 @ Edmonton Oilers 1.03 0.99 1.11 0.87 0.88 Toronto Maple Leafs 197 66% 4.65 3.04 7.69 1.61 74% 281 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 11 @ Calgary Flames 0.01 -0.10 0.17 -0.26 -0.22 Detroit Red Wings 101 50% 2.35 3.28 5.64 -0.93 35% -184 12 @ Seattle Kraken 0.17 0.13 0.12 0.43 0.57 Minnesota Wild 112 53% 3.53 2.84 6.36 0.69 61% 158 EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS INVOLVING HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENTS FOR EACH TEAM NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 23 Friday HOME ADVANTAGE= 0.49 0.44 0.56 0.37 0.37 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 1 @ Boston Bruins 3.15 3.21 3.08 3.51 3.57 San Jose Sharks 671 87% 5.63 1.06 6.69 4.57 93% 1369 2 @ New Jersey Devils 1.75 1.70 1.80 1.63 1.79 Los Angeles Kings 304 75% 3.89 2.10 6.00 1.79 76% 312 3 Anaheim Ducks 0.63 0.54 0.67 0.78 0.82 @ Philadelphia Flyers 152 60% 1.89 2.62 4.51 -0.73 38% -162 4 @ Ottawa Senators 0.76 0.68 0.94 0.33 0.34 New York Rangers 166 62% 2.52 2.53 5.05 -0.01 50% -101 5 @ Washington Capitals 1.79 1.71 1.88 1.84 1.74 Buffalo Sabres 312 76% 4.77 1.95 6.71 2.82 85% 560 6 @ Pittsburgh Penguins 1.67 1.64 1.75 1.49 1.51 Nashville Predators 291 74% 4.16 2.57 6.74 1.59 73% 277 7 Vegas Golden Knights 1.75 1.72 1.75 1.91 2.00 @ Columbus Blue Jacket 305 75% 1.80 4.47 6.26 -2.67 16% -515 8 Carolina Hurricanes 0.26 0.47 0.22 -0.06 -0.06 @ St. Louis Blues 119 54% 3.69 3.78 7.47 -0.10 48% -107 9 @ Utah Mammoth 1.13 1.04 1.17 1.17 1.23 Tampa Bay Lightning 209 68% 4.01 2.73 6.73 1.28 70% 230 10 @ Edmonton Oilers 0.31 0.27 0.40 0.15 0.16 Toronto Maple Leafs 123 55% 4.29 3.40 7.69 0.90 64% 180 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 11 Detroit Red Wings 1.60 1.72 1.45 1.88 1.83 @ Calgary Flames 279 74% 1.55 4.09 5.64 -2.54 17% -480 12 @ Seattle Kraken 1.29 1.25 1.23 1.54 1.69 Minnesota Wild 231 70% 4.08 2.28 6.36 1.80 76% 314
EIGENVECTOR Analysis            eigen MONEY=odds to 100  EPCT%=confidence
          EFAVORITE           ESPREAD EODDS EPCT%    EUNDERDOG
    1  @ Boston Bruins          1.97   347   78%    San Jose Sharks
    2  @ New Jersey Devils      1.51   263   72%    Los Angeles Kings
    3    Anaheim Ducks          0.10   107   52%  @ Philadelphia Flyers
    4  @ Ottawa Senators        0.14   110   52%    New York Rangers
    5  @ Washington Capitals    1.27   227   69%    Buffalo Sabres
    6  @ Pittsburgh Penguins    0.60   149   60%    Nashville Predators
    7    Vegas Golden Knights   1.20   218   69%  @ Columbus Blue Jacket
    8    Carolina Hurricanes    1.56   272   73%  @ St. Louis Blues
    9  @ Utah Mammoth           0.21   115   54%    Tampa Bay Lightning
   10  @ Edmonton Oilers        2.11   376   79%    Toronto Maple Leafs
   11  @ Calgary Flames         0.03   102   50%    Detroit Red Wings
   12  @ Seattle Kraken         1.27   228   70%    Minnesota Wild
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