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Jeff Sagarin'stm NHL Hockey Ratings


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[ Jeff's Sports Ratings - the only place to find my updated ratings]

my ratings are no longer updated on the USA Today website

Email: Jeff Sagarin

All Contents Copyright © 2026 Jeff Sagarintm. All Rights Reserved.


NHL 2026-2027 ratings through results of 2026 OCTOBER 26 MONDAY

this output has three parts: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom
                             (2) DIVISION AVERAGES
                                 (listed top-to-bottom & by conference)
                             (3) teams listed by DIVISION
                                 (listed in order within divisions)
The SCHEDULE ratings represent what the rating would have to be for a
hypothetical team to have a mathematical expectation of winning precisely 50%
of their games against the schedule played by the team in question in the games
that it has played so far.  The schedule difficulty of each given game takes
into account the rating of the opponent and the location of the game. This
is the same concept that is used in computing the WIN50% conference ratings.
To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL  .50  goals for the home
team.  Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 4.43 would be
favored by  .82  goals over a VISITING team having a rating of 4.11
Or a VISITING team with a rating of 4.56 would be favored by .17 goals
over a HOME team having a rating of 3.89
NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below.
      In the example just above, a home edge of .50 was shown for
      illustrative purposes. The home edge will vary during the season.
Several different home edges are shown, one for each of the several different type of ratings
directly over their respective columns.
The numbers to the right of a team's schedule strength are its rank of
schedule - (in parentheses) - and its record versus teams in these
rating's CURRENT top 10 and CURRENT top 16 respectively.
Teams that appear to be tied to two decimal places in a given column are actually
different when carried to more decimal places in the computer's internal arithmetic.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The PREDICTOR, is such that the score is the only thing that matters.
PREDICTOR is also known as PURE_POINTS, BALLANTINE, RHEINGOLD, WHITE OWL
and is a very good PREDICTOR of future games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
GOLDEN_MEAN also utilizes the actual SCORES of the games in a different way but is also completely SCORE BASED
and thus should be a good match for the PURE POINTS in terms of predictive accuracy for upcoming games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The RECENT, is score-based and weights RECENT play more heavily than earlier games. Its effect will become
more pronounced the longer a season goes if a given team happens to have an upward or downward trend.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The overall RATING is a synthesis of the three different SCORE-BASED methods, PREDICTOR(PURE_POINTS), GOLDEN_MEAN,
and RECENT and thus should be a good predictor in its own right.

Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines

just click on "Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines" and it will take you to the daily predictions at the bottom of the file where you'll also see the additional set of EXPERIMENTAL predictions which are the basic predictions that are adjusted to take into account each team's tendencies of performance at home and away along with the extra picks column of STRONG RECENT
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 26 Monday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG_RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.40]                                               [  0.39]       [  0.43]       [  0.37]       [  0.37]
   1  Carolina Hurricanes     =   4.60    9   4    3.94(  22)    1   2  |    2   3  |    4.69    1 |    4.62    1 |    4.44    3 |    4.48    2  METROPOLITAN
   2  Dallas Stars            =   4.42    7   4    3.92(  23)    2   1  |    2   1  |    4.46    3 |    4.34    6 |    4.53    2 |    4.47    3  central
   3  Colorado Avalanche      =   4.41    6   6    3.97(  19)    2   1  |    2   3  |    4.53    2 |    4.37    5 |    4.37    5 |    4.25    8  central
   4  Edmonton Oilers         =   4.41    8   4    3.89(  26)    3   1  |    3   2  |    4.45    4 |    4.44    2 |    4.34    6 |    4.30    6  pacific
   5  Minnesota Wild          =   4.40    8   5    4.08(  10)    2   2  |    3   2  |    4.40    5 |    4.43    3 |    4.37    4 |    4.36    4  central
   6  Boston Bruins           =   4.37    9   3    4.02(  15)    1   2  |    2   3  |    4.33    6 |    4.29   10 |    4.89    1 |    4.98    1  ATLANTIC
   7  Tampa Bay Lightning     =   4.32    7   4    4.06(  12)    3   2  |    3   4  |    4.33    7 |    4.41    4 |    4.24    8 |    4.17   11  ATLANTIC
   8  Utah Mammoth            =   4.25    8   4    4.10(   7)    2   2  |    4   3  |    4.22    9 |    4.26   11 |    4.31    7 |    4.32    5  central
   9  Vegas Golden Knights    =   4.22    8   5    3.80(  31)    0   2  |    1   2  |    4.19   10 |    4.32    7 |    4.14   10 |    4.18    9  pacific
  10  Washington Capitals     =   4.22    6   4    3.95(  20)    1   2  |    4   2  |    4.26    8 |    4.30    9 |    4.07   14 |    4.03   16  METROPOLITAN
NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 26 Monday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG_RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.40]                                               [  0.39]       [  0.43]       [  0.37]       [  0.37]
  11  Ottawa Senators         =   4.14    8   4    3.88(  27)    1   0  |    5   0  |    4.10   14 |    4.17   12 |    4.15    9 |    4.18   10  ATLANTIC
  12  Florida Panthers        =   4.13    6   6    4.09(   8)    1   1  |    1   2  |    4.17   11 |    4.32    8 |    3.82   24 |    3.80   23  ATLANTIC
  13  New Jersey Devils       =   4.12    7   4    3.76(  32)    1   2  |    2   3  |    4.14   12 |    4.12   14 |    4.05   15 |    4.09   14  METROPOLITAN
  14  Toronto Maple Leafs     =   4.10    7   7    3.94(  21)    2   2  |    3   4  |    4.07   15 |    4.14   13 |    4.13   11 |    4.10   13  ATLANTIC
  15  Montreal Canadiens      =   4.07    6   5    3.88(  28)    0   2  |    1   2  |    4.12   13 |    4.11   15 |    3.86   22 |    3.87   22  ATLANTIC
  16  New York Rangers        =   4.01    7   7    4.02(  16)    3   2  |    3   5  |    4.02   16 |    3.92   19 |    4.13   12 |    4.15   12  METROPOLITAN
  17  San Jose Sharks         =   3.99    6   6    4.24(   2)    0   4  |    3   5  |    3.97   17 |    4.04   16 |    4.01   18 |    3.92   20  pacific
  18  St. Louis Blues         =   3.89    5   6    4.12(   5)    2   3  |    3   3  |    3.87   20 |    3.83   23 |    4.02   17 |    4.01   17  central
  19  Seattle Kraken          =   3.87    7   5    4.06(  11)    2   4  |    2   5  |    3.76   26 |    3.80   25 |    4.12   13 |    4.26    7  pacific
  20  Los Angeles Kings       =   3.87    3   7    4.33(   1)    1   4  |    2   6  |    3.86   21 |    3.93   17 |    3.85   23 |    3.76   26  pacific
NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 26 Monday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG_RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.40]                                               [  0.39]       [  0.43]       [  0.37]       [  0.37]
  21  Pittsburgh Penguins     =   3.87    5   7    4.08(   9)    1   4  |    3   4  |    3.86   22 |    3.84   22 |    3.92   21 |    3.92   21  METROPOLITAN
  22  Anaheim Ducks           =   3.87    5   6    4.06(  13)    1   2  |    2   4  |    3.86   23 |    3.93   18 |    3.81   25 |    3.78   25  pacific
  23  New York Islanders      =   3.85    5   6    3.92(  24)    0   2  |    2   5  |    3.75   28 |    3.87   20 |    3.98   19 |    4.04   15  METROPOLITAN
  24  Nashville Predators     =   3.83    4   7    4.14(   4)    2   3  |    3   5  |    3.80   25 |    3.76   26 |    4.02   16 |    3.99   18  central
  25  Buffalo Sabres          =   3.81    4   7    4.01(  17)    1   3  |    3   5  |    3.88   19 |    3.84   21 |    3.53   29 |    3.52   29  ATLANTIC
  26  Winnipeg Jets           =   3.81    4   7    4.05(  14)    2   3  |    2   4  |    3.83   24 |    3.65   28 |    3.96   20 |    3.95   19  central
  27  Columbus Blue Jackets   =   3.81    4   5    3.86(  29)    1   2  |    2   4  |    3.89   18 |    3.81   24 |    3.60   27 |    3.56   28  METROPOLITAN
  28  Detroit Red Wings       =   3.73    5   7    3.81(  30)    1   0  |    2   3  |    3.75   29 |    3.68   27 |    3.76   26 |    3.79   24  ATLANTIC
  29  Philadelphia Flyers     =   3.68    3  10    4.11(   6)    1   4  |    2   6  |    3.76   27 |    3.65   29 |    3.58   28 |    3.50   30  METROPOLITAN
  30  Calgary Flames          =   3.39    5   6    3.91(  25)    2   2  |    3   2  |    3.19   31 |    3.41   30 |    3.47   30 |    3.63   27  pacific
NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 26 Monday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG_RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.40]                                               [  0.39]       [  0.43]       [  0.37]       [  0.37]
  31  Chicago Blackhawks      =   3.31    3   8    3.98(  18)    0   4  |    0   6  |    3.33   30 |    3.32   31 |    3.22   32 |    3.26   32  central
  32  Vancouver Canucks       =   3.21    2  11    4.21(   3)    1   6  |    1   9  |    3.17   32 |    3.06   32 |    3.33   31 |    3.36   31  pacific
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Divisional Rankings

There are three group ratings, the "central mean", the
"simple average" (also known as the "arithmetic mean",)
and the WIN50%.
The "central mean" gives the most weight to the middle team(s)
in the group and progressively less weight to teams as you go
away from the middle in either direction, up or down.
This tends to smooth out the effect of anomalous teams that are rated
much higher and lower than the middle team(s) in the group.  The
"simple average" ("arithmetic mean") weights each team equally
no matter where they are relative to the middle.
Here are a few examples of how the "central mean" is computed.
  4-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-2-1
  5-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-2-1
  6-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-3-2-1
  7-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-3-2-1
  8-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-4-3-2-1
  9-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-4-3-2-1
 10-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-5-4-3-2-1
 11-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-5-4-3-2-1
 12-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-6-5-4-3-2-1
 13-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-7-6-5-4-3-2-1
This is an expanded version of the "tri-mean".
The WIN50% is the rating required to win 50% of the games if playing an
infinite number of round-robins in the given group at a neutral location.
      DIVISION            CENTRAL MEAN    SIMPLE AVERAGE  TEAMS      WIN50%         RATING          PREDICTOR         GOLDEN_MEAN         RECENT          STRONG_RECENT
   1  ATLANTIC                =   4.09       4.08  (  1)      8       4.08  (  1)   4.0840( 0.2201)   4.0956( 0.2011)   4.1198( 0.2458)   4.0458( 0.4160)   4.0521( 0.4356)
   2  central                 =   4.07       4.04  (  2)      8       4.04  (  2)   4.0415( 0.3986)   4.0550( 0.4163)   3.9948( 0.4094)   4.1009( 0.4104)   4.0781( 0.3808)
   3  METROPOLITAN            =   3.99       4.02  (  3)      8       4.02  (  3)   4.0204( 0.2931)   4.0439( 0.3165)   4.0181( 0.3151)   3.9709( 0.2807)   3.9704( 0.3190)
   4  pacific                 =   3.87       3.85  (  4)      8       3.86  (  4)   3.8540( 0.3961)   3.8054( 0.4427)   3.8672( 0.4528)   3.8824( 0.3438)   3.8993( 0.3318)
       OVERALL                                                                      4.0000( 0.3310)   4.0000( 0.3585)   4.0000( 0.3585)   4.0000( 0.3585)   4.0000( 0.3585)
      DIVISION            CENTRAL MEAN    SIMPLE AVERAGE  TEAMS      WIN50%         RATING          PREDICTOR         GOLDEN_MEAN         RECENT          STRONG_RECENT
   3  METROPOLITAN            =   3.99       4.02  (  3)      8       4.02  (  3)   4.0204( 0.2931)   4.0439( 0.3165)   4.0181( 0.3151)   3.9709( 0.2807)   3.9704( 0.3190)
   1  ATLANTIC                =   4.09       4.08  (  1)      8       4.08  (  1)   4.0840( 0.2201)   4.0956( 0.2011)   4.1198( 0.2458)   4.0458( 0.4160)   4.0521( 0.4356)
   2  central                 =   4.07       4.04  (  2)      8       4.04  (  2)   4.0415( 0.3986)   4.0550( 0.4163)   3.9948( 0.4094)   4.1009( 0.4104)   4.0781( 0.3808)
   4  pacific                 =   3.87       3.85  (  4)      8       3.86  (  4)   3.8540( 0.3961)   3.8054( 0.4427)   3.8672( 0.4528)   3.8824( 0.3438)   3.8993( 0.3318)
       OVERALL                                                                      4.0000( 0.3310)   4.0000( 0.3585)   4.0000( 0.3585)   4.0000( 0.3585)   4.0000( 0.3585)
__________________________________________________________________________________________________

By Division

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 3 METROPOLITAN = 3.99 NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 26 Monday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.40] [ 0.39] [ 0.43] [ 0.37] [ 0.37] 1 Carolina Hurricanes = 4.60 9 4 3.94( 22) 1 2 | 2 3 | 4.69 1 | 4.62 1 | 4.44 3 | 4.48 2 METROPOLITAN 10 Washington Capitals = 4.22 6 4 3.95( 20) 1 2 | 4 2 | 4.26 8 | 4.30 9 | 4.07 14 | 4.03 16 METROPOLITAN 13 New Jersey Devils = 4.12 7 4 3.76( 32) 1 2 | 2 3 | 4.14 12 | 4.12 14 | 4.05 15 | 4.09 14 METROPOLITAN 16 New York Rangers = 4.01 7 7 4.02( 16) 3 2 | 3 5 | 4.02 16 | 3.92 19 | 4.13 12 | 4.15 12 METROPOLITAN 21 Pittsburgh Penguins = 3.87 5 7 4.08( 9) 1 4 | 3 4 | 3.86 22 | 3.84 22 | 3.92 21 | 3.92 21 METROPOLITAN 23 New York Islanders = 3.85 5 6 3.92( 24) 0 2 | 2 5 | 3.75 28 | 3.87 20 | 3.98 19 | 4.04 15 METROPOLITAN 27 Columbus Blue Jackets = 3.81 4 5 3.86( 29) 1 2 | 2 4 | 3.89 18 | 3.81 24 | 3.60 27 | 3.56 28 METROPOLITAN 29 Philadelphia Flyers = 3.68 3 10 4.11( 6) 1 4 | 2 6 | 3.76 27 | 3.65 29 | 3.58 28 | 3.50 30 METROPOLITAN _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 ATLANTIC = 4.09 NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 26 Monday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.40] [ 0.39] [ 0.43] [ 0.37] [ 0.37] 6 Boston Bruins = 4.37 9 3 4.02( 15) 1 2 | 2 3 | 4.33 6 | 4.29 10 | 4.89 1 | 4.98 1 ATLANTIC 7 Tampa Bay Lightning = 4.32 7 4 4.06( 12) 3 2 | 3 4 | 4.33 7 | 4.41 4 | 4.24 8 | 4.17 11 ATLANTIC 11 Ottawa Senators = 4.14 8 4 3.88( 27) 1 0 | 5 0 | 4.10 14 | 4.17 12 | 4.15 9 | 4.18 10 ATLANTIC 12 Florida Panthers = 4.13 6 6 4.09( 8) 1 1 | 1 2 | 4.17 11 | 4.32 8 | 3.82 24 | 3.80 23 ATLANTIC 14 Toronto Maple Leafs = 4.10 7 7 3.94( 21) 2 2 | 3 4 | 4.07 15 | 4.14 13 | 4.13 11 | 4.10 13 ATLANTIC 15 Montreal Canadiens = 4.07 6 5 3.88( 28) 0 2 | 1 2 | 4.12 13 | 4.11 15 | 3.86 22 | 3.87 22 ATLANTIC 25 Buffalo Sabres = 3.81 4 7 4.01( 17) 1 3 | 3 5 | 3.88 19 | 3.84 21 | 3.53 29 | 3.52 29 ATLANTIC 28 Detroit Red Wings = 3.73 5 7 3.81( 30) 1 0 | 2 3 | 3.75 29 | 3.68 27 | 3.76 26 | 3.79 24 ATLANTIC _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 2 central = 4.07 NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 26 Monday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.40] [ 0.39] [ 0.43] [ 0.37] [ 0.37] 2 Dallas Stars = 4.42 7 4 3.92( 23) 2 1 | 2 1 | 4.46 3 | 4.34 6 | 4.53 2 | 4.47 3 central 3 Colorado Avalanche = 4.41 6 6 3.97( 19) 2 1 | 2 3 | 4.53 2 | 4.37 5 | 4.37 5 | 4.25 8 central 5 Minnesota Wild = 4.40 8 5 4.08( 10) 2 2 | 3 2 | 4.40 5 | 4.43 3 | 4.37 4 | 4.36 4 central 8 Utah Mammoth = 4.25 8 4 4.10( 7) 2 2 | 4 3 | 4.22 9 | 4.26 11 | 4.31 7 | 4.32 5 central 18 St. Louis Blues = 3.89 5 6 4.12( 5) 2 3 | 3 3 | 3.87 20 | 3.83 23 | 4.02 17 | 4.01 17 central 24 Nashville Predators = 3.83 4 7 4.14( 4) 2 3 | 3 5 | 3.80 25 | 3.76 26 | 4.02 16 | 3.99 18 central 26 Winnipeg Jets = 3.81 4 7 4.05( 14) 2 3 | 2 4 | 3.83 24 | 3.65 28 | 3.96 20 | 3.95 19 central 31 Chicago Blackhawks = 3.31 3 8 3.98( 18) 0 4 | 0 6 | 3.33 30 | 3.32 31 | 3.22 32 | 3.26 32 central _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 4 pacific = 3.87 NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 26 Monday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG_RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.40] [ 0.39] [ 0.43] [ 0.37] [ 0.37] 4 Edmonton Oilers = 4.41 8 4 3.89( 26) 3 1 | 3 2 | 4.45 4 | 4.44 2 | 4.34 6 | 4.30 6 pacific 9 Vegas Golden Knights = 4.22 8 5 3.80( 31) 0 2 | 1 2 | 4.19 10 | 4.32 7 | 4.14 10 | 4.18 9 pacific 17 San Jose Sharks = 3.99 6 6 4.24( 2) 0 4 | 3 5 | 3.97 17 | 4.04 16 | 4.01 18 | 3.92 20 pacific 19 Seattle Kraken = 3.87 7 5 4.06( 11) 2 4 | 2 5 | 3.76 26 | 3.80 25 | 4.12 13 | 4.26 7 pacific 20 Los Angeles Kings = 3.87 3 7 4.33( 1) 1 4 | 2 6 | 3.86 21 | 3.93 17 | 3.85 23 | 3.76 26 pacific 22 Anaheim Ducks = 3.87 5 6 4.06( 13) 1 2 | 2 4 | 3.86 23 | 3.93 18 | 3.81 25 | 3.78 25 pacific 30 Calgary Flames = 3.39 5 6 3.91( 25) 2 2 | 3 2 | 3.19 31 | 3.41 30 | 3.47 30 | 3.63 27 pacific 32 Vancouver Canucks = 3.21 2 11 4.21( 3) 1 6 | 1 9 | 3.17 32 | 3.06 32 | 3.33 31 | 3.36 31 pacific _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ These are the "regular method". _ HOME or CLOSEBY (c) is denoted _ by an "@" next to the HOME or CLOSER team _ An "n" for NEUTRAL location will appear if a neutral game Rating Favorite _ Strong MONEYLINE=odds to 100 _ FAVORITE Rating Predict Golden Recent Recent UNDERDOG ODDS PCT% TOTAL _ ====================================================================================================================================

Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines

NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 26 Monday HOME ADVANTAGE= 0.40 0.39 0.43 0.37 0.37 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 1 @ Philadelphia Flyers 0.27 0.26 0.27 0.34 0.30 Columbus Blue Jacket 120 55% 2.33 1.90 4.22 0.43 57% 134 2 @ Carolina Hurricanes 0.63 0.75 0.76 -0.09 -0.12 Boston Bruins 152 60% 3.29 3.67 6.96 -0.38 44% -129 3 @ Nashville Predators 0.38 0.44 0.31 0.40 0.32 New York Islanders 129 56% 2.65 2.37 5.02 0.29 55% 121 4 Los Angeles Kings 0.16 0.14 0.19 0.26 0.13 @ Chicago Blackhawks 111 53% 2.45 3.38 5.83 -0.93 35% -184 5 @ St. Louis Blues 0.22 0.13 0.15 0.52 0.50 Montreal Canadiens 116 54% 3.75 2.99 6.74 0.75 62% 165 6 @ Dallas Stars 0.70 0.71 0.64 0.86 0.75 New Jersey Devils 159 61% 2.89 1.76 4.65 1.13 68% 210 7 @ Winnipeg Jets 0.08 0.05 -0.24 0.51 0.52 Florida Panthers 105 51% 2.68 1.78 4.47 0.90 64% 182 8 @ Utah Mammoth 0.25 0.22 0.27 0.31 0.32 Minnesota Wild 119 54% 3.10 2.94 6.04 0.17 53% 112 9 @ Vegas Golden Knights 0.48 0.47 0.58 0.36 0.37 Ottawa Senators 138 58% 3.36 2.86 6.21 0.50 58% 140 10 @ Anaheim Ducks 1.06 1.08 1.29 0.84 0.78 Vancouver Canucks 200 67% 4.29 3.05 7.33 1.24 69% 224 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 11 @ San Jose Sharks 0.57 0.47 0.63 0.85 0.76 Buffalo Sabres 147 59% 4.32 2.96 7.28 1.36 71% 242 EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS INVOLVING HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENTS FOR EACH TEAM NHL 2026-2027 through games of 2026 October 26 Monday HOME ADVANTAGE= 0.40 0.39 0.43 0.37 0.37 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 1 @ Philadelphia Flyers 0.04 0.03 0.04 0.11 0.07 Columbus Blue Jacket 103 51% 2.21 2.01 4.22 0.20 53% 115 2 Boston Bruins 0.79 0.67 0.67 1.51 1.55 @ Carolina Hurricanes 169 63% 2.58 4.38 6.96 -1.80 24% -314 3 @ Nashville Predators 0.75 0.81 0.68 0.77 0.69 New York Islanders 164 62% 2.84 2.18 5.02 0.66 61% 155 4 Los Angeles Kings 1.07 1.05 1.09 1.16 1.03 @ Chicago Blackhawks 201 67% 2.00 3.83 5.83 -1.84 24% -320 5 Montreal Canadiens 0.01 0.09 0.08 -0.29 -0.28 @ St. Louis Blues 101 50% 3.63 3.11 6.74 0.53 59% 142 6 @ Dallas Stars 2.05 2.07 1.99 2.21 2.10 New Jersey Devils 364 78% 3.57 1.08 4.65 2.49 82% 466 7 @ Winnipeg Jets 0.31 0.29 0.00 0.74 0.75 Florida Panthers 123 55% 2.80 1.66 4.47 1.14 68% 210 8 @ Utah Mammoth 0.40 0.37 0.41 0.45 0.47 Minnesota Wild 131 57% 3.18 2.86 6.04 0.32 55% 124 9 @ Vegas Golden Knights 0.39 0.38 0.49 0.26 0.27 Ottawa Senators 130 56% 3.31 2.90 6.21 0.40 57% 131 10 @ Anaheim Ducks 0.85 0.87 1.09 0.64 0.58 Vancouver Canucks 176 64% 4.19 3.15 7.33 1.04 66% 198 FAVORITE Rating Pred Golden Recent Strong UNDERDOG MONEY WIN% home away TOTAL HMARG WIN% MONEY 11 @ San Jose Sharks 0.67 0.57 0.73 0.94 0.86 Buffalo Sabres 156 61% 4.37 2.91 7.28 1.46 72% 256
EIGENVECTOR Analysis            eigen MONEY=odds to 100  EPCT%=confidence
          EFAVORITE           ESPREAD EODDS EPCT%    EUNDERDOG
    1  @ Philadelphia Flyers    0.08   105   51%    Columbus Blue Jacket
    2  @ Carolina Hurricanes    0.70   160   61%    Boston Bruins
    3    New York Islanders     0.34   125   56%  @ Nashville Predators
    4    Los Angeles Kings      0.30   122   55%  @ Chicago Blackhawks
    5    Montreal Canadiens     0.09   106   52%  @ St. Louis Blues
    6  @ Dallas Stars           1.10   205   67%    New Jersey Devils
    7    Florida Panthers       0.10   107   52%  @ Winnipeg Jets
    8  @ Utah Mammoth           0.39   130   57%    Minnesota Wild
    9    Ottawa Senators        0.02   101   50%  @ Vegas Golden Knights
   10  @ Anaheim Ducks          1.48   260   72%    Vancouver Canucks
   11  @ San Jose Sharks        0.84   174   63%    Buffalo Sabres
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