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Jeff Sagarin'stm NHL Hockey Ratings


[ My Computer Room ]

[ Jeff's Sports Ratings - the only place to find my updated ratings]

my ratings are no longer updated on the USA Today website

Email: Jeff Sagarin

All Contents Copyright © 2025 Jeff Sagarintm. All Rights Reserved.


NHL 2024-2025 ratings through results of 2025 FEBRUARY 9 SUNDAY - next games are on Saturday, February 22


this output has three parts: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom
                             (2) DIVISION AVERAGES
                                 (listed top-to-bottom & by conference)
                             (3) teams listed by DIVISION
                                 (listed in order within divisions)

The SCHEDULE ratings represent what the rating would have to be for a
hypothetical team to have a mathematical expectation of winning precisely 50%
of their games against the schedule played by the team in question in the games
that it has played so far.  The schedule difficulty of each given game takes
into account the rating of the opponent and the location of the game. This
is the same concept that is used in computing the WIN50% conference ratings.

To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL  .50  goals for the home
team.  Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 4.43 would be
favored by  .82  goals over a VISITING team having a rating of 4.11
Or a VISITING team with a rating of 4.56 would be favored by .17 goals
over a HOME team having a rating of 3.89

NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below.
      In the example just above, a home edge of .50 was shown for
      illustrative purposes. The home edge will vary during the season.
Several different home edges are shown, one for each of the several different type of ratings
directly over their respective columns.

The numbers to the right of a team's schedule strength are its rank of
schedule - (in parentheses) - and its record versus teams in these
rating's CURRENT top 10 and CURRENT top 16 respectively.

Teams that appear to be tied to two decimal places in a given column are actually
different when carried to more decimal places in the computer's internal arithmetic.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The PREDICTOR, is such that the score is the only thing that matters.
PREDICTOR is also known as PURE_POINTS, BALLANTINE, RHEINGOLD, WHITE OWL
and is a very good PREDICTOR of future games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
GOLDEN_MEAN also utilizes the actual SCORES of the games in a different way but is also completely SCORE BASED
and thus should be a good match for the PURE POINTS in terms of predictive accuracy for upcoming games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The RECENT, is score-based and weights RECENT play more heavily than earlier games. Its effect will become
more pronounced the longer a season goes if a given team happens to have an upward or downward trend.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The overall RATING is a synthesis of the three different SCORE-BASED methods, PREDICTOR(PURE_POINTS), GOLDEN_MEAN,
and RECENT and thus should be a good predictor in its own right.


Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines

just click on "Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines" and it will take you to the daily predictions at the bottom of the file where you'll also see the additional set of EXPERIMENTAL predictions which are the basic predictions that are adjusted to take into account each team's tendencies of performance at home and away along with the extra picks column of STRONG RECENT
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
NHL 2024-2025 through games of 2025 February 9 Sunday - next games are on February 22 Saturday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.26]                                               [  0.26]       [  0.26]       [  0.27]       [  0.27]
   1  Winnipeg Jets           =   4.74   39  17    3.93(  30)    7   6  |   16   9  |    4.83    1 |    4.75    1 |    4.56    1 |    4.82    1  central
   2  Dallas Stars            =   4.65   35  20    3.93(  29)    7   8  |   12  14  |    4.67    2 |    4.64    2 |    4.54    3 |    4.63    4  central
   3  Edmonton Oilers         =   4.57   34  21    3.93(  31)    2  10  |   12  14  |    4.48    8 |    4.60    4 |    4.55    2 |    4.63    3  pacific
   4  Washington Capitals     =   4.56   36  19    4.03(   6)   12   7  |   18  11  |    4.64    3 |    4.62    3 |    4.38    7 |    4.66    2  METROPOLITAN
   5  Florida Panthers        =   4.53   34  23    4.02(  13)   10   8  |   15  15  |    4.54    6 |    4.50    5 |    4.46    4 |    4.51    6  ATLANTIC
   6  Tampa Bay Lightning     =   4.51   31  24    4.00(  18)    8   9  |   16  13  |    4.55    4 |    4.49    7 |    4.42    5 |    4.52    5  ATLANTIC
   7  Carolina Hurricanes     =   4.50   33  23    4.02(  14)   10   8  |   17  13  |    4.54    5 |    4.50    6 |    4.40    6 |    4.40    8  METROPOLITAN
   8  Toronto Maple Leafs     =   4.46   33  22    4.01(  15)   12   6  |   13  13  |    4.51    7 |    4.44    8 |    4.37    8 |    4.30   11  ATLANTIC
   9  New Jersey Devils       =   4.44   31  26    3.99(  21)    8  11  |   13  15  |    4.46   10 |    4.41   10 |    4.37    9 |    4.39    9  METROPOLITAN
  10  Vegas Golden Knights    =   4.43   33  23    3.98(  25)    7  10  |   14  14  |    4.47    9 |    4.43    9 |    4.35   11 |    4.42    7  pacific
NHL 2024-2025 through games of 2025 February 9 Sunday - next games are on February 22 Saturday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.26]                                               [  0.26]       [  0.26]       [  0.27]       [  0.27]
  11  Colorado Avalanche      =   4.38   33  24    4.02(  12)    9  11  |   14  14  |    4.34   11 |    4.38   11 |    4.36   10 |    4.38   10  central
  12  Los Angeles Kings       =   4.26   29  24    4.00(  20)   10   7  |   15  10  |    4.28   12 |    4.25   13 |    4.20   12 |    4.22   12  pacific
  13  Minnesota Wild          =   4.23   33  23    3.99(  22)   10   9  |   12  14  |    4.27   13 |    4.25   12 |    4.13   13 |    4.09   13  central
  14  New York Rangers        =   4.08   27  28    3.98(  24)    5  13  |    8  16  |    4.01   15 |    4.10   14 |    4.12   14 |    3.98   17  METROPOLITAN
  15  Ottawa Senators         =   4.03   29  27    4.10(   1)    8  12  |   12  17  |    4.02   14 |    4.06   15 |    4.02   17 |    4.07   14  ATLANTIC
  16  Vancouver Canucks       =   4.00   26  29    3.96(  26)    6  11  |   10  15  |    3.94   16 |    3.99   17 |    4.07   15 |    3.95   18  pacific
  17  Boston Bruins           =   3.96   27  30    4.03(   8)    4  15  |   11  20  |    3.81   20 |    3.99   16 |    4.06   16 |    4.01   15  ATLANTIC
  18  Detroit Red Wings       =   3.91   28  27    3.93(  32)    7   8  |   10  15  |    3.92   17 |    3.88   18 |    3.94   19 |    3.92   19  ATLANTIC
  19  New York Islanders      =   3.89   25  30    4.00(  19)    7  10  |   12  14  |    3.84   18 |    3.87   19 |    3.96   18 |    3.99   16  METROPOLITAN
  20  Utah Hockey Club        =   3.79   24  32    4.02(  11)    4  14  |    9  21  |    3.81   19 |    3.80   20 |    3.80   21 |    3.67   25  central
NHL 2024-2025 through games of 2025 February 9 Sunday - next games are on February 22 Saturday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.26]                                               [  0.26]       [  0.26]       [  0.27]       [  0.27]
  21  St. Louis Blues         =   3.74   25  31    4.01(  16)    7  13  |   11  19  |    3.74   21 |    3.76   21 |    3.78   23 |    3.72   22  central
  22  Nashville Predators     =   3.72   19  35    4.04(   4)    4  13  |   10  21  |    3.64   23 |    3.68   22 |    3.84   20 |    3.57   27  central
  23  Buffalo Sabres          =   3.68   22  32    3.99(  23)    5  10  |   10  16  |    3.62   25 |    3.68   23 |    3.79   22 |    3.75   20  ATLANTIC
  24  Seattle Kraken          =   3.67   24  33    3.94(  27)    2  14  |    6  22  |    3.64   22 |    3.66   24 |    3.76   24 |    3.71   24  pacific
  25  Pittsburgh Penguins     =   3.62   23  34    4.03(   9)    4  14  |    8  21  |    3.54   27 |    3.64   26 |    3.74   25 |    3.61   26  METROPOLITAN
  26  Philadelphia Flyers     =   3.62   24  33    4.03(   5)    4  14  |    8  21  |    3.64   24 |    3.60   27 |    3.68   26 |    3.56   28  METROPOLITAN
  27  Calgary Flames          =   3.58   26  29    3.94(  28)    4  10  |   11  14  |    3.51   28 |    3.64   25 |    3.66   27 |    3.72   23  pacific
  28  Montreal Canadiens      =   3.48   25  31    4.05(   3)    8  12  |   12  18  |    3.48   30 |    3.53   29 |    3.52   28 |    3.54   29  ATLANTIC
  29  Columbus Blue Jackets   =   3.48   26  30    4.01(  17)    9   9  |   11  15  |    3.48   29 |    3.56   28 |    3.48   29 |    3.74   21  METROPOLITAN
  30  Anaheim Ducks           =   3.45   24  30    4.03(   7)    8  11  |   10  20  |    3.56   26 |    3.42   30 |    3.43   30 |    3.48   30  pacific
NHL 2024-2025 through games of 2025 February 9 Sunday - next games are on February 22 Saturday
                                RATING    W   L  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR   | GOLDEN_MEAN  |  RECENT      | STRONG RECENT
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  0.26]                                               [  0.26]       [  0.26]       [  0.27]       [  0.27]
  31  Chicago Blackhawks      =   3.25   17  38    4.06(   2)    6  13  |   11  19  |    3.35   31 |    3.17   31 |    3.32   31 |    3.20   31  central
  32  San Jose Sharks         =   2.78   15  42    4.02(  10)    4  13  |    6  23  |    2.86   32 |    2.71   32 |    2.95   32 |    2.82   32  pacific
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Divisional Rankings


There are three group ratings, the "central mean", the
"simple average" (also known as the "arithmetic mean",)
and the WIN50%.
The "central mean" gives the most weight to the middle team(s)
in the group and progressively less weight to teams as you go
away from the middle in either direction, up or down.
This tends to smooth out the effect of anomalous teams that are rated
much higher and lower than the middle team(s) in the group.  The
"simple average" ("arithmetic mean") weights each team equally
no matter where they are relative to the middle.
Here are a few examples of how the "central mean" is computed.
  4-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-2-1
  5-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-2-1
  6-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-3-2-1
  7-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-3-2-1
  8-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-4-3-2-1
  9-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-4-3-2-1
 10-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-5-4-3-2-1
 11-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-5-4-3-2-1
 12-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-6-5-4-3-2-1
 13-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-7-6-5-4-3-2-1
This is an expanded version of the "tri-mean".

The WIN50% is the rating required to win 50% of the games if playing an
infinite number of round-robins in the given group at a neutral location.
      DIVISION            CENTRAL MEAN    SIMPLE AVERAGE  TEAMS      WIN50%

   1  ATLANTIC                =   4.07       4.07  (  1)      8       4.07  (  1)
   2  central                 =   4.06       4.06  (  2)      8       4.06  (  2)
   3  METROPOLITAN            =   4.02       4.02  (  3)      8       4.02  (  3)
   4  pacific                 =   3.87       3.84  (  4)      8       3.84  (  4)


      DIVISION            CENTRAL MEAN    SIMPLE AVERAGE  TEAMS      WIN50%

   3  METROPOLITAN            =   4.02       4.02  (  3)      8       4.02  (  3)
   1  ATLANTIC                =   4.07       4.07  (  1)      8       4.07  (  1)
   2  central                 =   4.06       4.06  (  2)      8       4.06  (  2)
   4  pacific                 =   3.87       3.84  (  4)      8       3.84  (  4)
__________________________________________________________________________________________________

By Division

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 3 METROPOLITAN = 4.02 NHL 2024-2025 through games of 2025 February 9 Sunday - next games are on February 22 Saturday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.26] [ 0.26] [ 0.26] [ 0.27] [ 0.27] 4 Washington Capitals = 4.56 36 19 4.03( 6) 12 7 | 18 11 | 4.64 3 | 4.62 3 | 4.38 7 | 4.66 2 METROPOLITAN 7 Carolina Hurricanes = 4.50 33 23 4.02( 14) 10 8 | 17 13 | 4.54 5 | 4.50 6 | 4.40 6 | 4.40 8 METROPOLITAN 9 New Jersey Devils = 4.44 31 26 3.99( 21) 8 11 | 13 15 | 4.46 10 | 4.41 10 | 4.37 9 | 4.39 9 METROPOLITAN 14 New York Rangers = 4.08 27 28 3.98( 24) 5 13 | 8 16 | 4.01 15 | 4.10 14 | 4.12 14 | 3.98 17 METROPOLITAN 19 New York Islanders = 3.89 25 30 4.00( 19) 7 10 | 12 14 | 3.84 18 | 3.87 19 | 3.96 18 | 3.99 16 METROPOLITAN 25 Pittsburgh Penguins = 3.62 23 34 4.03( 9) 4 14 | 8 21 | 3.54 27 | 3.64 26 | 3.74 25 | 3.61 26 METROPOLITAN 26 Philadelphia Flyers = 3.62 24 33 4.03( 5) 4 14 | 8 21 | 3.64 24 | 3.60 27 | 3.68 26 | 3.56 28 METROPOLITAN 29 Columbus Blue Jackets = 3.48 26 30 4.01( 17) 9 9 | 11 15 | 3.48 29 | 3.56 28 | 3.48 29 | 3.74 21 METROPOLITAN _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 ATLANTIC = 4.07 NHL 2024-2025 through games of 2025 February 9 Sunday - next games are on February 22 Saturday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.26] [ 0.26] [ 0.26] [ 0.27] [ 0.27] 5 Florida Panthers = 4.53 34 23 4.02( 13) 10 8 | 15 15 | 4.54 6 | 4.50 5 | 4.46 4 | 4.51 6 ATLANTIC 6 Tampa Bay Lightning = 4.51 31 24 4.00( 18) 8 9 | 16 13 | 4.55 4 | 4.49 7 | 4.42 5 | 4.52 5 ATLANTIC 8 Toronto Maple Leafs = 4.46 33 22 4.01( 15) 12 6 | 13 13 | 4.51 7 | 4.44 8 | 4.37 8 | 4.30 11 ATLANTIC 15 Ottawa Senators = 4.03 29 27 4.10( 1) 8 12 | 12 17 | 4.02 14 | 4.06 15 | 4.02 17 | 4.07 14 ATLANTIC 17 Boston Bruins = 3.96 27 30 4.03( 8) 4 15 | 11 20 | 3.81 20 | 3.99 16 | 4.06 16 | 4.01 15 ATLANTIC 18 Detroit Red Wings = 3.91 28 27 3.93( 32) 7 8 | 10 15 | 3.92 17 | 3.88 18 | 3.94 19 | 3.92 19 ATLANTIC 23 Buffalo Sabres = 3.68 22 32 3.99( 23) 5 10 | 10 16 | 3.62 25 | 3.68 23 | 3.79 22 | 3.75 20 ATLANTIC 28 Montreal Canadiens = 3.48 25 31 4.05( 3) 8 12 | 12 18 | 3.48 30 | 3.53 29 | 3.52 28 | 3.54 29 ATLANTIC _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 2 central = 4.06 NHL 2024-2025 through games of 2025 February 9 Sunday - next games are on February 22 Saturday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.26] [ 0.26] [ 0.26] [ 0.27] [ 0.27] 1 Winnipeg Jets = 4.74 39 17 3.93( 30) 7 6 | 16 9 | 4.83 1 | 4.75 1 | 4.56 1 | 4.82 1 central 2 Dallas Stars = 4.65 35 20 3.93( 29) 7 8 | 12 14 | 4.67 2 | 4.64 2 | 4.54 3 | 4.63 4 central 11 Colorado Avalanche = 4.38 33 24 4.02( 12) 9 11 | 14 14 | 4.34 11 | 4.38 11 | 4.36 10 | 4.38 10 central 13 Minnesota Wild = 4.23 33 23 3.99( 22) 10 9 | 12 14 | 4.27 13 | 4.25 12 | 4.13 13 | 4.09 13 central 20 Utah Hockey Club = 3.79 24 32 4.02( 11) 4 14 | 9 21 | 3.81 19 | 3.80 20 | 3.80 21 | 3.67 25 central 21 St. Louis Blues = 3.74 25 31 4.01( 16) 7 13 | 11 19 | 3.74 21 | 3.76 21 | 3.78 23 | 3.72 22 central 22 Nashville Predators = 3.72 19 35 4.04( 4) 4 13 | 10 21 | 3.64 23 | 3.68 22 | 3.84 20 | 3.57 27 central 31 Chicago Blackhawks = 3.25 17 38 4.06( 2) 6 13 | 11 19 | 3.35 31 | 3.17 31 | 3.32 31 | 3.20 31 central _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 4 pacific = 3.87 NHL 2024-2025 through games of 2025 February 9 Sunday - next games are on February 22 Saturday RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT | STRONG RECENT HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 0.26] [ 0.26] [ 0.26] [ 0.27] [ 0.27] 3 Edmonton Oilers = 4.57 34 21 3.93( 31) 2 10 | 12 14 | 4.48 8 | 4.60 4 | 4.55 2 | 4.63 3 pacific 10 Vegas Golden Knights = 4.43 33 23 3.98( 25) 7 10 | 14 14 | 4.47 9 | 4.43 9 | 4.35 11 | 4.42 7 pacific 12 Los Angeles Kings = 4.26 29 24 4.00( 20) 10 7 | 15 10 | 4.28 12 | 4.25 13 | 4.20 12 | 4.22 12 pacific 16 Vancouver Canucks = 4.00 26 29 3.96( 26) 6 11 | 10 15 | 3.94 16 | 3.99 17 | 4.07 15 | 3.95 18 pacific 24 Seattle Kraken = 3.67 24 33 3.94( 27) 2 14 | 6 22 | 3.64 22 | 3.66 24 | 3.76 24 | 3.71 24 pacific 27 Calgary Flames = 3.58 26 29 3.94( 28) 4 10 | 11 14 | 3.51 28 | 3.64 25 | 3.66 27 | 3.72 23 pacific 30 Anaheim Ducks = 3.45 24 30 4.03( 7) 8 11 | 10 20 | 3.56 26 | 3.42 30 | 3.43 30 | 3.48 30 pacific 32 San Jose Sharks = 2.78 15 42 4.02( 10) 4 13 | 6 23 | 2.86 32 | 2.71 32 | 2.95 32 | 2.82 32 pacific _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
endfile

Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines

These are the "regular method". _ HOME or CLOSEBY (c) is denoted _ by an "@" next to the HOME or CLOSER team _ An "n" for NEUTRAL location will appear if a neutral game Rating Favorite _ Strong MONEYLINE=odds to 100 _ FAVORITE Rating Predict Golden Recent Recent UNDERDOG ODDS PCT% TOTAL _ ================================================================================================================== Feb22Saturday @ Boston Bruins 0.77 0.50 0.83 0.90 0.80 Anaheim Ducks 171 63% 5.42 @ New Jersey Devils 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.10 0.03 Dallas Stars 103 51% 5.29 Edmonton Oilers 0.69 0.58 0.74 0.61 0.80 @ Philadelphia Flyers 162 62% 6.21 @ Ottawa Senators 0.82 0.79 0.79 0.78 0.80 Montreal Canadiens 176 64% 5.88 New York Rangers 0.14 0.13 0.16 0.07 -0.04 @ Buffalo Sabres 110 52% 6.60 @ Toronto Maple Leafs 0.22 0.22 0.20 0.25 0.17 Carolina Hurricanes 117 54% 5.81 Washington Capitals 0.68 0.84 0.72 0.37 0.78 @ Pittsburgh Penguins 160 62% 6.15 @ Florida Panthers 1.12 1.16 1.10 0.97 1.07 Seattle Kraken 214 68% 6.28 @ Columbus Blue Jacket 0.49 0.39 0.64 0.42 0.81 Chicago Blackhawks 141 59% 6.76 Minnesota Wild 0.06 0.10 0.12 -0.07 -0.10 @ Detroit Red Wings 104 51% 5.70 Colorado Avalanche 0.40 0.44 0.44 0.24 0.54 @ Nashville Predators 133 57% 6.18 Winnipeg Jets 0.74 0.84 0.74 0.51 0.83 @ St. Louis Blues 166 62% 5.66 @ Vegas Golden Knights 0.69 0.78 0.69 0.55 0.74 Vancouver Canucks 162 62% 5.73 @ Los Angeles Kings 0.73 0.73 0.70 0.67 0.81 Utah Hockey Club 166 62% 5.00 EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS based on HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENTS for EACH TEAM Feb22Saturday @ Boston Bruins 0.98 0.71 1.04 1.11 1.01 Anaheim Ducks 196 66% 5.42 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS Dallas Stars 0.15 0.15 0.17 0.10 0.16 @ New Jersey Devils 111 53% 5.29 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS Edmonton Oilers 1.32 1.21 1.36 1.23 1.42 @ Philadelphia Flyers 243 71% 6.21 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS @ Ottawa Senators 0.95 0.93 0.92 0.91 0.93 Montreal Canadiens 192 66% 5.88 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS New York Rangers 0.03 0.02 0.06 -0.04 -0.15 @ Buffalo Sabres 102 51% 6.60 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS @ Toronto Maple Leafs 0.26 0.26 0.24 0.28 0.21 Carolina Hurricanes 120 55% 5.81 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS Washington Capitals 1.71 1.87 1.76 1.41 1.81 @ Pittsburgh Penguins 311 76% 6.15 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS @ Florida Panthers 1.10 1.14 1.08 0.96 1.06 Seattle Kraken 212 68% 6.28 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS @ Columbus Blue Jacket 1.92 1.82 2.07 1.85 2.24 Chicago Blackhawks 353 78% 6.76 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS Minnesota Wild 0.60 0.64 0.66 0.47 0.44 @ Detroit Red Wings 152 60% 5.70 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS Colorado Avalanche 0.67 0.71 0.71 0.51 0.81 @ Nashville Predators 159 61% 6.18 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS Winnipeg Jets 1.47 1.57 1.47 1.24 1.56 @ St. Louis Blues 267 73% 5.66 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS @ Vegas Golden Knights 0.88 0.97 0.88 0.73 0.93 Vancouver Canucks 183 65% 5.73 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS @ Los Angeles Kings 1.05 1.05 1.02 0.99 1.13 Utah Hockey Club 205 67% 5.00 HOME-AWAY ADJUSTMENT ... EXPERIMENTAL NUMBERS EIGENVECTOR Analysis eigen MONEY=odds to 100 EPCT%=confidence EFAVORITE ESPREAD EODDS EPCT% EUNDERDOG 1 @ Boston Bruins 0.65 157 61% Anaheim Ducks 2 @ New Jersey Devils 0.31 124 55% Dallas Stars 3 Edmonton Oilers 0.58 149 60% @ Philadelphia Flyers 4 @ Ottawa Senators 0.78 171 63% Montreal Canadiens 5 New York Rangers 0.21 116 54% @ Buffalo Sabres 6 @ Toronto Maple Leafs 0.06 104 51% Carolina Hurricanes 7 Washington Capitals 1.23 230 70% @ Pittsburgh Penguins 8 @ Florida Panthers 1.52 276 73% Seattle Kraken 9 @ Columbus Blue Jacket 1.10 211 68% Chicago Blackhawks 10 Minnesota Wild 0.20 115 53% @ Detroit Red Wings 11 Colorado Avalanche 1.17 221 69% @ Nashville Predators 12 Winnipeg Jets 1.34 247 71% @ St. Louis Blues 13 @ Vegas Golden Knights 1.37 252 72% Vancouver Canucks 14 @ Los Angeles Kings 0.70 162 62% Utah Hockey Club endfile

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